AIVI0.677%
as of Oct 23
APA
DefensiveAPA CORPORATION
APA Corporation, an independent energy company, explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids. The company has oil and gas operations in the United States, Egypt, and North Sea. It also has exploration and appraisal activities in Suriname, as well as holds interests in projects located in Uruguay and internationally.
Close · 3M
+49.27%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals24
Win rate96% (23/24)
Avg buy return+17.60%
AIVI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.644% → 0.677% (+0.033 pp)·stock up 18.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $51.90·now $51.90Fresh
0.00%
since Oct 23
AIVI · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.647% → 0.674% (+0.026 pp)·stock up 17.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $49.63·now $51.90Drifting
+4.57%
since Oct 21
AIVI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.647% → 0.669% (+0.022 pp)·stock up 13.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $49.90·now $51.90Drifting
+4.01%
since Oct 20
AIVI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.604% → 0.650% (+0.046 pp)·stock up 4.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $46.84·now $51.90Chased
+10.80%
since Oct 12
AIVI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.612% → 0.649% (+0.037 pp)·stock up 3.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 9·entry $45.88·now $51.90Chased
+13.12%
since Oct 9
AIVI · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.604% → 0.621% (+0.017 pp)·stock down 0.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 5·entry $43.85·now $51.90Chased
+18.36%
since Oct 5
AIVI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.604% → 0.618% (+0.014 pp)·stock down 2.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $43.68·now $51.90Chased
+18.82%
since Oct 2
AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.614% → 0.604% (-0.010 pp)·stock down 3.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 30·entry $41.54·now $51.90
+24.94%
since Sep 30
AIVI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.625% → 0.605% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 3.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 25·entry $42.74·now $51.90
+21.43%
since Sep 25
AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.625% → 0.611% (-0.014 pp)·stock up 5.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 24·entry $43.68·now $51.90
+18.82%
since Sep 24
AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.618% → 0.610% (-0.007 pp)·stock up 7.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 17·entry $45.46·now $51.90
+14.17%
since Sep 17
AIVI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.596% → 0.619% (+0.022 pp)·stock up 27.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 3·entry $44.18·now $51.90Chased
+17.47%
since Sep 3
AIVI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.596% → 0.627% (+0.031 pp)·stock up 24.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $44.70·now $51.90Chased
+16.11%
since Sep 2
AIVI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.577% → 0.618% (+0.041 pp)·stock up 15.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 31·entry $43.15·now $51.90Chased
+20.28%
since Aug 31
AIVI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.574% → 0.613% (+0.039 pp)·stock up 17.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $42.54·now $51.90Chased
+22.00%
since Aug 28
AIVI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 0.566% → 0.615% (+0.049 pp)·stock up 15.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $42.38·now $51.90Chased
+22.46%
since Aug 27
AIVI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 0.563% → 0.611% (+0.048 pp)·stock up 17.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $41.19·now $51.90Chased
+26.00%
since Aug 26
+25.51%
since Aug 25
+19.61%
since Aug 21
+16.92%
since Aug 20
+19.45%
since Aug 19
AMOM · Exit · 1d
weight 1.150% → 0 (exited)·stock up 24.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $44.70·now $51.90
+16.11%
since Sep 2
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.050% → 1.100% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 17.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $42.54·now $51.90Chased
+22.00%
since Aug 28
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.120% → 1.050% (-0.070 pp)·stock up 17.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $41.19·now $51.90
+26.00%
since Aug 26
+25.51%
since Aug 25
+20.81%
since Aug 24
+19.61%
since Aug 21
+16.92%
since Aug 20
+19.45%
since Aug 19
+22.49%
since Aug 18
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Too hard to callas of Oct 11
AIVI is gradually accumulating APA, lifting its weight from about 0.60% to 0.65% over the past couple of weeks, while QRFT holds only a token 0.03%. This conflicts with a Too Hard verdict, since the buying appears driven by cheap multiples, which this framework treats as insufficient when owner earnings depend on oil and gas prices that cannot be forecast.
- Circle of CompetenceAPA is an upstream oil and gas producer whose earnings swing with spot commodity prices, so ten-year cash flows cannot be reliably projected, which falls outside the circle of competence.
- Economic MoatNot scored because Stage 1 failed; as a price-taking commodity producer, APA also has no obvious durable pricing-power advantage.
- ManagementNot scored because Stage 1 failed, and the data provided does not show management candour or capital allocation track record.
- Financial HealthNot scored because Stage 1 failed; the current 26% ROE and revenue decline of 12% hint at the cyclicality that makes a ten-year ROE and margin test unreliable.
- Margin of SafetyNot scored because Stage 1 failed; a low P/E of 9 and EV/EBITDA near 4 look cheap but may simply reflect peak-style earnings on a cyclical business.
APA fails the circle of competence test because its earnings are driven by commodity prices rather than stable unit economics, so the framework declines to score the moat, management, financials or price. Low valuation multiples and a high current ROE do not change that, as they may reflect the cycle rather than durable earning power.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.