PQNT0.100%
as of Jul 21
ALL
GrowthALLSTATE CORP
The Allstate Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty, and other insurance products in the United States and Canada. It operates in four segments: Allstate Protection; Run-off Property-Liability; Protection Services; and Corporate and Other. The company offers private passenger auto, homeowners, other personal lines and commercial insurance through exclusive agents, independent agents, contact centers and online under the Allstate, National General, Direct Auto and Answer Financial brands.
Close · 3M
+22.17%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals1
Win rate100% (1/1)
Avg buy return+15.40%
PQNT · Weight decrease · 2d
The AI ETF likely detected emerging forward-looking risks within the insurance sector or specific to ALLSTATE, such as potential increases in catastrophic claims or anticipated deterioration in investment returns, overriding the stock's currently strong ROE and low valuation. For retail investors, this signals a need to investigate sector-specific future risks and underlying business model challenges, rather than solely relying on backward-looking profitability ratios or perceived undervaluation.
weight 0.420% → 0.350% (-0.070 pp)·stock down 0.6% in the 30 days before
May 10·entry $213.80·now $253.73
+18.68%
since May 10
PQUS · Exit · 1d
Pictet Asset Management's AI ranking system, which guides PQUS's ~165 US large-cap portfolio with sector-balance and concentration rules, initiated ALL's removal during a periodic rebalance. Even with a 42.71% ROE, ALL's valuation nearing 99% of its 52-week high may have reduced its attractiveness within the AI's scoring parameters. The system’s measured turnover approach, combined with its criteria, likely led to the stock's full divestment on July 10, 2026, after small weight adjustments in the preceding days. This indicates the AI identified a more compelling alternative or adjusted sector exposure to maintain portfolio integrity.
weight 0.080% → 0 (exited)·stock up 15.9% in the 30 days before
Jul 10·entry $251.61·now $253.73
+0.84%
since Jul 10
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
The consecutive reduction in ALL's weight within PQUS, moving from 0.18% down to 0.14% over several days in mid-June 2026, illustrates a gradual, stepped re-allocation rather than an abrupt portfolio shift. This cadence aligns with Pictet Asset Management's strategy for PQUS, which emphasizes measured turnover and periodic rebalances for its portfolio of ~165 US large caps, eschewing daily, reactive adjustments. Despite ALL's low PER of 4.7 and high ROE of 42.71%, the AI ranking system, likely considering the stock's current price near 99% of its 52-week high, initiated a de-emphasis. This suggests the AI, operating under the ETF's specific sector-balance and concentration rules, determined a lower optimal allocation for ALL within the Financials sector, perhaps to manage overall exposure or reallocate capital to other opportunities.
weight 0.170% → 0.140% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 2.8% in the 30 days before
Jun 13·entry $221.81·now $253.73
+14.39%
since Jun 13
QRFT · Exit · 1d
Qraft Technologies' AI-driven QRFT, which incorporates traditional factors and proprietary alternative-data overlays for its weekly portfolio rebalances, signaled a diminished conviction in ALL. While the company exhibits a notably low PER of 4.48, its price is nearing 94% of its 52-week high, potentially triggering a re-evaluation based on other metrics. For its portfolio of approximately 300 US large caps, the AI system continuously assesses relative attractiveness, leading to a full divestment of ALL on June 2, 2026, after a slight reduction in weight days prior. This specific move suggests the AI's complex blend of signals found more compelling opportunities elsewhere within its diversified large-cap core universe at this juncture.
weight 0.110% → 0 (exited)·stock down 2.8% in the 30 days before
Jun 2·entry $210.46·now $253.73
+20.56%
since Jun 2
QRFT · New entry · 1d
The AI-managed ETF likely initiated a position in Allstate due to its exceptionally strong profitability, evidenced by an impressive 39.47% Return on Equity, combined with a very low Price-to-Earnings ratio of 5.47, suggesting the company is undervalued relative to its earnings power and efficiency. This indicates the AI's algorithm prioritizes robust fundamental value and high returns on capital. For retail investors, this illustrates that even in established sectors like financials, seeking companies with high ROE and low P/E can identify quality businesses that may be overlooked or mispriced, offering a potential margin of safety and growth.
weight 0 → 0.130% (new)·stock up 6.2% in the 30 days before
May 4·entry $219.87·now $253.73Chased
+15.40%
since May 4
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of May 2
AI ETF PQNT's recent exit from Allstate aligns with the cautious 'Fail' verdict from this framework, which couldn't confirm critical criteria like historical financial health or management quality. Conversely, PQUS's continued small holding implies a different analytical conclusion, possibly accepting higher risk due to current attractive valuation metrics that this framework cannot fully endorse without deeper historical data.
- Circle of CompetenceProperty & casualty insurance, while cyclical, is a business whose long-term unit economics and earning power for a diversified, established player like Allstate can be reasonably projected over a decade.
- Economic MoatAllstate benefits from a durable economic moat driven by strong brand recognition, significant economies of scale, and the inherent regulatory barriers to entry in the insurance industry.
- ManagementBased on the limited provided data, it is not possible to confirm management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or 'skin in the game,' which are vital for a Pass.
- Financial HealthWhile current metrics show strong ROE, the framework requires a 10-year historical perspective on ROE, stable or rising operating margins, manageable debt, and consistently positive owner earnings, none of which can be fully confirmed with the given data.
- Margin of SafetyThe current price ratios hint at potential undervaluation if current earnings are sustainable, but without a conservative projection of owner earnings over ten years, a clear margin of safety cannot be established.
Allstate operates within a comprehensible circle of competence and appears to possess a durable economic moat. However, the framework's inability to confirm crucial aspects such as management's capital allocation, a consistent track record of financial strength, and a clear margin of safety based on long-term owner earnings, leads to a 'Fail' verdict. This conservative stance highlights the framework's stringent requirements for verifiable evidence across all stages.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.