AIVL0.643%
as of Oct 23
CPRT
DefensiveCOPART INC
Copart, Inc. provides online auctions and vehicle remarketing services in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Brazil, Canada, the United Arab Emirates, Spain, Finland, Oman, the Republic of Ireland, and Bahrain. It offers a range of services to process and sell vehicles over the internet through its virtual bidding third generation internet auction-style sales technology. The company's services include online seller access, salvage estimation, estimating, end-of-life vehicle processing, transportation, vehicle inspection stations, on-demand reporting, title processing and express, loan payoff, flexible vehicle processing programs, buy it now, sales process, and dealer services.
Close · 3M
-5.17%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals10
Win rate20% (2/10)
Avg buy return-7.81%
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.611% → 0.643% (+0.032 pp)·stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $29.00·now $29.15Fresh
+0.52%
since Oct 23
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.593% → 0.624% (+0.031 pp)·stock down 6.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $27.87·now $29.15Drifting
+4.59%
since Oct 16
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.625% → 0.593% (-0.032 pp)·stock down 16.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $26.37·now $29.15
+10.54%
since Oct 13
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.625% → 0.595% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 11.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $26.48·now $29.15
+10.08%
since Oct 12
AIVL · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 0.643% → 0.609% (-0.034 pp)·stock down 18.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 7·entry $26.62·now $29.15
+9.50%
since Oct 7
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.643% → 0.611% (-0.032 pp)·stock down 20.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 6·entry $26.82·now $29.15
+8.69%
since Oct 6
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.643% → 0.634% (-0.009 pp)·stock down 17.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 5·entry $27.65·now $29.15
+5.42%
since Oct 5
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.643% → 0.637% (-0.006 pp)·stock down 15.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $27.22·now $29.15
+7.09%
since Oct 2
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.668% → 0.636% (-0.032 pp)·stock down 17.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 29·entry $27.14·now $29.15
+7.41%
since Sep 29
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.668% → 0.638% (-0.031 pp)·stock down 16.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 28·entry $27.22·now $29.15
+7.09%
since Sep 28
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.668% → 0.643% (-0.025 pp)·stock down 15.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 25·entry $27.59·now $29.15
+5.65%
since Sep 25
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.714% → 0.665% (-0.049 pp)·stock down 14.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 22·entry $28.80·now $29.15
+1.22%
since Sep 22
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.713% → 0.666% (-0.048 pp)·stock down 15.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 21·entry $28.91·now $29.15
+0.83%
since Sep 21
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.714% → 0.677% (-0.036 pp)·stock down 13.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 18·entry $29.28·now $29.15
-0.44%
since Sep 18
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.759% → 0.686% (-0.073 pp)·stock up 3.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 11·entry $29.95·now $29.15
-2.67%
since Sep 11
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.759% → 0.708% (-0.051 pp)·stock up 4.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 10·entry $30.75·now $29.15
-5.20%
since Sep 10
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.759% → 0.734% (-0.025 pp)·stock up 8.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 9·entry $32.03·now $29.15
-8.99%
since Sep 9
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.728% → 0.759% (+0.031 pp)·stock up 16.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 4·entry $33.72·now $29.15Fresh
-13.55%
since Sep 4
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.939% → 0.960% (+0.021 pp)·stock up 13.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 31·entry $32.99·now $29.15Fresh
-11.64%
since Aug 31
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.939% → 0.951% (+0.013 pp)·stock up 11.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $32.99·now $29.15Fresh
-11.64%
since Aug 28
-12.36%
since Aug 24
-13.76%
since Aug 21
-15.09%
since Aug 20
-8.04%
since Aug 17
-7.78%
since Aug 14
+0.55%
since Aug 12
+0.48%
since Aug 6
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Oct 25
AIVL holds a small 0.64% position and has been alternating between trimming and adding, most recently accumulating with increases on Oct 16 and Oct 23 after cuts on Oct 12 and 13. The modest, choppy sizing reads as tentative conviction rather than a strong value call, which is broadly consistent with a framework verdict that likes the business but not the price.
- Circle of CompetenceCopart's online salvage auction model has stable unit economics, with fee income per vehicle and steady insurer-driven volumes that make ten-year cash flows reasonably projectable.
- Economic MoatCopart has a scale-driven network effect: its large yard footprint and global buyer base attract insurers, which in turn attract more buyers, and the land needed to replicate that footprint is hard to acquire.
- ManagementFinancials alone cannot show candor, insider ownership or buyback discipline, though the company's record of self-funded expansion and a conservative balance sheet points to sound capital allocation.
- Financial HealthA 15.93% ROE sits just above the 15% threshold and the business has little debt and strong owner earnings, though revenue growth of 0.41% suggests momentum has slowed and the ten-year ROE record cannot be verified from this data.
- Margin of SafetyA P/E of 18.09 and EV/EBITDA near 19.7 with almost no revenue growth is a fair price for a wonderful business at best, and leaves no clear margin of safety.
Copart passes on circle of competence and moat, and its financials look healthy, but management cannot be judged from the data given. With flat revenue and a full valuation, there is no margin of safety today, so the framework's verdict is Fail on price. It would become more interesting at a meaningfully lower price or with a return to stronger growth.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.