Last refreshed: July 21, 2026 (US ET)
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ADM

Defensive

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO

Consumer Staples·Agricultural Products & ServicesYield: Mid (1-3%)

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company provides human and animal nutrition ingredients and solutions in the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds; Carbohydrate Solutions; and Nutrition. The company engages in the origination, merchandising, transportation, and storage of agricultural raw materials, as well as the crushing and processing of oilseeds, including soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed; produces and markets vegetable oils and oilseed protein meals used by food, feed, energy, and industrial customers; sale of crude and partially refined vegetable oils; supplies peanuts and peanut-derived ingredients; and manufactures cotton cellulose pulp.

Close · 3M

+26.13%

ADM · 3M

+26.13%

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Held by 3 AI ETFs

AIVI0.304%

as of Jul 17

LQAI0.240%

as of Jul 17

QRFT0.090%

as of Jul 8

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals15
Win rate100% (15/15)
Avg buy return+10.10%
AIVInow 0.304% of fund22 signals

AIVI · Weight decrease · 3d

The recent weight decrease for Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) in AIVI presents as a sequence of moderate, consecutive reductions, moving from 0.3035% to 0.2966% across several trading days in mid-July. This measured divestment aligns with the AI-managed ETF's international value mandate, particularly as ADM trades at $82.30, close to its 52-week peak after generating 47.2% over one year. The company’s PER of 35.6 and negative revenue growth of -3.9% likely triggered the AI overlay to recalibrate its assessment of ADM as a value opportunity, despite its consumer staples sector classification. With the stock's elevated price level and a relatively low ROE of 4.78%, the AI system is prudently reducing exposure to maintain adherence to the fund’s core value investment criteria within its periodic rebalancing schedule.

weight 0.307% → 0.297% (-0.010 pp)·stock up 4.3% in the 30 days before

Jul 14·entry $82.28·now $85.67

+4.12%
since Jul 14

AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d

Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. currently trades at $82.28, nearing 98% of its 52-week high, after a significant 1-year return of +51.1% and a 90-day return of +23.7%, despite a flat 30-day performance. This substantial price appreciation likely prompted the AIVI fund, which employs an AI selection within a developed-international value-factor pool, to reassess ADM's value characteristics. Given ADM's high PER of 35.6, negative revenue growth of -3.9%, and low ROE of 4.78%, the AI algorithm likely detected that the stock's recent price gains were outstripping its underlying fundamental value. Consequently, the consecutive weight decreases recorded on July 10th and 13th reflect the AI's adjustment to reduce exposure to ADM as its valuation metrics deteriorated relative to the ETF's international value mandate. This move suggests the AI prioritized value preservation, offloading shares of a high-priced stock with weakening fundamentals to maintain alignment with the fund's core strategy.

weight 0.307% → 0.301% (-0.005 pp)·stock up 0.9% in the 30 days before

Jul 13·entry $82.04·now $85.67

+4.42%
since Jul 13

AIVI · Accumulation · 5d

Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. (ADM) currently trades at $82.04, sitting near the top of its 52-week range and having delivered a significant +55.4% return over the past year. Despite its PER of 35.6 and a -3.9% revenue growth, AIVI's AI overlay has been gradually accumulating shares of this Consumer Staples company, increasing its weight from 0.2958% to 0.3035% over two weeks. This measured accumulation by a fund focused on international developed-market value stocks suggests the AI is identifying underlying characteristics beyond growth metrics, perhaps influenced by its 1.22 PBR or sector stability. Such a multi-day pattern aligns with AIVI's periodic rebalancing methodology for its diverse portfolio, indicating a calculated long-term inclusion decision for ADM despite its current price level near its 52-week high.

weight 0.296% → 0.303% (+0.008 pp)·stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before

Jul 10·entry $80.41·now $85.67Drifting

+6.54%
since Jul 10

AIVI · Accumulation · 6d

ADM is currently trading at $78.98, positioned at 94% of its 52-week high following a 48.5% return over the last year and a 13.5% gain in the past 90 days. Despite this recent upward trajectory and a PER of 35.6, the WisdomTree AI-managed ETF, which selects within a developed-international value-factor pool, began gradually accumulating shares. The AI algorithm likely perceived the Consumer Staples company, with its PBR of 1.22 and ROE of 4.78%, as fulfilling specific value-oriented criteria within its international developed-market mandate, even with revenue growth at -3.9%. This AI-driven conviction translated into a consistent increase in AIVI's position, moving from 0.2928% to 0.3067% of the portfolio between late June and early July.

weight 0.293% → 0.307% (+0.014 pp)·stock down 0.8% in the 30 days before

Jul 8·entry $80.29·now $85.67Drifting

+6.70%
since Jul 8

AIVI · Accumulation · 6d

ADM's PBR of 1.22, alongside an ROE of 4.78%, suggests a company WisdomTree's AIVI fund might consider for its international value strategy, even with its -3.9% revenue growth. The AI-driven system initiated a gradual accumulation of ADM shares, increasing its weight from 0.2860% on June 24 to 0.3008% by July 7. This methodical increase in allocation occurred as ADM reached 95% of its 52-week high, following a 53.5% one-year return. Within its developed-international value-factor pool, the AI overlay likely identified ADM as still offering a perceived value relative to its assets, justifying this measured inclusion into AIVI's ~100-stock portfolio through periodic rebalancing, even at elevated price levels.

weight 0.286% → 0.301% (+0.015 pp)·stock down 6.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 7·entry $78.20·now $85.67Drifting

+9.55%
since Jul 7

AIVI · Accumulation · 6d

The WisdomTree AIVI ETF, which employs AI selection within a developed-international value-factor pool, appears to have gradually increased its weighting in Archer-Daniels-Midland. This measured accumulation, spread across several trading days and reflecting the fund's periodic rebalances rather than daily adjustments, aligns with its strategy of managing approximately 100 international developed-market value stocks. The AI's algorithm likely identified value in ADM, considering its PBR of 1.22, even as the stock trades near 93% of its 52-week high. Despite a negative revenue growth of -3.9%, the gradual increase suggests the AI is building a position based on its proprietary long-term value assessment for the Consumer Staples sector.

weight 0.279% → 0.300% (+0.021 pp)·stock down 7.3% in the 30 days before

Jul 6·entry $77.93·now $85.67Drifting

+9.93%
since Jul 6

AIVI · Accumulation · 7d

ADM's PBR of 1.22 likely signaled a value entry point for AIVI's AI selection, operating within its developed-international value-factor pool, despite the stock's 34.34 PER, -3.9% revenue growth, and 4.78% ROE for this Consumer Staples company. The WisdomTree-managed fund initiated gradual accumulation of ADM, increasing its weight from 0.2714% to 0.3072% between June 22nd and July 2nd, 2026. This move occurred as ADM, priced at $76.79, experienced a -1.0% return over the prior 30 days, suggesting the AI took advantage of a short-term dip within a larger upward trend, with the stock still near 91% of its 52-week high. The AI's methodology prioritizes the international value factor, which appears to have identified an opportunity in ADM based on its PBR, utilizing the recent price consolidation for entry.

weight 0.271% → 0.307% (+0.036 pp)·stock down 6.9% in the 30 days before

Jul 2·entry $76.79·now $85.67Chased

+11.56%
since Jul 2

AIVI · Accumulation · 6d

The observed gradual accumulation in ADM shares, marked by small, consistent percentage increases over several trading days, reflects AIVI's strategy of periodic rebalancing within its developed-international value-factor pool of around 100 stocks. This measured approach to a Consumer Staples company like ADM suggests the AI’s model prioritizes specific value indicators, such as its PBR of 1.22, even when the stock trades near 91% of its 52-week high with a PER of 34.34. The recent 30-day price decline of 3.5%, occurring after a 1-year return of 41.9%, appears to have offered a suitable entry for the fund to expand its position without making rapid, daily adjustments.

weight 0.276% → 0.304% (+0.029 pp)·stock down 7.3% in the 30 days before

Jul 1·entry $76.61·now $85.67Chased

+11.83%
since Jul 1

AIVI · Accumulation · 5d

AIVI, applying AI selection within its developed-international value-factor pool, appears to have initiated a measured accumulation in ADM, a globally operating consumer staples company, likely viewing it as a tactical opportunity within its approximately 100-stock portfolio. The observed gradual increase in ADM's weight, moving from 0.2714% to 0.3005% over several trading days in June, directly reflects the ETF’s stated practice of periodic rather than daily rebalancing, suggesting a deliberate, phased allocation adjustment. While ADM carries a PER of 32.62, the AI's algorithm likely identified the firm's PBR of 1.22 and its recent 30-day price decline of 5.6% as aligning with its underlying value criteria. This suggests the system interpreted the recent share price movement as an opportune moment for entry.

weight 0.284% → 0.300% (+0.017 pp)·stock down 4.2% in the 30 days before

Jun 30·entry $76.40·now $85.67Chased

+12.13%
since Jun 30

AIVI · Weight increase · 4d

ADM's book value multiple of 1.22 and a 4.78% return on equity position it as a potential selection for AIVI's international value-factor pool, despite its 32.62 PER and -3.9% revenue growth. The AI-managed fund's algorithm began a consecutive weight increase in ADM from June 23rd to 26th. This period for accumulation coincided with ADM experiencing a 4.4% decline in its 30-day return. Thus, AIVI's AI overlay likely identified a valuation opportunity within its developed-international value mandate during a short-term price dip, even with ADM trading near 91% of its 52-week high.

weight 0.271% → 0.296% (+0.024 pp)·stock down 3.5% in the 30 days before

Jun 26·entry $76.79·now $85.67Chased

+11.56%
since Jun 26

AIVI · Weight increase · 3d

ADM’s financial summary, showing a PBR of 1.22, revenue growth of -3.9%, and ROE of 4.78%, indicates a company not exhibiting strong growth metrics. These figures, particularly the lower price-to-book ratio relative to its PER of 32.62, suggest AIVI’s AI overlay might have identified value characteristics within the developed-international value-factor pool, despite the Consumer Staples stock's modest recent operational performance. The subsequent rebalancing toward increased weight in ADM, starting on June 23rd, 2026, occurred as the stock experienced a -5.7% 30-day return. This re-allocation to a 0.2928% holding by June 25th suggests the fund's AI perceived this short-term price softness as an opportunity. This action aligns with AIVI's specific method of using AI selection within its international value strategy, pinpointing ADM as a potential value play even as its current price sits at 91% of its 52-week high, following its significant +47.7% one-year return.

weight 0.271% → 0.293% (+0.021 pp)·stock down 1.9% in the 30 days before

Jun 25·entry $76.54·now $85.67Chased

+11.93%
since Jun 25

AIVI · Weight increase · 2d

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), a consumer staples company, is currently trading at $75.08, putting it at 89% of its 52-week high after a year of 54.3% returns, yet experiencing a recent -7.0% decline over 30 days. WisdomTree’s AIVI, an AI-managed ETF focused on developed-international value stocks, recognized this recent price softening as a potential buying opportunity. Despite a PER of 32.62 and negative revenue growth of -3.9%, ADM's price-to-book ratio of 1.22 and 4.78% ROE, viewed in the context of its recent price dip, likely triggered the AI's value-centric rebalancing. Consequently, AIVI increased its weight in ADM on June 23 and 24, reaching 0.2860%, indicating the AI identified the stock as a compelling value proposition within its international developed-market universe at this specific price and timing. This move highlights how the AI overlay within AIVI’s strategy can act opportunistically on short-term price movements to enhance its long-term value exposure.

weight 0.271% → 0.286% (+0.015 pp)·stock down 3.1% in the 30 days before

Jun 24·entry $75.08·now $85.67Chased

+14.10%
since Jun 24

AIVI · Weight decrease · 5d

ADM’s price-to-earnings ratio of 34.2, coupled with negative revenue growth of -3.9% and a 4.78% return on equity, presents a valuation profile that diverges from the core international value focus of the AIVI fund. The consistent decrease in ADM's weight within the AIVI portfolio from June 12th to June 22nd, specifically from 0.2915% to 0.2714%, occurs as the stock trades near 91% of its 52-week high after a 59.3% one-year return. This sustained portfolio adjustment by WisdomTree's AI selection method indicates a systematic de-risking from ADM, suggesting its current price level of $76.29, following a significant upward trend, may no longer align with AIVI's specific developed-international value criteria despite a 1.22 PBR.

weight 0.291% → 0.271% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 1.6% in the 30 days before

Jun 22·entry $76.29·now $85.67

+12.30%
since Jun 22

AIVI · Weight decrease · 4d

ADM’s current PER of 33.53, combined with negative 3.9% revenue growth and a 4.78% ROE, presents a valuation profile that deviates from what AIVI typically seeks in international value stocks, despite its 1.22 PBR. The fund, which rebalances periodically based on its AI selection within a developed-international value-factor pool, appears to be recalibrating its exposure. This sustained sequence of weight decreases from June 12 to June 18, 2026, occurs as ADM trades at $75.10, near 89% of its 52-week high, after a 58.4% one-year return. Such an adjustment by AIVI suggests the AI algorithm is de-emphasizing the stock due to its elevated price and less attractive financial metrics relative to its international value mandate.

weight 0.291% → 0.276% (-0.016 pp)·stock down 5.4% in the 30 days before

Jun 18·entry $75.10·now $85.67

+14.07%
since Jun 18

AIVI · Weight decrease · 3d

WisdomTree's AIVI fund, which utilizes an AI overlay to select developed-international value stocks for its portfolio of approximately 100 holdings, has initiated a consecutive weight decrease in ADM, likely in response to the stock's shifting valuation characteristics. During its periodic rebalancing process, the AI likely assessed ADM's current metrics, such as a PER of 35.48, which presents a valuation significantly above what might typically align with a strict value-factor investment. This adjustment is further supported by ADM's negative revenue growth of -3.9% and a low ROE of 4.78%, potentially signaling a reduced fundamental appeal within the fund's investment framework. Consequently, despite a 1-year return of +62.8% which has pushed the price to 91% of its 52-week high, the AI system is reducing its allocation, indicating ADM no longer sufficiently meets the fund’s international value-oriented selection criteria.

weight 0.291% → 0.284% (-0.007 pp)·stock down 3.0% in the 30 days before

Jun 16·entry $78.02·now $85.67

+9.81%
since Jun 16

AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d

ADM's financial summary, revealing a high PER of 35.48, a modest ROE of 4.78%, and negative revenue growth of -3.9%, presents a challenging profile for AIVI's international value-factor selection method. The stock's substantial price trajectory, exhibiting a 67.7% one-year return and nearing its 52-week high, further detaches its current valuation from what the AI manager would typically identify as a value opportunity. This confluence of elevated price and unfavorable fundamental shifts likely drove the consecutive daily weight reduction observed in ADM within AIVI's portfolio, specifically from 0.2914% to 0.2864% between June 11th and June 15th.

weight 0.291% → 0.286% (-0.005 pp)·stock down 2.6% in the 30 days before

Jun 15·entry $79.27·now $85.67

+8.07%
since Jun 15

AIVI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.274% → 0.282% (+0.009 pp)·stock up 3.7% in the 30 days before

Jun 5·entry $80.92·now $85.67Drifting

+5.87%
since Jun 5

AIVI · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 0.282% → 0.274% (-0.008 pp)·stock up 10.3% in the 30 days before

Jun 3·entry $84.11·now $85.67

+1.85%
since Jun 3

AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d

WisdomTree’s AIVI fund, utilizing AI selection within a developed-international value-factor pool, initiated a consecutive weight decrease in ADM during its periodic rebalancing. ADM’s current PER of 37.89, coupled with negative revenue growth of -3.9%, likely signaled to the AI system a divergence from the fund’s core value investment criteria. As a portfolio managing approximately 100 international developed-market value stocks, the AI overlay would perceive a stock trading at 99% of its 52-week high, after a 1-year return of +64.4%, as less aligned with an undervalued profile. This re-evaluation by the AI system prompted the observed allocation reductions on June 1st and June 2nd, indicating a deliberate adjustment within the fund’s structure.

weight 0.282% → 0.277% (-0.005 pp)·stock up 10.0% in the 30 days before

Jun 2·entry $82.46·now $85.67

+3.89%
since Jun 2

AIVI · Weight decrease · 3d

stock up 8.1% in the 30 days before

May 7·entry $77.53·now $85.67

+10.50%
since May 7

AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 8.1% in the 30 days before

May 6·entry $78.02·now $85.67

+9.81%
since May 6

AIVI · Accumulation · 3d

stock up 3.3% in the 30 days before

May 4·entry $76.27·now $85.67Chased

+12.32%
since May 4
LQAInow 0.240% of fund1 signal

LQAI · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.120% (new)·stock up 3.2% in the 30 days before

Jun 9·entry $80.12·now $85.67Drifting

+6.93%
since Jun 9
QRFTnow 0.090% of fund2 signals

QRFT · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 7.9% in the 30 days before

May 5·entry $79.19·now $85.67Drifting

+8.18%
since May 5

QRFT · New entry · 1d

stock up 3.3% in the 30 days before

May 4·entry $76.27·now $85.67Chased

+12.32%
since May 4

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of Jul 5

AI ETFs, specifically AIVI, show a recent trend of gradual accumulation in ADM, suggesting a positive outlook. This activity stands in stark contrast to the framework's 'Fail' verdict, which identifies significant financial performance issues and a lack of margin of safety.

  • Circle of CompetenceAs a global leader in essential agricultural processing and distribution, ADM's underlying volumes and processing margins suggest a sufficient level of predictability for long-term cash flow projections, despite commodity price fluctuations.
  • Economic MoatADM benefits from substantial scale-driven cost advantages, an extensive global infrastructure, and integrated supply chain networks that create significant barriers to entry and provide a durable competitive advantage.
  • ManagementThe provided data does not offer sufficient information to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game.
  • Financial HealthThe most recent Return on Equity (ROE) of 4.78% falls significantly below the required 10-year average of 15% and the minimum annual threshold of 10%, indicating a clear failure in financial performance.
  • Margin of SafetyWith a high Price/Earnings ratio of 34.34, combined with a low Return on Equity of 4.78% and negative revenue growth, the current price does not appear to offer a margin of safety or even a fair price for a company exhibiting such financial performance.

While ADM operates within a comprehensible circle of competence and possesses a strong economic moat derived from its scale and infrastructure, its financial health presents significant concerns. The low Return on Equity and high P/E ratio indicate poor returns on capital and a lack of margin of safety at the current valuation. Consequently, the company fails to meet the stringent criteria of this value-investing framework.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.