as of Oct 23
CHRW
DefensiveC.H. ROBINSON WORLDWIDE INC
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation and related logistics and supply chain services in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding.
Close · 3M
-25.80%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.199% → 0.206% (+0.007 pp)·stock down 6.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $143.82·now $141.17Fresh
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.206% → 0.199% (-0.007 pp)·stock down 12.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $137.97·now $141.17
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.197% → 0.206% (+0.009 pp)·stock down 6.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $141.34·now $141.17Fresh
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.232% → 0.197% (-0.035 pp)·stock down 8.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 6·entry $135.05·now $141.17
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.218% → 0.232% (+0.014 pp)·stock up 8.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $157.72·now $141.17Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.214% → 0.221% (+0.007 pp)·stock down 0.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 29·entry $149.71·now $141.17Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.214% → 0.219% (+0.004 pp)·stock down 1.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 28·entry $148.24·now $141.17Fresh
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.223% → 0.217% (-0.005 pp)·stock up 5.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 22·entry $149.56·now $141.17
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.209% → 0.224% (+0.015 pp)·stock up 6.0% in the 30 days before
Sep 16·entry $153.47·now $141.17Fresh
AIVL · Accumulation · 6d
weight 0.207% → 0.228% (+0.021 pp)·stock up 6.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 15·entry $157.63·now $141.17Fresh
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.207% → 0.227% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 5.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 14·entry $157.31·now $141.17Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 4d
weight 0.207% → 0.221% (+0.014 pp)·stock up 5.0% in the 30 days before
Sep 10·entry $152.42·now $141.17Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.207% → 0.217% (+0.010 pp)·stock up 1.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 9·entry $150.45·now $141.17Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.207% → 0.214% (+0.007 pp)·stock up 0.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 8·entry $150.10·now $141.17Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.200% → 0.213% (+0.013 pp)·stock down 10.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $151.73·now $141.17Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.200% → 0.203% (+0.003 pp)·stock down 17.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $143.66·now $141.17Fresh
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.208% → 0.203% (-0.005 pp)·stock down 30.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 17·entry $144.78·now $141.17
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.204% → 0.208% (+0.004 pp)·stock down 24.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $149.35·now $141.17Fresh
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.209% → 0.204% (-0.005 pp)·stock down 26.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 11·entry $145.10·now $141.17
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.515% → 0.207% (-0.308 pp)·stock down 22.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $146.66·now $141.17
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
The AI ETFs, AIVL and QRFT, show either accumulation or holding patterns for C.H. Robinson, suggesting a positive or neutral outlook. This stands in contrast to the value-investing framework's "Fail" verdict, which is primarily driven by the absence of a clear margin of safety and insufficient financial history to confirm long-term health.
- Circle of CompetenceAs a large, established third-party logistics provider, C.H. Robinson's asset-light business model and diversified services offer reasonably predictable long-term earning power, despite industry cyclicality.
- Economic MoatThe company benefits from a durable economic moat driven by its significant scale, global network effects, and moderate switching costs for its integrated logistics solutions.
- ManagementThe provided data does not offer sufficient information to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game.
- Financial HealthCrucial historical financial data, such as 10-year average ROE consistency, operating margin trends, manageable debt levels, and owner earnings, are not available to fully assess long-term financial health.
- Margin of SafetyCurrent valuation multiples, including a high PER and EV/EBITDA, indicate the price offers no discernible margin of safety compared to a conservative estimate of intrinsic value.
C.H. Robinson operates within a predictable circle of competence and possesses a durable economic moat, positioning it as a potentially wonderful business. However, a comprehensive assessment is hindered by a lack of historical financial consistency data and, more significantly, the current market price offers no margin of safety, leading to a "Fail" verdict under this framework.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.