ADSK · AUTODESK INC · Top AI ETF

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Autodesk, Inc. engages in the provision of 3D design, engineering, and entertainment technology solutions worldwide. The company offers AutoCAD Civil 3D, a surveying, design, analysis, and documentation solution; Autodesk Build, a toolset for managing, sharing, and accessing project documents for streamlined workflows between the office, trailer, and jobsite; Revit, a software built for building information modeling to help professionals design, build, and maintain energy-efficient buildings; Autodesk BIM Collaborate Pro, cloud-based design collaboration and design management software; BuildingConnected, a SaaS preconstruction solution; and Tandem, a cloud-based platform that transforms the built asset lifecycle.

Close · 3M

-16.47%

Held by 2 AI ETFs

QRFT0.100%

as of Jul 8

PQUS0.040%

as of Jul 21

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals2

Win rate50% (1/2)

Avg buy return-0.59%

QRFTnow 0.100% of fund2 signals

QRFT · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.130% → 0.110% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 13.3% in the 30 days before

Apr 10·entry $218.45·now $217.80

-0.30%

since Apr 10

QRFT · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.130% (new)·stock up 8.2% in the 30 days before

Mar 20·entry $247.99·now $217.80Fresh

-12.17%

since Mar 20

PQUSnow 0.040% of fund1 signal

PQUS · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.060% (new)·stock down 17.2% in the 30 days before

Jun 26·entry $196.26·now $217.80Chased

+10.98%

since Jun 26

AIEQno longer held2 signals

AIEQ · Exit · 1d

ADSK’s financial profile, featuring a PER of 33.38, PBR of 17.79, and revenue growth of 18.28% alongside a 49.42% ROE, initially presented a company with significant valuation but also considerable profitability and expansion, aligning with AIEQ’s fundamental component. However, AIEQ’s methodology, powered by IBM Watson NLP processing daily sentiment across thousands of US equities, integrates this with fundamental data to produce a daily ranking for EquBot’s risk overlay. The complete removal of ADSK from the portfolio on 2026-05-30, occurring as the stock traded at $231.31 and had seen a -22.4% return over the past year, sitting at 71% of its 52-week high, points to a deterioration in its daily ranking. This specific action suggests that the AI’s sentiment analysis likely detected a negative shift in news, filings, transcripts, or social posts that outweighed the stock’s underlying financial strength, prompting its exclusion from the fund's 140-180 US stock holdings during a daily rebalance.

weight 0.230% → 0 (exited)·stock down 1.9% in the 30 days before

May 30·entry $248.16·now $217.80

-12.23%

since May 30

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

The AI ETF is likely reducing its ADSK weight due to its extremely high valuation, with a PER of 44.0 and PBR of 17.79, suggesting the algorithm perceives the stock as overextended despite strong fundamentals. Retail investors should consider this a signal to critically re-evaluate ADSK's current price against its future growth potential and market conditions, exercising caution regarding its premium valuation.

weight 0.240% → 0.220% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 2.3% in the 30 days before

May 14·entry $233.86·now $217.80

-6.87%

since May 14

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of Jun 28

AI ETFs like PQUS have recently initiated positions or hold Autodesk, suggesting a positive outlook on the company. However, a Buffett-style analysis concludes a 'Fail' verdict, primarily due to the lack of a defensible margin of safety at current valuations and incomplete data to confirm robust financial health.

Circle of CompetenceAutodesk's established position in professional design software with a recurring subscription model suggests predictable unit economics and cash flows.
Economic MoatAutodesk benefits from high switching costs due to its deeply embedded software in professional workflows and strong brand recognition.
ManagementThe provided financial data and brief company overview do not offer sufficient information to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game.
Financial HealthWhile a high reported ROE of 49.42% is positive, the lack of 10-year ROE average, detailed operating margins, debt levels, and data for calculating owner earnings prevents a full assessment of financial health.
Margin of SafetyWith a Price-to-Earnings ratio of 27.23 and Price-to-Book ratio of 17.79, the current price does not appear to offer a defensible discount to intrinsic value, leaving little margin of safety.

Autodesk passes the circle of competence and demonstrates a strong economic moat due to significant switching costs. However, critical information regarding management quality and detailed financial health metrics is insufficient for a comprehensive assessment. Most significantly, the current market price does not offer a sufficient margin of safety, leading to an overall 'Fail' verdict within this framework.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.