ALL · ALLSTATE CORP · Top AI ETF

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The Allstate Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty, and other insurance products in the United States and Canada. It operates in four segments: Allstate Protection; Run-off Property-Liability; Protection Services; and Corporate and Other. The company offers private passenger auto, homeowners, other personal lines and commercial insurance through exclusive agents, independent agents, contact centers and online under the Allstate, National General, Direct Auto and Answer Financial brands.

Close · 3M

+23.60%

Held by 1 AI ETF

PQNT0.040%

as of Sep 1

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals1

Win rate100% (1/1)

Avg buy return+0.16%

PQNTnow 0.040% of fund2 signals

PQNT · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.110% → 0.050% (-0.060 pp)·stock up 8.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 2·entry $262.68·now $263.11

+0.16%

since Aug 2

PQNT · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.420% → 0.350% (-0.070 pp)·stock down 0.6% in the 30 days before

May 10·entry $213.80·now $263.11

+23.06%

since May 10

AIEQno longer held2 signals

AIEQ · Exit · 1d

weight 0.050% → 0 (exited)·stock down 1.8% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $257.87·now $263.11

+2.03%

since Sep 1

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock up 8.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 2·entry $262.68·now $263.11Fresh

+0.16%

since Aug 2

PQUSno longer held2 signals

PQUS · Exit · 1d

weight 0.080% → 0 (exited)·stock up 15.9% in the 30 days before

Jul 10·entry $251.61·now $263.11

+4.57%

since Jul 10

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.170% → 0.140% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 2.8% in the 30 days before

Jun 13·entry $221.81·now $263.11

+18.62%

since Jun 13

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of Aug 2

AI ETF activity for Allstate is mixed, with AIEQ initiating a new position while PQNT shows a decreasing weight trend. This contrasts with the framework's 'Fail' verdict, which indicates the company does not meet all criteria, particularly due to insufficient historical financial health data, despite an attractive current valuation.

Circle of CompetenceThe property and casualty insurance industry's long-term unit economics, while cyclical, are generally predictable enough for a ten-year cash flow projection within the circle of competence.
Economic MoatAllstate benefits from strong brand recognition, scale advantages in underwriting and claims processing, and regulatory barriers to entry, which collectively establish a durable economic moat.
ManagementInformation on management's candor in shareholder communications, capital allocation discipline, and ownership stake is not available in the provided data.
Financial HealthWhile the most recent ROE is high at 42.71%, critical historical data for a 10-year average ROE, consistency (no single year below 10%), stable operating margins, and owner earnings are not provided, preventing confirmation of the financial health criteria.
Margin of SafetyThe low P/E ratio of 5.51, combined with a high recent ROE of 42.71%, suggests a potential defensible margin of safety relative to intrinsic value, assuming the current profitability is sustainable.

Allstate operates within a comprehensible industry with clear economic moats in brand and scale. However, the analysis cannot confirm key financial health criteria such as a consistent 10-year average return on equity and owner earnings due to data limitations. Despite a valuation that suggests a margin of safety based on current metrics, the inability to fully assess long-term financial stability results in an overall 'Fail' verdict.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.