AIVL1.657%
as of Oct 23
CNC
GrowthCENTENE CORP
Centene Corporation operates as a managed care company that provides programs and services to under-insured families, and commercial organizations in the United States. It operates through four segments: Medicaid, Medicare, Commercial, and Other. The Medicaid segment offers the temporary assistance for needy families; medicaid expansion; aged, blind, or disabled; and children's health insurance programs, as well as long-term services and supports; foster care; and medicare-medicaid plans.
Close · 3M
+10.82%
Held by 2 AI ETFs
PQUS0.310%
as of Oct 23
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals18
Win rate67% (12/18)
Avg buy return+0.99%
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.687% → 1.640% (-0.047 pp)·stock up 5.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 19·entry $68.63·now $68.03
-0.87%
since Oct 19
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.687% → 1.649% (-0.037 pp)·stock up 3.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $69.16·now $68.03
-1.63%
since Oct 16
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.567% → 1.680% (+0.113 pp)·stock up 6.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $70.51·now $68.03Fresh
-3.52%
since Oct 15
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.571% → 1.687% (+0.116 pp)·stock up 3.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $70.16·now $68.03Fresh
-3.04%
since Oct 14
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.559% → 1.649% (+0.091 pp)·stock down 0.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $68.86·now $68.03Fresh
-1.21%
since Oct 13
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.517% → 1.605% (+0.088 pp)·stock up 0.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $67.02·now $68.03Fresh
+1.51%
since Oct 12
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.517% → 1.571% (+0.053 pp)·stock down 5.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 5·entry $64.30·now $68.03Drifting
+5.80%
since Oct 5
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 1.637% → 1.521% (-0.116 pp)·stock down 5.4% in the 30 days before
Sep 23·entry $62.08·now $68.03
+9.58%
since Sep 23
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.637% → 1.546% (-0.091 pp)·stock down 2.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 22·entry $63.30·now $68.03
+7.47%
since Sep 22
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.637% → 1.584% (-0.053 pp)·stock up 1.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 21·entry $64.99·now $68.03
+4.68%
since Sep 21
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.550% → 1.637% (+0.087 pp)·stock up 2.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 17·entry $67.10·now $68.03Fresh
+1.39%
since Sep 17
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.684% → 1.617% (-0.067 pp)·stock up 2.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 16·entry $66.01·now $68.03
+3.06%
since Sep 16
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.612% → 1.684% (+0.072 pp)·stock up 5.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 14·entry $69.41·now $68.03Fresh
-1.99%
since Sep 14
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.776% → 1.609% (+0.833 pp)·stock down 1.0% in the 30 days before
Sep 11·entry $66.42·now $68.03Drifting
+2.42%
since Sep 11
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.775% → 1.593% (+0.818 pp)·stock up 0.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 10·entry $65.40·now $68.03Drifting
+4.02%
since Sep 10
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.614% → 1.550% (-0.064 pp)·stock down 1.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 8·entry $64.58·now $68.03
+5.34%
since Sep 8
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.775% → 1.614% (+0.840 pp)·stock up 1.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 3·entry $68.02·now $68.03Fresh
+0.01%
since Sep 3
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.775% → 1.612% (+0.837 pp)·stock up 5.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $67.34·now $68.03Fresh
+1.02%
since Sep 2
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 3.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $65.65·now $68.03Drifting
+3.63%
since Aug 24
+6.06%
since Aug 20
+0.83%
since Aug 14
+3.01%
since Aug 13
PQUS · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.280% → 0.310% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 3.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $70.16·now $68.03Fresh
-3.04%
since Oct 14
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.280% → 0.300% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 0.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $68.86·now $68.03Fresh
-1.21%
since Oct 13
+1.02%
since Sep 2
+4.13%
since Aug 27
+3.91%
since Aug 26
+3.63%
since Aug 24
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 2.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $65.02·now $68.03Drifting
+4.63%
since Aug 21
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Sep 13
AI ETFs like AIVL are showing signs of gradual accumulation and weight increases in Centene, suggesting a positive outlook or belief in a turnaround. This contrasts sharply with the framework's "Fail" verdict, which is driven by significant concerns about the company's current financial health, specifically its negative return on equity. While some AI funds are accumulating, others like AMOM have recently exited, indicating mixed signals among the algorithms.
- Circle of CompetenceThe business model involving government-sponsored managed care offers a degree of revenue predictability and stability, allowing for a reasonable projection of unit economics and future cash flows over a ten-year period.
- Economic MoatCentene possesses a durable economic moat derived from scale advantages in negotiating healthcare services, regulatory barriers to entry in government programs, and high switching costs for public sector clients.
- ManagementA comprehensive assessment of management's candor, capital allocation discipline, and alignment with shareholder interests cannot be made with the provided financial snapshot.
- Financial HealthThe reported Return on Equity (ROE) of -24.03% signifies poor financial health and a clear failure against the benchmark criterion for profitability.
- Margin of SafetyGiven the significant financial health issues, particularly negative profitability, it is not possible to conservatively estimate intrinsic value or identify a defensible margin of safety at the current price.
Centene operates within the circle of competence due to the predictable nature of managed healthcare contracts and benefits from a durable economic moat. However, a deep dive into its financial health reveals a clear failure, primarily driven by a significantly negative Return on Equity. This financial weakness makes it impossible to establish a margin of safety, leading to an overall "Fail" verdict within this investing framework.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.