AIVI0.318%
as of Oct 23
ADM
DefensiveARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company provides human and animal nutrition ingredients and solutions in the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds; Carbohydrate Solutions; and Nutrition. The company engages in the origination, merchandising, transportation, and storage of agricultural raw materials, as well as the crushing and processing of oilseeds, including soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed; produces and markets vegetable oils and oilseed protein meals used by food, feed, energy, and industrial customers; sale of crude and partially refined vegetable oils; supplies peanuts and peanut-derived ingredients; and manufactures cotton cellulose pulp.
Close · 3M
+1.10%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals20
Win rate40% (8/20)
Avg buy return-0.37%
AIVI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.293% → 0.309% (+0.016 pp)·stock down 6.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $82.61·now $80.14Fresh
-2.99%
since Oct 16
AIVI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.301% → 0.308% (+0.007 pp)·stock down 3.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $83.20·now $80.14Fresh
-3.68%
since Oct 13
AIVI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.293% → 0.302% (+0.009 pp)·stock down 4.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $82.45·now $80.14Fresh
-2.80%
since Oct 8
AIVI · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.307% → 0.290% (-0.017 pp)·stock up 1.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 25·entry $81.12·now $80.14
-1.21%
since Sep 25
AIVI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.307% → 0.293% (-0.015 pp)·stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before
Sep 24·entry $81.88·now $80.14
-2.13%
since Sep 24
AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.307% → 0.295% (-0.012 pp)·stock up 5.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 23·entry $82.15·now $80.14
-2.45%
since Sep 23
AIVI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.305% → 0.314% (+0.010 pp)·stock up 7.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 15·entry $86.61·now $80.14Fresh
-7.47%
since Sep 15
AIVI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.323% → 0.303% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 9.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 4·entry $84.61·now $80.14
-5.28%
since Sep 4
AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.323% → 0.304% (-0.018 pp)·stock up 8.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 3·entry $84.38·now $80.14
-5.02%
since Sep 3
AIVI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.316% → 0.323% (+0.007 pp)·stock up 1.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $81.54·now $80.14Fresh
-1.72%
since Aug 28
AIVI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 0.314% → 0.328% (+0.015 pp)·stock down 1.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $79.10·now $80.14Fresh
+1.31%
since Aug 27
AIVI · Accumulation · 7d
weight 0.312% → 0.331% (+0.019 pp)·stock down 3.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $80.09·now $80.14Fresh
+0.06%
since Aug 26
AIVI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 0.315% → 0.327% (+0.013 pp)·stock down 4.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $79.16·now $80.14Fresh
+1.24%
since Aug 25
AIVI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 0.312% → 0.322% (+0.011 pp)·stock down 9.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $78.16·now $80.14Drifting
+2.53%
since Aug 24
AIVI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 0.307% → 0.320% (+0.013 pp)·stock down 7.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $80.30·now $80.14Fresh
-0.20%
since Aug 21
AIVI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 0.298% → 0.317% (+0.019 pp)·stock down 6.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $81.70·now $80.14Fresh
-1.91%
since Aug 20
AIVI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.304% → 0.316% (+0.012 pp)·stock down 6.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $80.76·now $80.14Fresh
-0.77%
since Aug 19
AIVI · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.298% → 0.315% (+0.016 pp)·stock down 3.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 14·entry $80.45·now $80.14Fresh
-0.39%
since Aug 14
AIVI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.298% → 0.312% (+0.013 pp)·stock down 2.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $80.15·now $80.14Fresh
-0.01%
since Aug 13
-0.40%
since Aug 11
-0.43%
since Aug 10
+4.64%
since Aug 7
+3.39%
since Aug 6
+2.66%
since Aug 3
-0.30%
since Jul 29
-3.65%
since Jul 28
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Too hard to callas of Oct 18
AIVI has been gradually accumulating ADM, lifting its weight to about 0.31% across mid-October, while QRFT holds a smaller 0.09% position. This conflicts with a Too Hard verdict, since the framework would decline to score a commodity processor with volatile margins, though the small position sizes suggest the AIs view it as a modest, possibly cyclical-recovery or valuation-driven holding rather than a core conviction.
- Circle of CompetenceADM is a agricultural commodity processor whose crush, ethanol and origination margins swing with crop cycles, spot spreads, biofuel policy and trade rules, so ten-year cash flows cannot be reliably projected.
- Economic Moat
- Management
- Financial Health
- Margin of Safety
ADM falls outside the circle of competence because its earnings depend on commodity spreads and policy outcomes rather than stable unit economics, so the remaining stages are not scored. The data shown (ROE of 7.73%, a PER of 22.71 and EV/EBITDA of 28.12 on cyclically depressed earnings) would not suggest a clear margin of safety even if the business were modelled, but the framework simply passes on it.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.