AIEQ0.050%
as of Jul 20
ACGL
GrowthARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD
Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through three segments: Insurance, Reinsurance, and Mortgage. The Insurance segment offers commercial automobile; commercial multiperil; financial and professional line liability; admitted, excess, and surplus casualty lines; property and short-tail specialty; workers compensation; and casualty insurance.
Close · 3M
+6.49%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals6
Win rate100% (6/6)
Avg buy return+9.26%
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
ACGL's financial profile, characterized by a PER of 7.33, PBR of 1.44, revenue growth of 7.84%, and ROE of 20.48%, previously aligned with AIEQ's broad market, fundamentals-driven style, contributing to its sustained weight around 1.06% through late June. With ACGL trading at $98.55, near 97% of its 52-week high of $101.98, IBM Watson’s NLP system was actively ingesting various data sources. The dramatic weight reduction to 0.0500% on 2026-07-01 signals that the NLP engine likely identified a significant negative shift in sentiment or new information from news, filings, or social posts, causing EquBot’s risk overlay to drastically re-evaluate the stock’s ranking. This rapid adjustment reflects the fund’s daily rebalancing mechanism reacting to evolving sentiment signals, overriding previous fundamental conviction at an elevated price point.
weight 1.060% → 0.050% (-1.010 pp)·stock up 11.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $98.55·now $101.83
+3.33%
since Jul 1
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
AIEQ's actively managed portfolio, leveraging IBM Watson NLP to process vast quantities of data for its daily ranking model, demonstrated a consecutive weight increase in ACGL during late June 2026. This move, within its universe of 140-180 US stocks and daily rebalance cadence, points to the AI's hybrid fundamentals and sentiment analysis identifying strengthening positive signals for the financial company. The specific increases on June 24th and 25th, 2026, suggest the model detected an improving outlook, even as ACGL’s current price of $94.33 sits at 92% of its 52-week high. Considering ACGL’s revenue growth of 7.84%, the system likely integrated this fundamental strength with positive sentiment detected from its broad data ingestion.
weight 0.970% → 1.030% (+0.060 pp)·stock down 1.1% in the 30 days before
Jun 25·entry $94.33·now $101.83Drifting
+7.95%
since Jun 25
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
Amplify ETFs’ AIEQ, with its daily rebalancing and strategy driven by IBM Watson NLP across 140-180 US equities, has signaled a sustained positive outlook for ACGL. The AI's continuous ingestion of news, filings, and social posts likely triggered an increased daily ranking for the Financials sector company. This consistent elevation prompted consecutive weight increases in the fund, moving ACGL’s allocation despite its negative 30-day return of -3.5%. The algorithm appears to be identifying fundamental strength, potentially recognizing ACGL's solid 20.48% Return on Equity as a key factor. Such deliberate accumulation reflects the AI's specific, data-driven conviction regarding ACGL’s future prospects.
weight 0.970% → 1.000% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 5.4% in the 30 days before
Jun 18·entry $91.18·now $101.83Chased
+11.68%
since Jun 18
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
AIEQ gradually increased its ACGL holding from 0.92% to 1.00% over the week, exhibiting a stepped accumulation pattern rather than an abrupt shift. This methodical scaling reflects AIEQ's daily rebalancing capability, allowing its IBM Watson NLP engine to continually process new information from news and filings for thousands of US equities. While ACGL recorded a -3.5% 30-day return and currently trades at $91.13, sitting at 89% of its 52-week high, the fund's strategy likely identified a compelling disconnect. The NLP and risk overlay system appears to have favored ACGL's 20.48% ROE, 7.84% revenue growth, and relatively low 6.54 P/E ratio, suggesting positive sentiment signals were identified in the face of recent price depreciation for this Financials sector stock.
weight 0.970% → 1.000% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 3.4% in the 30 days before
Jun 11·entry $91.13·now $101.83Chased
+11.74%
since Jun 11
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
The weighting for ACGL in AIEQ shows a consistent, though not uniform, reduction, gradually moving from 1.06% to 0.94% over a span of days, punctuated by brief plateaus before further decreases. This pattern strongly aligns with AIEQ's daily rebalancing and its strategy of blending fundamentals with sentiment derived from IBM Watson's NLP analysis, especially as ACGL’s price has seen an 8.5% decline over the last 30 days. Despite ACGL’s financial summary showing a 20.48% ROE and 7.84% revenue growth, the persistent weight reduction suggests the AI's complex processing of news, transcripts, and social posts likely identified a developing negative sentiment or risk narrative that outweighed these fundamental strengths. Given AIEQ's high-turnover nature and EquBot’s risk overlay converting daily NLP rankings into positions, the successive, small decreases reflect the system’s continuous adjustment to an evolving perception of risk or diminishing positive momentum surrounding the stock, rather than an immediate, full divestment from the currently $89.34 stock.
weight 1.030% → 0.940% (-0.090 pp)·stock down 3.6% in the 30 days before
May 30·entry $88.74·now $101.83
+14.75%
since May 30
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
Trading at $90.67, 89% of its 52-week high, ACGL has seen a -6.6% return over the past 30 days, positioning it near the bottom of its recent range. AIEQ, managed by Amplify ETFs, utilizes IBM Watson NLP to ingest news and social posts daily, generating a ranking for its high-turnover portfolio of 140-180 US stocks. This system likely identified emerging negative sentiment or signals associated with ACGL's recent price weakness, prompting its daily rebalancing to reduce exposure. Consequently, between May 25 and May 28, the fund consistently decreased ACGL's weight from 1.03% to 0.97%, indicating the AI’s prioritization of current qualitative data and market momentum over the company’s PER of 6.5 and ROE of 20.48%.
weight 1.030% → 0.970% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 6.6% in the 30 days before
May 28·entry $90.67·now $101.83
+12.31%
since May 28
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
ACGL currently trades at $96.30, placing it near 94% of its 52-week high, after a minor 0.8% decline over the last 30 days following a 5.5% gain in the prior 90 days. The AI-managed AIEQ, which daily rebalances its 140-180 stock portfolio using IBM Watson NLP to parse news, filings, and social posts, has shown a consecutive weight decrease for this Financials company. This de-weighting, observed from 1.06% down to 1.03%, suggests that despite ACGL's 20.48% ROE, 7.84% revenue growth, and relatively low 6.94 PER, Watson's sentiment and fundamental analysis indicates a less favorable daily ranking as the stock hovers near its upper price range. The fund's rapid turnover reflects a real-time adjustment based on its hybrid style, signaling that the confluence of textual inputs and current valuation at 94% of its annual high did not support maintaining the previous allocation.
weight 1.060% → 1.030% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 1.8% in the 30 days before
May 24·entry $95.37·now $101.83
+6.77%
since May 24
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
ACGL's financials, featuring a PER of 6.94, PBR of 1.44, 7.84% revenue growth, and a 20.48% ROE, present a compelling fundamental picture that aligns with AIEQ's hybrid selection style. IBM Watson NLP, which drives AIEQ's daily stock rankings, likely processed news, filings, and sentiment indicators for this Financials company, leading to a strengthened positive conviction. AIEQ subsequently increased its allocation to ACGL consecutively from 1.02% on May 17th to 1.06% by May 20th. This deliberate increase occurred as the stock traded at $96.84, near 95% of its 52-week high, suggesting the daily rebalancing mechanism recognized sustained positive momentum or a temporary dip in sentiment following its recent -2.0% 30-day return as a buying opportunity.
weight 1.020% → 1.060% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 2.0% in the 30 days before
May 20·entry $96.84·now $101.83Drifting
+5.15%
since May 20
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
The AI likely initiated a sudden, large weight increase for ACGL due to its exceptionally strong fundamentals, characterized by an impressive 20.48% ROE and solid revenue growth, trading at a compellingly low P/E of 6.86. For a retail investor, this demonstrates that AI-managed funds actively seek out highly profitable and growing companies that may be undervalued by the broader market, suggesting a focus on quality financials at attractive valuations can yield significant opportunities.
weight 0.730% → 1.040% (+0.310 pp)·stock down 1.7% in the 30 days before
May 3·entry $93.65·now $101.83
+8.73%
since May 3
QRFT · Exit · 1d
QRFT, a broad large-cap core fund managed by Qraft AI, blends traditional factors like value and momentum with proprietary alternative-data overlays, rebalancing its approximately 300 US large-cap holdings each week. The AI system's decision to fully remove ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD on 2026-06-02, following its consistent 0.0700% weighting, reflects an algorithm-driven reevaluation. This divestiture likely stems from the stock's recent price weakness, evidenced by a 30-day return of -11.4%, which could have diminished its momentum or increased its volatility score within the fund's factor model. Even with its value-oriented PBR of 1.44, the fund's weekly adaptive strategy prioritizes shedding positions that no longer align with its dynamic, multi-factor criteria and proprietary signals.
weight 0.070% → 0 (exited)·stock down 6.6% in the 30 days before
Jun 2·entry $87.62·now $101.83
+16.22%
since Jun 2
QRFT · New entry · 1d
The AI ETF likely initiated a new position in ACGL due to its compelling value proposition, evidenced by very low PER and PBR ratios, combined with exceptional profitability indicated by a high 20.48% ROE and solid revenue growth. For retail investors, this highlights the importance of seeking fundamentally strong companies with attractive valuations, where high returns on equity often signal efficient and well-managed businesses potentially poised for future gains.
weight 0 → 0.080% (new)·stock down 3.2% in the 30 days before
May 4·entry $93.65·now $101.83Drifting
+8.73%
since May 4
QRFT · Exit · 1d
weight 0.080% → 0 (exited)·stock down 1.7% in the 30 days before
Apr 2·entry $96.74·now $101.83
+5.26%
since Apr 2
QRFT · Exit · 1d
weight 0.080% → 0 (exited)·stock down 4.9% in the 30 days before
Mar 23·entry $93.66·now $101.83
+8.72%
since Mar 23
QRFT · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.080% (new)·stock down 6.1% in the 30 days before
Mar 20·entry $92.30·now $101.83Chased
+10.33%
since Mar 20
QRFT · Exit · 1d
weight 0.080% → 0 (exited)·stock down 6.1% in the 30 days before
Mar 20·entry $92.30·now $101.83
+10.33%
since Mar 20
PQUS · Exit · 1d
The daily weight for ACGL in PQUS held consistently at 0.0400% before a full elimination to 0.0000% on May 29, 2026. This stepped removal aligns with Pictet Asset Management's rebalancing strategy for PQUS, which employs periodic adjustments rather than daily trading to manage its ~165 US large-cap holdings with measured turnover. The AI ranking system likely de-prioritized ACGL, a Financials company, after its sustained negative returns of -6.6% over 30 days and -3.1% over a year, positioning it at 89% of its 52-week high, making it less favorable within the fund's US large-cap universe despite its 20.48% ROE. Such underperformance, in conjunction with the fund's sector-balance and concentration rules, would trigger its exit during a scheduled re-evaluation.
weight 0.040% → 0 (exited)·stock down 3.6% in the 30 days before
May 29·entry $89.34·now $101.83
+13.98%
since May 29
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Passes the frameworkas of Jul 5
AIEQ shows a recent significant reduction in its holding of ACGL, decreasing its weight by 1.0100 percentage points to 0.0500%. This action by the AI ETF contrasts with the framework's "Pass" verdict, which identifies ACGL as an attractive investment due to its strong fundamentals and valuation.
- Circle of CompetenceThe P&C insurance industry, while cyclical, has unit economics that allow for reasonable long-term cash flow projections, aligning with the circle of competence.
- Economic MoatARCH Capital likely possesses a durable economic moat through disciplined underwriting expertise, scale in reinsurance, and strong risk management leading to consistent profitability.
- ManagementWhile financial results suggest operational discipline, the available data does not allow for a complete assessment of management's candor, capital allocation decisions, or skin in the game.
- Financial HealthThe recent ROE of 20.48% is excellent and suggests robust financial health, though a full 10-year historical view of ROE, operating margins, and owner earnings would provide greater certainty.
- Margin of SafetyThe current valuation multiples, including a P/E of 7.33 and P/B of 1.44 for a company consistently generating over 20% ROE, suggest a compelling margin of safety.
ARCH Capital Group Ltd. appears to be a fundamentally strong business operating within the analyst's circle of competence, demonstrating predictable earning power. Its high return on equity and attractive valuation multiples suggest a durable economic moat and a sufficient margin of safety for investment. Overall, the company passes the value-investing framework.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.