ABNB · AIRBNB, INC. CLASS A

Back to holdings

Airbnb, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a platform for stays, experiences, and services worldwide. The company's marketplace connects hosts and guests online or through mobile devices to book spaces, experiences, and services. It also offers gift cards.

Close · 3M

+29.71%

Held by 3 AI ETFs

AIUP4.580%

as of Sep 2

AIVL0.299%

as of Sep 3

PQUS0.030%

as of Sep 1

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals15

Win rate73% (11/15)

Avg buy return+13.80%

AIUPnow 4.580% of fund8 signals

AIUP · Sudden change · 1d

weight 4.210% → 4.530% (+0.320 pp)·stock up 21.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $182.54·now $185.25

+1.48%

since Sep 1

AIUP · Weight decrease · 6d

weight 4.950% → 4.220% (-0.730 pp)·stock up 20.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 27·entry $184.40·now $185.25

+0.46%

since Aug 27

AIUP · Weight decrease · 5d

weight 4.950% → 4.340% (-0.610 pp)·stock up 22.8% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $188.07·now $185.25

-1.50%

since Aug 26

AIUP · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 4.950% → 4.440% (-0.510 pp)·stock up 29.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 25·entry $190.50·now $185.25

-2.76%

since Aug 25

AIUP · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 4.950% → 4.490% (-0.460 pp)·stock up 34.8% in the 30 days before

Aug 24·entry $190.21·now $185.25

-2.61%

since Aug 24

AIUP · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 4.950% → 4.550% (-0.400 pp)·stock up 36.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $187.30·now $185.25

-1.09%

since Aug 21

AIUP · Accumulation · 5d

weight 4.640% → 4.950% (+0.310 pp)·stock up 29.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 19·entry $186.39·now $185.25Fresh

-0.61%

since Aug 19

AIUP · Accumulation · 5d

weight 4.640% → 4.800% (+0.160 pp)·stock up 26.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 18·entry $183.25·now $185.25Fresh

+1.09%

since Aug 18

AIVLnow 0.299% of fund20 signals

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.307% → 0.297% (-0.010 pp)·stock up 20.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 27·entry $184.40·now $185.25

+0.46%

since Aug 27

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.299% → 0.307% (+0.008 pp)·stock up 34.8% in the 30 days before

Aug 24·entry $190.21·now $185.25Fresh

-2.61%

since Aug 24

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.288% → 0.299% (+0.012 pp)·stock up 29.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 19·entry $186.39·now $185.25Fresh

-0.61%

since Aug 19

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.295% → 0.288% (-0.007 pp)·stock up 22.8% in the 30 days before

Aug 17·entry $179.29·now $185.25

+3.32%

since Aug 17

AIVL · Weight increase · 3d

weight 0.245% → 0.298% (+0.053 pp)·stock up 26.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 11·entry $184.98·now $185.25Fresh

+0.15%

since Aug 11

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.245% → 0.297% (+0.052 pp)·stock up 24.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 10·entry $184.70·now $185.25Fresh

+0.30%

since Aug 10

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.250% → 0.244% (-0.006 pp)·stock up 1.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 3·entry $150.64·now $185.25

+22.98%

since Aug 3

AIVL · Weight increase · 3d

weight 0.227% → 0.250% (+0.022 pp)·stock up 4.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 29·entry $153.01·now $185.25Chased

+21.07%

since Jul 29

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.227% → 0.247% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 5.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 28·entry $153.11·now $185.25Chased

+20.99%

since Jul 28

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.239% → 0.227% (-0.011 pp)·stock down 0.9% in the 30 days before

Jul 23·entry $137.57·now $185.25

+34.66%

since Jul 23

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before

Jul 17·entry $145.98·now $185.25

+26.90%

since Jul 17

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 12.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 15·entry $148.38·now $185.25Chased

+24.85%

since Jul 15

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 13.1% in the 30 days before

Jul 10·entry $148.62·now $185.25Chased

+24.65%

since Jul 10

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 10.2% in the 30 days before

Jun 26·entry $145.56·now $185.25Chased

+27.27%

since Jun 26

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 9.1% in the 30 days before

Jun 24·entry $144.40·now $185.25Chased

+28.29%

since Jun 24

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 8.6% in the 30 days before

Jun 18·entry $142.41·now $185.25Chased

+30.08%

since Jun 18

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 3.4% in the 30 days before

Jun 11·entry $130.87·now $185.25

+41.55%

since Jun 11

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 1.8% in the 30 days before

Jun 1·entry $137.87·now $185.25Chased

+34.37%

since Jun 1

AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d

stock down 0.7% in the 30 days before

May 13·entry $132.97·now $185.25

+39.32%

since May 13

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 4.0% in the 30 days before

May 12·entry $135.48·now $185.25

+36.74%

since May 12

PQUSnow 0.030% of fund1 signal

PQUS · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.030% (new)·stock up 24.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $189.43·now $185.25Fresh

-2.21%

since Aug 28

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of Aug 30

The AI ETFs show mixed signals, with some accumulating and one making a new entry, indicating a potentially favorable view among certain algorithms. This contrasts with the framework's "Fail" verdict, driven by insufficient financial history and a lack of margin of safety, suggesting the AI's criteria diverge from a strict value-investing approach.

Circle of CompetenceAirbnb's platform business model, based on service fees and network effects, presents unit economics that are sufficiently stable and predictable to project future cash flows over a ten-year period.
Economic MoatAirbnb benefits from strong network effects between hosts and guests, coupled with significant brand power, creating a durable economic moat that is difficult for competitors to replicate.
ManagementThe provided data is insufficient to evaluate management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or personal ownership, which are key aspects of this framework stage.
Financial HealthThe provided financials lack the necessary historical detail, such as a 10-year average ROE and owner earnings, to confirm a consistent track record of financial health as required by the framework.
Margin of SafetyWith high valuation multiples such as a PER of 41.19 and PBR of 10.19, the current price does not offer a defensible discount to a conservative estimate of intrinsic value, thus lacking a sufficient margin of safety.

Airbnb presents a business within the circle of competence with a strong economic moat, built on network effects and brand recognition. However, the limited historical financial data available prevents a thorough assessment of its long-term financial health, and the current high valuation multiples do not offer the required margin of safety for a conservative value investment. Consequently, the company fails to meet all the stringent criteria of this framework at its current state.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.