AIVI0.619%
as of Sep 3
APA
DefensiveAPA CORPORATION
APA Corporation, an independent energy company, explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids. The company has oil and gas operations in the United States, Egypt, and North Sea. It also has exploration and appraisal activities in Suriname, as well as holds interests in projects located in Uruguay and internationally.
Close · 3M
+17.10%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals23
Win rate87% (20/23)
Avg buy return+6.10%
AIVI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.596% → 0.627% (+0.031 pp)·stock up 24.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $44.70·now $44.18Fresh
-1.15%
since Sep 2
AIVI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.577% → 0.618% (+0.041 pp)·stock up 15.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 31·entry $43.15·now $44.18Drifting
+2.39%
since Aug 31
AIVI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.574% → 0.613% (+0.039 pp)·stock up 17.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $42.54·now $44.18Drifting
+3.86%
since Aug 28
AIVI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 0.566% → 0.615% (+0.049 pp)·stock up 15.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $42.38·now $44.18Drifting
+4.25%
since Aug 27
AIVI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 0.563% → 0.611% (+0.048 pp)·stock up 17.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $41.19·now $44.18Drifting
+7.26%
since Aug 26
AIVI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.563% → 0.605% (+0.042 pp)·stock up 19.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $41.35·now $44.18Drifting
+6.84%
since Aug 25
AIVI · Weight increase · 4d
weight 0.563% → 0.596% (+0.033 pp)·stock up 19.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $43.39·now $44.18Fresh
+1.82%
since Aug 21
AIVI · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.563% → 0.577% (+0.014 pp)·stock up 22.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $44.39·now $44.18Fresh
-0.47%
since Aug 20
AIVI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.563% → 0.574% (+0.011 pp)·stock up 21.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $43.45·now $44.18Fresh
+1.68%
since Aug 19
AIVI · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.552% → 0.565% (+0.012 pp)·stock up 15.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 12·entry $39.97·now $44.18Chased
+10.53%
since Aug 12
AIVI · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 17.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 11·entry $40.62·now $44.18Drifting
+8.76%
since Aug 11
+17.41%
since Aug 7
+18.38%
since Jul 31
AMOM · Exit · 1d
weight 1.150% → 0 (exited)·stock up 24.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $44.70·now $44.18
-1.15%
since Sep 2
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.050% → 1.100% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 17.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $42.54·now $44.18Drifting
+3.86%
since Aug 28
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.120% → 1.050% (-0.070 pp)·stock up 17.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $41.19·now $44.18
+7.26%
since Aug 26
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.000% → 1.070% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 19.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $41.35·now $44.18Drifting
+6.84%
since Aug 25
AMOM · Accumulation · 6d
weight 0.990% → 1.120% (+0.130 pp)·stock up 18.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $42.96·now $44.18Drifting
+2.84%
since Aug 24
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.990% → 1.100% (+0.110 pp)·stock up 19.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $43.39·now $44.18Fresh
+1.82%
since Aug 21
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.030% → 1.140% (+0.110 pp)·stock up 22.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $44.39·now $44.18Fresh
-0.47%
since Aug 20
AMOM · Weight increase · 4d
weight 0.990% → 1.100% (+0.110 pp)·stock up 21.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $43.45·now $44.18Fresh
+1.68%
since Aug 19
AMOM · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.990% → 1.060% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 21.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 18·entry $42.37·now $44.18Drifting
+4.27%
since Aug 18
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.990% → 1.010% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 18.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 17·entry $41.58·now $44.18Drifting
+6.25%
since Aug 17
+10.53%
since Aug 12
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 22.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 10·entry $41.02·now $44.18Drifting
+7.70%
since Aug 10
+20.94%
since Aug 6
+19.83%
since Aug 3
+18.38%
since Jul 31
+21.61%
since Jul 30
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Too hard to callas of Jul 5
Some AI ETFs show decreasing weight trends (AMOM) or outright exits (AIEQ) for APA, which aligns with the framework's verdict that the company's inherent unpredictability makes it "Too Hard" to reliably assess. However, AIVI has shown a recent increase trend, suggesting some AI strategies might identify opportunity based on different metrics or shorter-term outlooks.
- Circle of CompetenceThe cyclical nature and high commodity price exposure of an oil and gas exploration and production company make ten-year cash flow projections unreliable, thus falling outside the typical circle of competence for predictable earning power.
- Economic MoatThe company operates in a commodity business that typically lacks durable competitive advantages such as brand power, switching costs, or enduring scale-driven cost advantages beyond immediate operational efficiencies.
- ManagementAssessing management's candor, capital allocation discipline, and "skin in the game" is not possible with the provided financial snapshots alone.
- Financial HealthComprehensive financial history, including 10-year average ROE, operating margin trends, detailed debt structure, and owner earnings, is not provided to adequately assess financial health against the framework's criteria.
- Margin of SafetyA reliable estimate of intrinsic value cannot be formed given the unpredictable nature of the company's long-term cash flows, making it impossible to determine a margin of safety.
APA Corporation's business, deeply tied to volatile commodity prices in oil and gas exploration, makes long-term cash flow predictability exceedingly difficult, thus falling outside the required circle of competence for this framework. This foundational issue prevents a meaningful assessment of economic moats, long-term financial health, or a reliable margin of safety. The "Too Hard" verdict indicates that the company does not fit a value-investing approach reliant on predictable long-term earning power.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.