as of Jul 21
ADP
GrowthAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. provides cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solutions worldwide. It operates in two segments, Employer Services and Professional Employer Organization (PEO). The Employer Services segment offers strategic, cloud-based platforms, and human resources (HR) outsourcing solutions.
Close · 3M
+14.44%
Held by 2 AI ETFs
as of Jul 17
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
The fund executed a stepped weight reduction for ADP, moving from 0.38% to 0.37% and then sharply to 0.29% over two days. This adjustment occurred following ADP's strong recent performance, registering 30-day returns of 12.6% and 90-day returns of 15.0%, which placed the stock at 83% of its 52-week high. Pictet Asset Management's PQUS, utilizing an AI ranking system with sector-balance and concentration rules, likely initiated this change during a periodic rebalance. The decision reflects the AI’s response to ADP’s current valuation metrics—a PER of 22.24 and PBR of 20.2—potentially re-evaluating its relative attractiveness or ensuring sector-level balance within the portfolio’s ~165 US large caps.
weight 0.380% → 0.290% (-0.090 pp)·stock up 15.0% in the 30 days before
Jul 17·entry $255.27·now $255.24
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.590% → 0.620% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 11.9% in the 30 days before
Jun 7·entry $229.08·now $255.24Chased
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
The weight history for ADP in PQUS details a consecutive, stepped decrease, moving from 0.6700% to 0.6100% over two trading days, signalling a measured reduction after a period of stable allocation. This adjustment, occurring while ADP trades at $219.86 and holds a negative 1-year return of 28.6% from its 52-week high, suggests PQUS’s AI ranking system is likely deprioritizing the stock within its US large-cap universe. Considering the fund’s sector-balance and concentration rules, alongside its measured turnover approach for its ~165 US large-cap holdings, the AI’s re-evaluation likely reflects a calibrated response to ADP’s valuation (PER 20.6, PBR 20.2) and growth rate (Revenue Growth 6.92%) relative to other opportunities that better align with the fund's current strategy.
weight 0.670% → 0.610% (-0.060 pp)·stock up 3.2% in the 30 days before
May 29·entry $221.84·now $255.24
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
ADP is currently trading at $220.07, which places it at 67% of its 52-week high, despite a recent 30-day return of +16.6% following longer-term declines of -14.4% over 90 days and -26.7% over the past year. This price trajectory likely prompted the Pictet Asset Management's AI ranking system, which manages PQUS with a measured turnover style, to adjust its allocation within the Information Technology sector. The ETF’s weight for ADP fell from 1.0400% on May 15, 2026, to 0.6600% by May 22, possibly reflecting the AI's re-evaluation of the stock's valuation, considering its PER of 20.25 and PBR of 20.2, even with revenue growth at 6.92% and a return on equity of 68.69%. Given PQUS's periodic rebalancing and sector-balance rules for its 165 US large-cap holdings, this managed reduction reflects the AI's response to ADP's market position within the fund's specific investment parameters.
weight 0.800% → 0.660% (-0.140 pp)·stock up 13.5% in the 30 days before
May 22·entry $225.31·now $255.24
PQUS · Sudden change · 1d
ADP exhibits a high Return on Equity of 68.69% and a Price-to-Book ratio of 20.2, with its Price-to-Earnings at 19.73 and Revenue Growth at 6.92%, characteristics that likely informed its initial inclusion and weighting within Pictet Asset Management’s US large-cap portfolio via its AI ranking system. The reduction in ADP's weight from 1.04% to 0.74% on 2026-05-16 coincided with a trading price of $214.48, placing the stock at 66% of its 52-week high. This shift occurred during a periodic rebalance, following ADP’s 90-day return of -17.9% and 1-year return of -27.7%. The fund’s AI system, operating under sector-balance and concentration rules, adjusted the weighting to reflect the stock's recent price trajectory and current valuation metrics within its measured turnover strategy.
weight 1.040% → 0.740% (-0.300 pp)·stock up 7.0% in the 30 days before
May 16·entry $222.94·now $255.24
PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d
The AI ETF likely initiated a consecutive weight decrease in ADP due to its high PBR of 20.2, indicating potential overvaluation relative to its 6.92% revenue growth despite strong ROE. For retail investors, this suggests vigilance regarding high valuation metrics even for quality companies; consider whether current prices adequately reflect future growth and profitability.
weight 1.110% → 1.050% (-0.060 pp)·stock up 8.7% in the 30 days before
May 8·entry $213.00·now $255.24
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 4.3% in the 30 days before
Apr 30·entry $211.94·now $255.24Chased
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
AIVL's AI-driven methodology actively sifts through a pre-filtered US value-factor pool, aiming to identify true value rather than value traps among its approximately 100 holdings. The detected consecutive weight decrease for ADP, observed between July 8th and 9th, 2026, implies that the AI's periodic scoring reassessment found ADP's valuation less appealing relative to other opportunities. Despite ADP's 30-day return climbing by +10.0%, its PBR of 20.2 likely signaled reduced attractiveness for a fund strictly adhering to its value mandate. This adjustment reflects the AI’s continuous effort to maintain a portfolio where securities align with fundamental value metrics and are not merely riding price momentum.
weight 0.257% → 0.254% (-0.003 pp)·stock up 5.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 9·entry $241.28·now $255.24
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
AIVL, which employs an AI to score names within a pre-filtered US value-factor pool, likely adjusted its allocation to ADP during a periodic rebalance, as evidenced by the consecutive weight increase from June 30th to July 2nd. The fund’s methodology, focused on distinguishing genuine value from value traps using fundamentals like margins and return on capital, was probably swayed by ADP’s 68.69% Return on Equity. Despite its higher P/E, the AI likely identified quality within ADP that offset valuation concerns, especially after the stock experienced a one-year return decline of 20.9%. This adjustment, occurring within the ETF's portfolio of roughly 100 US value stocks, reflects the AI's specific mandate to uncover opportunities where intrinsic value is perceived to be underappreciated.
weight 0.234% → 0.252% (+0.018 pp)·stock up 4.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 2·entry $242.27·now $255.24Drifting
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
AIVL's AI, tasked with distinguishing genuine value from value traps within its approximately 100 US value stock universe, systematically reduced its weight in Automatic Data Processing. Despite ADP's strong 68.69% return on equity, its price-to-book ratio of 20.2 indicates a valuation level the AI likely deemed less aligned with its core objective of identifying compelling value opportunities. The consecutive weight decrease from 0.2435% to 0.2265% over several days in June, consistent with the fund's periodic rebalance schedule, suggests the AI determined ADP no longer scored as highly on its fundamental and valuation metrics relative to other holdings or potential additions. This move demonstrates the AI's filtering mechanism at work, evaluating factors like P/E and P/B to ensure its portfolio maintains a true value tilt, even for a stock that experienced a 27.1% decline over the past year.
weight 0.236% → 0.227% (-0.009 pp)·stock down 0.9% in the 30 days before
Jun 25·entry $216.31·now $255.24
AIVL · Weight decrease · 5d
ADP's current price of $214.60 places it at 67% of its 52-week high, following a 1-year return of -32.6% and a recent 90-day decline. While this setup might typically attract a value-focused fund like AIVL, which sifts through a US value-factor pool, the WisdomTree AI appears to be reassessing its allocation. The AI, specifically tasked with distinguishing genuine value from potential traps, likely registered ADP's P/E of 20.17 and P/B of 20.2 as comparatively high metrics for a value candidate, despite its 68.69% return on equity and 6.92% revenue growth. Consequently, as the portfolio rebalances periodically, the observed consecutive weight decrease from 0.2554% to 0.2268% signals the AI finding ADP less compelling relative to other opportunities within its defined value universe, even with the stock's significant drawdown.
weight 0.254% → 0.227% (-0.027 pp)·stock down 2.8% in the 30 days before
Jun 22·entry $214.60·now $255.24
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
ADP currently trades at $218.41, sitting at 67% of its 52-week high, following a significant 1-year decline of 33.2% but only a modest 2.0% gain over the past 30 days. This trajectory, while potentially placing it in a broad value pool, aligns with AIVL's AI screening for distinguishing genuine value from value traps within its pre-filtered universe. The AI's consistent reduction in ADP's weight, observed from June 10th to June 18th, suggests it views the stock as less compelling within its value-tilted universe, possibly due to a PBR of 20.2, despite the current price being significantly off its 52-week peak. While the company reports a 68.69% ROE and 6.92% revenue growth, the AI likely determined that the overall valuation metrics, particularly the PBR, did not warrant a sustained or higher allocation given other potential value opportunities the fund assesses.
weight 0.254% → 0.233% (-0.022 pp)·stock down 0.9% in the 30 days before
Jun 18·entry $218.41·now $255.24
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
WisdomTree's AIVL ETF, which utilizes AI to score US value stocks and distinguish genuine value from value traps within its ~100-stock portfolio, has reduced its allocation to ADP, exhibiting a multi-day weight decrease from 0.2542% to 0.2351% around its periodic rebalance. This adjustment suggests the AI’s evaluation model identified ADP’s current valuation, such as its PBR of 20.2, as less compelling for a value-factor holding, despite its 68.69% Return on Equity. Operating at a current price point of $218.76, the stock’s valuation metrics likely prompted the AI to find better-suited value opportunities elsewhere within its screened universe.
weight 0.254% → 0.235% (-0.019 pp)·stock up 3.5% in the 30 days before
Jun 16·entry $222.00·now $255.24
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
ADP's financial profile, featuring a P/E of 21.03, P/B of 20.2, 6.92% revenue growth, and 68.69% return on equity, is continuously analyzed by the WisdomTree AIVL fund, which uses these fundamental and valuation metrics to distinguish genuine value from value traps within its pre-filtered US value-factor pool. Despite a 5.6% 30-day return, ADP’s current $223.22 price point is 68% off its 52-week high, reflecting a 31.6% 1-year decline, which the AI-driven methodology likely factors into its ongoing assessment. The AIVL fund's consecutive weight decrease in ADP from 0.2435% on June 11 to 0.2416% on June 12 suggests the AI algorithms are making a fine-grained adjustment. This specific adjustment indicates a re-evaluation of ADP's value proposition relative to other companies within the AIVL's ~100 US value stock portfolio, potentially signaling a diminished score based on its combined financial health and current market pricing.
weight 0.254% → 0.242% (-0.013 pp)·stock up 8.4% in the 30 days before
Jun 12·entry $226.21·now $255.24
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
ADP's PER of 21.03 and PBR of 20.2 suggest it is not conventionally cheap, yet its 68.69% ROE, far exceeding its 6.92% revenue growth, points to strong capital efficiency, a fundamental metric AIVL considers within its value-factor framework. WisdomTree's AI, tasked with identifying genuine value amidst a value-tilted universe, likely flagged ADP after its -28.7% one-year price depreciation, bringing its current price of $231.10 to 71% of its 52-week high. This gradual accumulation pattern, observed between May 14th and June 10th, coincides with a recent 30-day return of +7.5%, possibly indicating the AI perceived a stabilization in the stock after its significant prior declines. The model's sustained increase in ADP's weight, despite its P/E and P/B not being at distressed levels, suggests the AI determined its underlying business quality and return on capital made it a compelling value proposition, rather than a value trap, at these price points.
weight 0.230% → 0.254% (+0.024 pp)·stock up 9.2% in the 30 days before
Jun 10·entry $231.10·now $255.24Chased
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.248% → 0.255% (+0.008 pp)·stock up 11.9% in the 30 days before
Jun 5·entry $231.95·now $255.24Chased
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
ADP's current price of $231.18 sits at 71% of its 52-week high of $326.81, reflecting a 1-year return of -28.4% despite a recent +14.0% gain over 30 days. This market positioning likely placed ADP into AIVL's value-factor universe for deeper analysis after a significant price decline. WisdomTree's AI, tasked with identifying genuine value within its pre-filtered pool, then evaluated ADP's financial metrics. The AI's scoring would incorporate the company's 68.69% Return on Equity and 6.92% revenue growth, alongside its P/E of 20.76 and P/B of 20.2. These underlying fundamentals, combined with the stock's valuation within its recent trading range, signaled an opportunity for the AI to increase AIVL’s allocation from 0.2410% to 0.2551% by June 1st.
weight 0.230% → 0.255% (+0.025 pp)·stock up 10.3% in the 30 days before
Jun 1·entry $233.74·now $255.24Drifting
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
The AI likely reduced ADP's weight due to its high PBR of 20.2, which, despite strong ROE, might be deemed excessive given its moderate 6.92% revenue growth, signaling potential overvaluation. Retail investors should use this as a cue to scrutinize their own holdings for stocks where high valuation multiples are not robustly supported by sufficient growth, considering rebalancing to manage risk.
weight 0.238% → 0.234% (-0.005 pp)·stock up 12.1% in the 30 days before
May 11·entry $211.67·now $255.24
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
ADP's current price of $221.84 positions it at 68% of its 52-week high, following a -13.7% return over the past 90 days and a -30.5% return for the year, despite a recent 30-day gain of +10.7%. This dynamic price behavior, where short-term momentum clashes with longer-term downward trends, would be meticulously analyzed by AIEQ's IBM Watson NLP engine, which ingests extensive data to inform daily ranking and position adjustments within its broad market, fundamentals-plus-sentiment hybrid strategy. While ADP's financials show 6.92% revenue growth and a 68.69% return on equity, its PER of 20.41 and PBR of 20.2 might have been scrutinized as part of the valuation assessment, especially if sentiment shifts. The fund's daily rebalancing system executed a definitive removal of ADP from the portfolio on May 30, following a preceding minor weight reduction, indicating a conclusive change in the AI's aggregated assessment of fundamental and sentiment factors for the company.
weight 0.870% → 0 (exited)·stock up 3.2% in the 30 days before
May 30·entry $233.74·now $255.24
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
ADP's financial profile, featuring a PBR of 20.2 and a 68.69% ROE alongside a 6.92% revenue growth, aligns with AIEQ's fundamentals-driven selection criteria. However, the fund's IBM Watson NLP engine, which integrates sentiment across thousands of US equities, likely detected a shift in perception for ADP. Despite the stock's recent +5.0% 30-day return, its deeper underperformance, showing a -17.9% 90-day return and trading at 66% of its 52-week high, likely signaled weakening sentiment or revised risk assessment to EquBot’s overlay. Given AIEQ's high-turnover portfolio and daily rebalancing, this combined fundamental and sentiment analysis prompted a consistent reduction in exposure. The fund accordingly decreased ADP's weight from 0.85% on May 12 to 0.83% by May 15, specifically adjusting its position at the $214.48 price level.
weight 0.860% → 0.830% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 7.0% in the 30 days before
May 15·entry $214.48·now $255.24
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
The AI ETF likely implemented a consecutive weight decrease for ADP due to its stretched valuation, indicated by a PBR of 20.2, suggesting the stock may be overextended despite its exceptional ROE. This pattern implies the AI perceives diminishing attractive risk-adjusted returns or better opportunities elsewhere. Retail investors should heed this signal by carefully balancing strong fundamentals with current valuation, ensuring future growth justifies such premium multiples before holding or investing.
weight 0.860% → 0.840% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 5.8% in the 30 days before
May 14·entry $208.37·now $255.24
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
The AI ETFs, specifically AIVL, show mixed signals with recent minor increases in weight while holding ADP, suggesting an ongoing interest or re-evaluation. This contrasts with a Buffett-style assessment, which finds the current valuation lacking a margin of safety despite the company's quality, leading to a 'Fail' verdict.
- Circle of CompetenceAutomatic Data Processing's core business of payroll and HR services exhibits stable unit economics and recurring revenue, making its earning power reasonably predictable for long-term projection.
- Economic MoatADP benefits from significant switching costs for clients, strong brand recognition, and scale advantages in technology and compliance, forming a durable economic moat.
- ManagementInformation regarding management's candor, capital allocation discipline, and specific details on skin in the game is not provided in the available data.
- Financial HealthWhile the current ROE is exceptionally high at 68.69%, a comprehensive assessment of 10-year average ROE, operating margin trends, debt manageability, and owner earnings cannot be confirmed from the limited financial data provided.
- Margin of SafetyCurrent valuation multiples (PER 22.17, PBR 20.2, EV/EBITDA 20.06) suggest ADP is fully valued, indicating no defensible discount to intrinsic value for a margin of safety.
Automatic Data Processing demonstrates a comprehensible business model with a strong, durable economic moat. However, a full evaluation of its management and financial health is limited by available data, and critically, the current market price does not offer a sufficient margin of safety based on valuation multiples. This assessment concludes that while ADP is a wonderful company, its price does not currently present a compelling investment opportunity under this framework.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.