as of Sep 3
CHRW
DefensiveC.H. ROBINSON WORLDWIDE INC
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation and related logistics and supply chain services in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding.
Close · 3M
-19.86%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.200% → 0.213% (+0.013 pp)·stock down 10.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $151.73·now $146.69Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.200% → 0.203% (+0.003 pp)·stock down 17.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $143.66·now $146.69Drifting
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.208% → 0.203% (-0.005 pp)·stock down 30.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 17·entry $144.78·now $146.69
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.204% → 0.208% (+0.004 pp)·stock down 24.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $149.35·now $146.69Fresh
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.209% → 0.204% (-0.005 pp)·stock down 26.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 11·entry $145.10·now $146.69
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.515% → 0.207% (-0.308 pp)·stock down 22.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $146.66·now $146.69
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.515% → 0.208% (-0.307 pp)·stock down 22.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 3·entry $147.00·now $146.69
AIVL · Sudden change · 1d
weight 0.515% → 0.211% (-0.304 pp)·stock down 22.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 31·entry $147.73·now $146.69
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.630% → 0.497% (-0.133 pp)·stock down 5.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 28·entry $169.34·now $146.69
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.630% → 0.555% (-0.075 pp)·stock up 5.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 24·entry $186.51·now $146.69
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.630% → 0.616% (-0.013 pp)·stock up 14.9% in the 30 days before
Jul 23·entry $205.51·now $146.69
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.581% → 0.630% (+0.049 pp)·stock up 13.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 21·entry $209.42·now $146.69Fresh
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.576% → 0.623% (+0.047 pp)·stock up 10.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 17·entry $208.50·now $146.69Fresh
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.572% → 0.611% (+0.039 pp)·stock up 8.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 16·entry $205.75·now $146.69Fresh
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.563% → 0.594% (+0.031 pp)·stock up 1.9% in the 30 days before
Jul 15·entry $197.50·now $146.69Fresh
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.571% → 0.602% (+0.031 pp)·stock up 4.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 14·entry $199.61·now $146.69Fresh
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.554% → 0.580% (+0.026 pp)·stock up 2.5% in the 30 days before
Jul 9·entry $192.76·now $146.69Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.563% → 0.576% (+0.013 pp)·stock up 3.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 8·entry $189.95·now $146.69Fresh
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.594% → 0.563% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 4.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 6·entry $188.57·now $146.69
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.554% → 0.594% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 6.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $191.27·now $146.69Fresh
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
The AI ETFs, particularly AMOM, are actively accumulating C.H. Robinson shares, indicating a perceived investment opportunity. This contrasts with the framework's "Too Hard" verdict, which suggests the company's long-term earning power is too unpredictable for traditional value-investing analysis. The AI's actions imply a different methodology for assessing cyclical businesses.
- Circle of CompetenceThe highly cyclical and competitive nature of the third-party logistics industry makes projecting stable unit economics and cash flows over a ten-year period genuinely unpredictable.
- Economic MoatThis stage cannot be assessed as the company fails the circle of competence criterion, precluding reliable long-term analysis.
- ManagementThis stage cannot be assessed as the company fails the circle of competence criterion, precluding reliable long-term analysis.
- Financial HealthThis stage cannot be assessed as the company fails the circle of competence criterion, precluding reliable long-term analysis.
- Margin of SafetyThis stage cannot be assessed as the company fails the circle of competence criterion, precluding reliable long-term analysis.
This analysis finds C.H. Robinson to be "Too Hard" for a Buffett-style framework due to the inherent unpredictability of its highly cyclical and competitive third-party logistics industry. Consequently, the framework cannot reliably project future cash flows, making an assessment of moats, management, financials, or margin of safety untenable. The difficulty in predicting long-term unit economics prevents further deep-dive analysis into its investment merits.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.