AON · AON PLC · Top AI ETF

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Aon plc operates as a professional services firm in the United States, rest of the Americas, the United Kingdom, Ireland, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Risk Capital and Human Capital segments. The company offers commercial risk solutions comprising retail and insurance brokerage, specialty solutions, global risk consulting, captives management, and affinity programs; health solutions, such as consulting and brokerage, consumer benefits, and talent advisory services; and wealth solutions, including retirement consulting and investments.

Close · 3M

-5.63%

Held by 2 AI ETFs

LQAI0.490%

as of Oct 22

PQUS0.110%

as of Oct 23

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals9

Win rate22% (2/9)

Avg buy return-7.92%

LQAInow 0.490% of fund15 signals

LQAI · Accumulation · 5d

weight 0.420% → 0.490% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 8.9% in the 30 days before

Oct 22·entry $306.80·now $303.52Fresh

-1.07%

since Oct 22

LQAI · Weight increase · 3d

weight 0.420% → 0.470% (+0.050 pp)·stock down 1.2% in the 30 days before

Oct 16·entry $292.55·now $303.52Drifting

+3.75%

since Oct 16

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.420% → 0.450% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 4.6% in the 30 days before

Oct 15·entry $286.80·now $303.52Drifting

+5.83%

since Oct 15

LQAI · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 0.590% → 0.530% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 19.4% in the 30 days before

Sep 22·entry $286.10·now $303.52

+6.09%

since Sep 22

LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 0.590% → 0.540% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 17.4% in the 30 days before

Sep 21·entry $290.82·now $303.52

+4.37%

since Sep 21

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.590% → 0.560% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 15.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 18·entry $295.64·now $303.52

+2.67%

since Sep 18

LQAI · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 0.640% → 0.580% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 14.6% in the 30 days before

Sep 9·entry $304.69·now $303.52

-0.38%

since Sep 9

LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 0.640% → 0.600% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 11.9% in the 30 days before

Sep 8·entry $315.79·now $303.52

-3.89%

since Sep 8

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.640% → 0.610% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 10.4% in the 30 days before

Sep 4·entry $323.09·now $303.52

-6.06%

since Sep 4

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.550% → 0.640% (+0.090 pp)·stock down 7.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $330.88·now $303.52Fresh

-8.27%

since Sep 2

LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 0.620% → 0.590% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 7.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 27·entry $349.56·now $303.52

-13.17%

since Aug 27

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.620% → 0.600% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 7.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $353.98·now $303.52

-14.26%

since Aug 26

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.580% → 0.600% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 0.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $351.93·now $303.52Fresh

-13.76%

since Aug 20

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.600% → 0.580% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 5.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 17·entry $347.22·now $303.52

-12.59%

since Aug 17

LQAI · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.620% (new)·stock up 0.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 6·entry $360.75·now $303.52Fresh

-15.86%

since Aug 6

PQUSnow 0.110% of fund1 signal

PQUS · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.090% (new)·stock up 0.8% in the 30 days before

Aug 7·entry $358.30·now $303.52Fresh

-15.29%

since Aug 7

AIEQno longer held4 signals

AIEQ · Exit · 1d

weight 0.050% → 0 (exited)·stock down 8.8% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $326.30·now $303.52

-6.98%

since Sep 1

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.220% → 0.050% (-0.170 pp)·stock up 4.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 2·entry $357.63·now $303.52

-15.13%

since Aug 2

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0 → 0.210% (new)

Jul 3·entry $356.91·now $303.52Fresh

-14.96%

since Jul 3

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.190% (new)

Jul 1·entry $343.56·now $303.52Fresh

-11.65%

since Jul 1

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of Jul 5

The AI ETF AIEQ has recently increased its weight and made Aon a new entry, indicating an accumulating trend. This action contrasts with a Buffett-style framework's 'Fail' verdict, primarily due to the lack of a sufficient margin of safety at the current price, despite the company's strong business quality.

Circle of CompetenceAon's insurance brokerage model, focused on recurring fees and advisory services, offers stable unit economics that allow for reasonable ten-year cash flow projections.
Economic MoatAon benefits from strong brand reputation, high switching costs for corporate clients, and global scale, creating a durable competitive advantage.
ManagementInsufficient data is available to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or personal investment in the company.
Financial HealthWhile the reported ROE is exceptionally high, comprehensive multi-year financial data including operating margins, debt levels, and owner earnings are not provided to fully assess financial health.
Margin of SafetyCurrent valuation multiples like PER, PBR, and EV/EBITDA do not indicate a substantial margin of safety relative to a conservative estimate of intrinsic value.

Aon plc operates a high-quality business with predictable unit economics and a durable economic moat from brand, switching costs, and scale. However, the limited financial data prevents a full assessment of its health and management. Crucially, the current valuation does not offer a margin of safety, leading to a 'Fail' verdict under this framework.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.