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CF

Defensive

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC

Materials·Fertilizers & Agricultural ChemicalsYield: Mid (1-3%)

CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production of ammonia in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. The company offers ammonia products; nitrogen products, such as granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution, and ammonium nitrate; diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, and nitric acid products.

Close · 3M

+11.28%

CF · 3M

+11.28%

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Held by 3 AI ETFs

AMOM1.510%

as of Jul 17

AIEQ0.320%

as of Jul 20

QRFT0.050%

as of Jul 8

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals10
Win rate80% (8/10)
Avg buy return+5.34%
AMOMnow 1.510% of fund6 signals

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

Qraft Technologies' AMOM, with its multi-signal momentum composite, systematically increased its exposure to CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC, reflecting an algorithmic assessment that the stock is poised to extend its upward trajectory. Given AMOM's concentrated momentum sleeve of approximately 50 US large caps and weekly rebalancing, such a gradual accumulation from 1.41% to 1.51% over eight trading days indicates growing conviction in CF's momentum signals. This positive reassessment is likely fueled by CF's sustained price performance, showing a 1-year return of +27.6%, alongside its fundamental strength, indicated by a 35.17% Return on Equity. Currently trading at $121.42, which is 88% of its 52-week high, the system perceives potential for further gains, aligning with its mandate to pick names expected to extend their runs.

weight 1.410% → 1.510% (+0.100 pp)·stock up 15.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 17·entry $121.42·now $123.57Fresh

+1.77%
since Jul 17

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

The weight change for CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC in AMOM presents as a series of incremental increases, growing from 1.34% to 1.48% over the specified period, reflecting a gradual yet persistent buildup of conviction. This pattern aligns with Qraft Technologies' multi-signal momentum approach, which identifies names positioned to extend their current runs rather than mechanically holding top performers. CF's consistent positive price performance across 30, 90, and 1-year windows, coupled with a 20.85% revenue growth and a 35.17% return on equity, points to strong underlying fundamental and price momentum. Being currently priced at 88% of its 52-week high, the model likely assesses further upward potential for the Materials sector company, prompting AMOM to allocate more capital through its concentrated momentum sleeve and weekly rebalancing cycles.

weight 1.400% → 1.480% (+0.080 pp)·stock up 11.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 16·entry $118.66·now $123.57Drifting

+4.14%
since Jul 16

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

CF Industries, currently trading at $120.92 and sitting at 88% of its 52-week high, has shown a significant upward trajectory with a 30-day return of +7.6% and a 90-day return of +15.5%. This consistent price appreciation aligns directly with Qraft's AMOM ETF strategy, which seeks out US large caps poised to extend their existing runs rather than just holding top performers mechanically. The multi-signal momentum composite likely detected CF's accelerating financials, evidenced by its 20.85% revenue growth and 35.17% return on equity, which would factor into the fund's fundamental momentum and earnings revision signals. Starting with a 0.0000% weight on July 1st, the gradual accumulation to 1.4500% by July 13th demonstrates the concentrated momentum sleeve's conviction, with the weekly rebalancing allowing the fund to build this position as momentum signals strengthen for CF.

weight 1.330% → 1.450% (+0.120 pp)·stock up 10.7% in the 30 days before

Jul 13·entry $120.92·now $123.57Drifting

+2.19%
since Jul 13

AMOM · Weight increase · 3d

CF's financial profile, featuring 20.85% revenue growth and a 35.17% return on equity, paired with a PER of 9.6 and PBR of 2.49, aligns with the fundamental momentum signals AMOM seeks in companies positioned to extend their runs. The consecutive weight increase from 0.0000% on July 2nd to 1.4100% by July 7th illustrates AMOM's concentrated momentum sleeve design, where position changes reflect conviction. This build-up occurred as CF, priced at $114.94, had recently experienced a 5.6% decline over 30 days, yet still commanded 90-day and 1-year returns of +18.3% and +21.4% respectively. The multi-signal composite likely identified this specific price level, at 84% of its 52-week high, as a strategic entry point for a fundamentally sound stock, anticipating its continuation within a longer-term positive trend.

weight 0 → 1.410% (new)·stock down 2.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 7·entry $114.94·now $123.57Drifting

+7.51%
since Jul 7

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

AMOM’s multi-signal momentum composite, designed to pick names expected to extend their runs rather than mechanically hold top performers, initiated and then increased its position in CF Industries. The fund’s concentrated portfolio of roughly 50 US large caps means each entry reflects conviction. Despite a recent 30-day retreat of -7.0%, the stock's 90-day return of +17.7% likely signaled an enduring positive price trend for the AI manager. This upward price momentum, coupled with CF’s 20.85% revenue growth and 35.17% ROE, aligns with AMOM's fundamental momentum and earnings revisions criteria. The decision to increase weighting from 1.33% to 1.34% within a week, during its regular rebalancing cycle, suggests the algorithm detected strengthening signals supporting a continued upward trajectory for the materials company.

weight 0 → 1.340% (new)·stock down 2.9% in the 30 days before

Jul 6·entry $113.20·now $123.57Drifting

+9.16%
since Jul 6

AMOM · New entry · 1d

The AMOM ETF initiated a 1.3300% position in CF Industries Holdings Inc. on 2026-07-02, likely driven by its financial metrics such as a PER of 9.6, PBR of 2.49, Revenue Growth of 20.85%, and ROE of 35.17%. These figures align with Qraft's multi-signal momentum composite, which incorporates fundamental momentum and earnings revisions to identify names expected to extend their runs. While CF experienced a recent 30-day return of -10.3%, its longer-term price trends remain positive, with a +15.0% return over 90 days and +10.1% over one year. The fund appears to have capitalized on this short-term pullback, entering at a current price of $110.54, which stands at 80% of its 52-week high, reflecting conviction in CF's potential for continued positive momentum.

weight 0 → 1.330% (new)·stock down 2.6% in the 30 days before

Jul 2·entry $110.54·now $123.57Chased

+11.79%
since Jul 2
AIEQnow 0.320% of fund4 signals

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

AIEQ’s allocation to CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS INC displayed a pattern of measured, incremental increases, moving from a stable 0.3000% to 0.3200% over the observed period, punctuated by minor daily adjustments. This gradual, persistent accumulation, rather than a single large jump, aligns with EquBot's daily rebalancing approach, where IBM Watson's NLP signals on fundamentals like 20.85% revenue growth and sentiment around the stock are continuously fed into its risk overlay. Despite CF trading at 88% of its 52-week high, with 90-day returns of 10.3%, the fund's continued scaling into the Materials company suggests its hybrid model is identifying sustained positive drivers, potentially from ongoing news or market sentiment reflected in the company's 35.17% ROE and 10.61 P/E ratio, rather than merely reacting to price momentum. Such methodical, albeit small, daily weight adjustments are characteristic of AIEQ’s strategy, which frequently adjusts its 140-180 stock portfolio based on evolving data, rather than making infrequent, large positional shifts.

weight 0.300% → 0.320% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 15.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 19·entry $123.57·now $123.57Fresh

0.00%
since Jul 19

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

CF Industries Holdings Inc. presents strong fundamental figures, with revenue growth at 20.85% and a ROE of 35.17%, which generally fit AIEQ's broad market, fundamentals-driven selection style. However, between July 14th and July 16th, AIEQ reduced its position in CF consecutively from 0.32% to 0.30%. This occurred while CF's stock traded at $118.66, already at 86% of its 52-week high after delivering a 25.4% return over the prior year. The daily rebalancing by EquBot, informed by IBM Watson's NLP analysis of sentiment and other data, suggests a shift in ranking or a signal from the risk overlay that prompted a calibrated trim despite the firm's valuation metrics and past performance. This action reflects AIEQ's hybrid approach, where real-time sentiment or relative market positioning can influence daily portfolio adjustments even for stocks with favorable core financials.

weight 0.320% → 0.300% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 11.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 16·entry $118.66·now $123.57

+4.14%
since Jul 16

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.450% → 0.470% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 5.2% in the 30 days before

Jun 5·entry $113.49·now $123.57Drifting

+8.88%
since Jun 5

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.450% (new)·stock down 11.4% in the 30 days before

May 30·entry $113.30·now $123.57Drifting

+9.06%
since May 30
QRFTnow 0.050% of fund1 signal

QRFT · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock up 25.6% in the 30 days before

Mar 20·entry $124.90·now $123.57Fresh

-1.06%
since Mar 20

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Too hard to callas of Jul 19

Several AI ETFs are holding CF Industries and showing recent accumulation trends, indicating a positive outlook from their algorithms. This stands in clear contrast to the 'Too Hard' verdict from the Buffett-style framework, which emphasizes long-term predictability over current market signals or cyclical opportunities.

  • Circle of CompetenceAs a commodity producer in a volatile industry, CF Industries' unit economics are highly susceptible to unpredictable input costs and output prices, making long-term cash flow projections unreliable.
  • Economic MoatThis stage is not evaluated as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
  • ManagementThis stage is not evaluated as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
  • Financial HealthThis stage is not evaluated as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
  • Margin of SafetyThis stage is not evaluated as the company falls outside the circle of competence.

CF Industries, operating in the volatile fertilizer and agricultural chemicals commodity market, is deemed 'Too Hard' to evaluate within a Buffett-style framework due to the inherent unpredictability of its unit economics and future cash flows. The inability to reliably project long-term earning power prevents further assessment of its economic moat, management, financial health, or a conservative estimate of intrinsic value.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.