Last refreshed: July 21, 2026 (US ET)
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CCL

Growth

CARNIVAL CORP LTD

Consumer Discretionary·Hotels, Resorts & Cruise LinesYield: Mid (1-3%)

Carnival Corporation Ltd., a cruise company, provides leisure travel services in North America, Australia, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: North America Cruise Operations, Europe Cruise Operations, Cruise Support, and Tour and Other. It operates port destinations and islands, as well as owns and operates hotels, lodges, glass-domed railcars, and motorcoaches.

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CCL · 3M

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Held by 3 AI ETFs

AIVL0.750%

as of Jul 17

LQAI0.580%

as of Jul 17

PQUS0.050%

as of Jul 21

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals12
Win rate8% (1/12)
Avg buy return-6.29%
AIVLnow 0.750% of fund16 signals

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

Carnival Corporation's valuation, marked by a P/E of 11.79 and a P/B of 2.75, along with a 24.44% return on equity, positions it within AIVL's value-factor framework, which considers both fundamentals and valuation metrics. However, the WisdomTree AI-managed fund registered a consecutive reduction in its CCL weighting, moving from 0.7572% on July 16th to 0.7496% on July 17th. This adjustment likely stems from the AI's mandate to distinguish genuine value from potential value traps, particularly as CCL's share price traded around $26.41, reflecting a 5.2% decline over the prior 30 days and a 9.9% drop over the last year. The AI's model could have interpreted these sustained price declines and the stock's current position at 78% of its 52-week high, alongside its 5.16% revenue growth, as indicators that its overall appeal within the pre-filtered US value universe was diminishing.

weight 0.760% → 0.750% (-0.011 pp)·stock down 14.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 17·entry $26.41·now $26.04

-1.40%
since Jul 17

AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d

Carnival Corp's financial profile, including a PER of 11.98 and a PBR of 2.75, along with a 24.44% ROE, initially aligns with AIVL's value-factor framework, which considers fundamentals like return on capital and valuation metrics. However, AIVL's AI component specifically aims to distinguish genuine value from value traps within its pre-filtered US value universe. The consecutive weight reduction in CCL, from 0.7972% on July 2nd to 0.7384% by July 8th, occurred while the stock was trading at $26.72, near 79% of its 52-week high, and experiencing negative 30-day and 90-day returns. This suggests AIVL's AI algorithms, despite CCL's initial value indicators, detected a shift in its profile or momentum, prompting a rebalancing away from the position.

weight 0.808% → 0.738% (-0.069 pp)·stock down 6.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 8·entry $25.64·now $26.04

+1.56%
since Jul 8

AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d

The observed consecutive weight decrease of CCL within AIVL, showing a steady reduction from 0.8077% to 0.7587% across the final reported days, points to a deliberate adjustment. This gradual de-weighting, occurring while Carnival's stock price has retreated 18.7% over 90 days and currently trades at 75% of its 52-week high, suggests the AI-driven strategy is actively distinguishing genuine value from potential traps. WisdomTree's AI, which incorporates a comprehensive assessment of fundamentals like margins, return on capital, and debt alongside valuation metrics such as CCL's P/E of 12.99 and P/B of 2.75, likely identified shifts in the stock's long-term attractiveness for its US value-factor pool. This periodic rebalancing reflects the AI's current scoring of CCL, leading to reduced exposure rather than an opportunistic increase based solely on price depreciation.

weight 0.808% → 0.759% (-0.049 pp)·stock down 4.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 7·entry $26.68·now $26.04

-2.40%
since Jul 7

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

Trading at $26.68, CCL currently sits at 78% of its 52-week high, having experienced an 18.4% decline over 90 days followed by a 2.7% gain in the last 30 days. Despite this recent short-term positive movement, AIVL has consistently reduced its weight in CCL from 0.8257% to 0.7808% during this period. The WisdomTree AI-managed fund, which specifically aims to distinguish genuine value from value traps using fundamentals like margins, return on capital, and debt, alongside valuation metrics, appears to be signaling a re-evaluation of CCL's profile. While CCL shows a PER of 12.99, a PBR of 2.75, and a ROE of 24.44%, the AI’s persistent reduction suggests its scoring system has identified deteriorating long-term value fundamentals or increased risk within the stock, even within its pre-filtered US value universe. This indicates the AI is not perceiving the current price level as a compelling genuine value opportunity for a larger allocation.

weight 0.808% → 0.781% (-0.027 pp)·stock up 1.3% in the 30 days before

Jul 6·entry $27.51·now $26.04

-5.34%
since Jul 6

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

The WisdomTree AIVL fund's AI-driven methodology, focused on distinguishing genuine value from value traps within its ~100 US value stock universe, led to the gradual accumulation of Carnival Corp LTD. The AI likely scored CCL's 26.22% Return on Equity highly, a key fundamental metric, signaling strong capital efficiency. This move occurred as CCL had seen a -9.0% 90-day return, offering a potentially attractive valuation for the fund, which uses P/E and P/B. The sequential weight increase from 0.7675% to 0.8821% in early June reflects the fund's periodic rebalancing cadence rather than continuous daily adjustments.

weight 0.767% → 0.826% (+0.058 pp)·stock up 11.3% in the 30 days before

Jun 24·entry $28.91·now $26.04Fresh

-9.93%
since Jun 24

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

WisdomTree's AIVL, which employs AI to identify genuine value opportunities within its roughly 100-stock US value universe, shows a consecutive reduction in its Carnival Corp (CCL) weighting. This pattern suggests the AI's evaluation of CCL, which considers fundamental metrics like margins and valuation ratios such as P/B, has flagged a diminished value profile for the consumer discretionary company. Despite CCL’s recent 30-day return of +12.9%, its current valuation near 84% of its 52-week high may be signaling that the stock has moved beyond the AI’s value-factor criteria. Given AIVL's periodic rebalancing schedule, this series of decreases reflects a measured adjustment by the AI, gradually reducing exposure as its score for CCL declines.

weight 0.882% → 0.824% (-0.058 pp)·stock up 9.7% in the 30 days before

Jun 23·entry $28.72·now $26.04

-9.33%
since Jun 23

AIVL · Weight increase · 4d

AIVL's holdings in CARNIVAL CORP LTD show a distinct stepped increase, growing from 0.8143% on June 11th to 0.8821% by June 18th, indicating a measured accumulation after a previous reduction. This pattern is consistent with the ETF's periodic rebalancing and its AI's process of scoring names within a value-factor pool using fundamental and valuation metrics. The AI likely identified CCL's 13.69 PER and 2.75 PBR, combined with its 26.22% ROE, as signaling genuine value within the pre-filtered universe. Despite a 30-day return of +14.3% and its current price near 91% of its 52-week high, the system's continued allocation suggests it distinguishes this appreciation as a return to fair value rather than a value trap. The gradual increase in weight reflects a conviction in CCL's sustained value characteristics for its ~100 US value stock portfolio.

weight 0.767% → 0.882% (+0.115 pp)·stock up 29.2% in the 30 days before

Jun 18·entry $30.87·now $26.04Fresh

-15.65%
since Jun 18

AIVL · Weight increase · 3d

Carnival Corp Ltd (CCL) currently trades at $29.91, nearing 88% of its 52-week high after a recent 30-day gain of 8.7%, despite a 90-day dip, within a one-year upward trend of 24.5%. This price trajectory, especially its recent upward movement following a short-term decline, suggests AIVL's AI component identified CCL as a genuine value opportunity rather than a value trap within its pre-filtered US value universe. The fund's AI likely factored in the company's 11.67 P/E ratio, its 26.22% return on equity, and 6.1% revenue growth, indicating favorable fundamentals and valuation metrics. Consequently, during its periodic rebalancing around June 11th to 16th, AIVL consistently increased its weight in CCL from 0.8143% to 0.8787%, reflecting the AI's sustained positive scoring for the stock at this price level.

weight 0.768% → 0.879% (+0.111 pp)·stock up 25.4% in the 30 days before

Jun 16·entry $30.90·now $26.04Fresh

-15.73%
since Jun 16

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

Carnival stock currently trades at $30.12, positioning it at 89% of its 52-week high after a 30-day return of +17.3%, following a modest 90-day decline. Despite this recent run-up, AIVL's AI, designed to identify genuine value within its US value-factor universe, likely recognized deeper fundamental appeal, considering valuation metrics like CCL's 11.67 PER and 2.75 PBR. This decision was further supported by the company's 26.22% return on equity and 6.1% revenue growth, metrics the AI uses to distinguish companies with solid operational performance from potential value traps. The consecutive weight increases on June 11th and 12th, from 0.8143% to 0.8367%, suggest the AI system registered an improving score for CCL, possibly signaling conviction that these underlying financials justify the valuation even as the price approaches its yearly peak.

weight 0.767% → 0.837% (+0.069 pp)·stock up 16.6% in the 30 days before

Jun 12·entry $29.18·now $26.04Fresh

-10.76%
since Jun 12

AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d

The weight of Carnival Corp Ltd (CCL) within AIVL initially appeared around 0.8% in early June, subsequently undergoing a clear, consecutive decrease from June 5th to June 10th. This gradual reduction from 0.8104% to 0.7675% signals that while CCL’s valuation metrics, like its PER of 11.67 and PBR of 2.75, likely qualified it for inclusion in AIVL’s US value-factor pool, the AI’s ongoing assessment flagged concerns. Despite CCL's current price of $25.99, which is 76% off its 52-week high, the WisdomTree AI is likely identifying subtle shifts in its fundamental scores, such as margins, return on capital, or debt, pushing it away from being perceived as a genuine value. This adjustment reflects the AI's specific mandate to distinguish long-term value from potential traps within its ~100 stock portfolio, moving to reduce exposure based on its internal scoring model rather than just a headline valuation.

weight 0.812% → 0.767% (-0.045 pp)·stock up 2.2% in the 30 days before

Jun 10·entry $25.99·now $26.04

+0.19%
since Jun 10

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

WisdomTree's AIVL, which employs AI to identify genuine value opportunities among its approximately 100 US value stocks, appears to be paring its exposure to Carnival Corp Ltd following a reassessment of its valuation metrics. This gradual reduction, observed after the stock’s re-entry into the portfolio, aligns with the fund’s periodic rebalancing approach as its AI scores update. Even with CCL’s respectable ROE of 26.22%, the AI may be signaling that the stock’s recent appreciation, reaching 82% of its 52-week high, makes it less compelling as a pure value play within AIVL’s carefully filtered universe. The AI’s core job is distinguishing genuine value from potential value traps, suggesting the system perceives diminishing relative attractiveness for CCL given its current price trajectory and the fund’s specific value criteria.

weight 0.812% → 0.796% (-0.016 pp)·stock up 0.0% in the 30 days before

Jun 8·entry $27.01·now $26.04

-3.59%
since Jun 8

AIVL · New entry · 1d

CCL's P/E of 12.12 and P/B of 2.75 position it within the US value-factor pool that WisdomTree's AIVL initially screens. Beyond these valuation metrics, the company's 26.22% Return on Equity and 6.1% revenue growth likely provided fundamental strength, which the AI evaluated to distinguish it as a genuine value opportunity rather than a value trap. This entry into AIVL's portfolio with a 0.8060% weight occurred on 2026-06-01 while CCL traded at $27.64, after a -3.2% 90-day return potentially presenting a more favorable entry point. The AI's methodology, scoring names within a value-tilted universe using fundamentals and valuation, evidently found CCL's combination suitable for a new holding.

weight 0 → 0.806% (new)·stock up 3.8% in the 30 days before

Jun 1·entry $27.51·now $26.04Fresh

-5.34%
since Jun 1

AIVL · Exit · 1d

stock down 3.7% in the 30 days before

May 7·entry $27.00·now $26.04

-3.56%
since May 7

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 0.8% in the 30 days before

May 5·entry $25.77·now $26.04

+1.05%
since May 5

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 0.3% in the 30 days before

May 1·entry $26.66·now $26.04Fresh

-2.33%
since May 1

AIVL · Sudden change · 1d

stock up 2.4% in the 30 days before

Apr 30·entry $26.51·now $26.04

-1.77%
since Apr 30
LQAInow 0.580% of fund5 signals

LQAI · New entry · 1d

Carnival Corp Ltd, priced at $26.68 and currently trading at 78% of its 52-week high after a significant 18.4% drop over 90 days, saw its 0.5700% new entry into LQAI on July 7th. This allocation by the Qraft AI, which rebalances the roughly 100 US large-cap core portfolio weekly, suggests the system identified a buying point following the stock’s recent rebound of 2.7% over 30 days. The AI's selection likely considered CCL's PER of 12.99 and PBR of 2.75, alongside a 24.44% return on equity and 5.16% revenue growth, as it moved on this consumer discretionary name.

weight 0 → 0.570% (new)·stock down 4.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 7·entry $26.68·now $26.04Fresh

-2.40%
since Jul 7

LQAI · Exit · 1d

Carnival Corp Ltd’s weight in LQAI showed minor daily shifts around 0.23% before its complete removal on 2026-06-09, dropping to 0.00%. This abrupt, full divestment, rather than a gradual reduction, reflects the LG-Qraft AI's weekly rebalancing approach for its approximately 100 US large-cap core holdings. Despite a 5.4% positive return over 30 days, the preceding 90-day period saw a 7.6% decline, with the stock currently priced at $27.73 and sitting at 82% of its 52-week high. The Qraft AI, managing a style midway between broad market exposure and concentrated momentum, likely recalibrated CCL's ranking below the portfolio's inclusion threshold, possibly weighing the sustained intermediate-term price decline more heavily in its dynamic selection process for core large caps.

weight 0.230% → 0 (exited)·stock up 5.1% in the 30 days before

Jun 9·entry $27.73·now $26.04

-6.09%
since Jun 9

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.220% → 0.240% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 0.4% in the 30 days before

Jun 5·entry $27.41·now $26.04Fresh

-5.00%
since Jun 5

LQAI · New entry · 1d

The AI ETF likely re-entered CCL due to its strong underlying financials, especially the impressive 26.22% ROE and a reasonable 11.78 PER, indicating a fundamentally sound company despite a brief exit. For retail investors, this highlights how AI rapidly re-evaluates strong fundamentals, suggesting that temporary market noise shouldn't overshadow a quality company's long-term potential.

weight 0 → 0.120% (new)·stock down 3.7% in the 30 days before

May 7·entry $27.00·now $26.04Fresh

-3.56%
since May 7

LQAI · Exit · 1d

stock up 9.2% in the 30 days before

May 6·entry $27.52·now $26.04

-5.38%
since May 6
QRFTno longer held3 signals

QRFT · Exit · 1d

The weight of Carnival Corp. in QRFT displayed a consistent, marginal presence, rising slightly from 0.0700% to 0.0800% over several trading days before an abrupt elimination to 0.0000% on June 2, 2026. This stepped maintenance followed by a sudden exit aligns with Qraft AI's methodology, which combines traditional factors with proprietary alternative-data overlays during its weekly rebalancing process. While CCL's financials show a PER of 12.12 and ROE of 26.22%, indicating some value and quality characteristics, its 90-day return of -3.2% and current price at 81% of its 52-week high suggest a recent lack of positive price momentum. The AI's swift divestment from this consumer discretionary stock, given its large-cap core style and emphasis on its unique data inputs, indicates a shift in its proprietary models, possibly signaling a deterioration in forward-looking indicators or a revised outlook for the sector that outweighed the current valuation metrics.

weight 0.080% → 0 (exited)·stock up 3.7% in the 30 days before

Jun 2·entry $27.64·now $26.04

-5.79%
since Jun 2

QRFT · New entry · 1d

stock down 3.7% in the 30 days before

May 7·entry $27.00·now $26.04Fresh

-3.56%
since May 7

QRFT · Exit · 1d

stock up 9.2% in the 30 days before

May 6·entry $27.52·now $26.04

-5.38%
since May 6
BUZZno longer held6 signals

BUZZ · Exit · 1d

Carnival Corp (CCL) maintained a consistent, small allocation around 0.23-0.25% within the BUZZ ETF's portfolio for several days before a swift, complete removal to 0.00% on May 21st. This stepped exit aligns with BUZZ’s algorithmic strategy, which monitors positive-sentiment intensity across social media and news, reflecting a likely sharp decline in favorable public discourse for CCL. The stock's recent 30-day return of -6.4% and 90-day return of -13.9% would contribute significantly to a waning retail-crowd signal. Operating at $25.98, near 76% of its 52-week high after sustained negative price momentum, CCL's sentiment likely deteriorated below the threshold for inclusion during the fund's monthly index reconstitution, prompting the automated removal. This move illustrates the ETF's passive reliance on a positive sentiment ranking rather than an active manager’s discretionary input.

weight 0.250% → 0 (exited)·stock down 2.8% in the 30 days before

May 21·entry $26.18·now $26.04

-0.53%
since May 21

BUZZ · New entry · 1d

The AI ETF likely re-entered CCL due to its strong Return on Equity (26.22%) and relatively low P/E (10.96), signaling a potentially undervalued company with robust profitability. The fund's volatile re-entries and exits indicate a highly dynamic strategy, possibly leveraging short-term market signals or specific valuation triggers. For retail investors, this activity underscores that AI funds can be highly tactical; focus on CCL's solid fundamentals for long-term investing rather than attempting to replicate rapid, cost-intensive trading.

weight 0 → 0.240% (new)·stock down 9.1% in the 30 days before

May 11·entry $25.44·now $26.04Drifting

+2.36%
since May 11

BUZZ · Exit · 1d

The AI ETF likely removed CCL due to highly reactive, short-term tactical signals related to price volatility or technical indicators, evidenced by the rapid re-entry and subsequent re-removal despite the company's strong fundamentals like a high ROE. For retail investors, this highlights the importance of not blindly mimicking erratic AI trades; instead, focus on a stock's robust underlying fundamentals for long-term investment decisions rather than transient market noise.

weight 0.260% → 0 (exited)·stock down 5.3% in the 30 days before

May 8·entry $26.38·now $26.04

-1.29%
since May 8

BUZZ · New entry · 1d

stock down 3.7% in the 30 days before

May 7·entry $27.00·now $26.04Fresh

-3.56%
since May 7

BUZZ · Exit · 1d

stock up 9.2% in the 30 days before

May 6·entry $27.52·now $26.04

-5.38%
since May 6

BUZZ · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 0.8% in the 30 days before

May 5·entry $25.77·now $26.04

+1.05%
since May 5

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Too hard to callas of May 2

Several AI ETFs currently hold Carnival Corp, with one (AIVL) showing a recent trend of decreasing its weight in the stock, while this framework concludes the company falls outside a defensible circle of competence. This creates a contrast where the AI ETFs are engaged with the stock, but a Buffett-style analysis would decline to invest, although AIVL's recent actions suggest a degree of caution.

  • Circle of CompetenceThe cruise industry's susceptibility to major external disruptions, as demonstrated by recent global events, makes reliably projecting ten-year cash flows and unit economics too unpredictable for this framework.
  • Economic MoatWhile Carnival possesses brand recognition and scale, the industry's vulnerability to external shocks raises questions about the long-term durability and "unbreachable" nature of its economic moat.
  • ManagementAssessing management's candor, capital allocation discipline, and skin in the game requires more extensive qualitative information than provided.
  • Financial HealthThe reported ROE of 26.22% needs context of historical performance, owner earnings, and a detailed debt profile to fully evaluate financial health under this framework.
  • Margin of SafetyA reliable estimate of intrinsic value cannot be formed for a business whose future cash flows are deemed unpredictable, thus precluding an assessment of margin of safety.

The analysis concludes that Carnival Corp falls outside the required circle of competence due to the cruise industry's inherent unpredictability and susceptibility to external shocks, preventing reliable long-term cash flow projections and leading to a "Too Hard" verdict. Consequently, no further assessment of its moat, management, financials, or margin of safety can be reliably performed within this framework.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.