PQUS0.170%
as of Sep 1
COF
GrowthCAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP
Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One, National Association, which engages in the provision of various financial products and services in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The company accepts checking accounts, money market deposits, negotiable order of withdrawals, savings deposits, time deposits, and sweep accounts.
Close · 3M
+15.21%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals2
Win rate100% (2/2)
Avg buy return+15.82%
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.230% → 0.170% (-0.060 pp)·stock up 2.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 29·entry $214.51·now $220.50
+2.79%
since Aug 29
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.400% → 0.310% (-0.090 pp)·stock up 8.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 8·entry $218.97·now $220.50
+0.70%
since Aug 8
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.820% → 0.650% (-0.170 pp)·stock up 9.9% in the 30 days before
Jul 10·entry $201.52·now $220.50
+9.42%
since Jul 10
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.840% → 0.800% (-0.040 pp)·stock up 11.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 2·entry $205.12·now $220.50
+7.50%
since Jul 2
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.080% → 1.060% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 10.7% in the 30 days before
Jun 20·entry $200.70·now $220.50
+9.87%
since Jun 20
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.000% → 1.080% (+0.080 pp)·stock up 10.7% in the 30 days before
Jun 18·entry $201.53·now $220.50Drifting
+9.41%
since Jun 18
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.950% → 0.990% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 6.6% in the 30 days before
Jun 7·entry $180.39·now $220.50Chased
+22.24%
since Jun 7
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.980% → 0.950% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 3.4% in the 30 days before
Jun 4·entry $183.20·now $220.50
+20.36%
since Jun 4
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.050% → 1.000% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 2.7% in the 30 days before
May 10·entry $183.93·now $220.50
+19.88%
since May 10
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.060% → 1.040% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 0.1% in the 30 days before
May 7·entry $192.59·now $220.50
+14.49%
since May 7
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.080% → 1.050% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 7.1% in the 30 days before
Apr 29·entry $190.84·now $220.50
+15.54%
since Apr 29
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Aug 30
The AI ETF PQUS is showing a weight decrease trend in Capital One, which aligns with the value investing framework's 'Fail' verdict. This indicates that the AI's recent activity suggests a diminishing conviction or negative outlook on the company, mirroring the framework's concerns about financial health.
- Circle of CompetenceAs an established consumer finance company, Capital One's underlying earning power and unit economics, though cyclical, can be reasonably projected over a decade within a broad range.
- Economic MoatCapital One benefits from brand recognition, significant scale in lending and deposits, and customer switching costs in its primary consumer finance businesses.
- ManagementInformation on management's candor, capital allocation discipline, and skin in the game is not available from the provided data.
- Financial HealthThe current Return on Equity (ROE) of 9.28% is below the required 10% minimum for any single year, indicating a failure of the financial health criteria.
- Margin of SafetyWithout a conservative estimate of intrinsic value, it is not possible to determine if the current price offers a defensible margin of safety.
Capital One successfully navigated the circle of competence and economic moat stages, showcasing predictable operations and durable competitive advantages through brand recognition and scale. However, the company failed the crucial financial health assessment, as its Return on Equity did not meet the framework's stringent requirements. This financial underperformance, combined with insufficient data for a definitive judgment on management and margin of safety, leads to an overall 'Fail' verdict for a Warren Buffett-style value investment.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.