AIVL1.700%
as of Sep 3
CSX
DefensiveCSX CORP
CSX Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides rail-based freight transportation services in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments: rail and trucking. The company offers rail services; and transportation of intermodal containers and trailers, as well as other transportation services, such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations.
Close · 3M
+7.88%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals16
Win rate38% (6/16)
Avg buy return-1.66%
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.774% → 1.703% (-0.071 pp)·stock down 4.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $48.65·now $48.99
+0.70%
since Sep 2
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.774% → 1.751% (-0.023 pp)·stock up 0.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 31·entry $50.51·now $48.99
-3.01%
since Aug 31
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.724% → 1.774% (+0.049 pp)·stock up 1.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $51.54·now $48.99Fresh
-4.95%
since Aug 27
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.702% → 1.775% (+0.073 pp)·stock down 0.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $51.51·now $48.99Fresh
-4.89%
since Aug 25
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 1.724% → 1.778% (+0.054 pp)·stock down 2.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $51.59·now $48.99Fresh
-5.04%
since Aug 21
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.724% → 1.758% (+0.034 pp)·stock up 2.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $50.97·now $48.99Fresh
-3.88%
since Aug 20
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.717% → 1.702% (-0.015 pp)·stock down 1.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 14·entry $50.16·now $48.99
-2.33%
since Aug 14
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.747% → 1.717% (-0.029 pp)·stock up 0.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 11·entry $49.94·now $48.99
-1.90%
since Aug 11
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.747% → 1.720% (-0.027 pp)·stock up 1.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 10·entry $50.12·now $48.99
-2.25%
since Aug 10
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.015% → 1.724% (-0.291 pp)·stock up 1.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 3·entry $49.83·now $48.99
-1.69%
since Aug 3
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.033% → 2.011% (-0.021 pp)·stock up 9.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 21·entry $49.89·now $48.99
-1.80%
since Jul 21
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.979% → 2.033% (+0.054 pp)·stock up 8.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 17·entry $50.75·now $48.99Fresh
-3.47%
since Jul 17
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.947% → 2.025% (+0.078 pp)·stock up 7.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 16·entry $50.89·now $48.99Fresh
-3.73%
since Jul 16
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.987% → 2.018% (+0.031 pp)·stock up 5.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 14·entry $49.92·now $48.99Fresh
-1.86%
since Jul 14
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.947% → 1.991% (+0.045 pp)·stock up 4.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 9·entry $49.35·now $48.99Fresh
-0.73%
since Jul 9
+0.99%
since Jul 7
+0.20%
since Jul 2
+1.37%
since Jul 1
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 1.1% in the 30 days before
Jun 26·entry $47.66·now $48.99Drifting
+2.79%
since Jun 26
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 0.6% in the 30 days before
Jun 23·entry $46.16·now $48.99Drifting
+6.13%
since Jun 23
LQAI · Exit · 1d
weight 0.770% → 0 (exited)·stock up 4.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $50.70·now $48.99
-3.37%
since Aug 6
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.760% → 0.820% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 15.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 24·entry $53.23·now $48.99Fresh
-7.97%
since Jul 24
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.790% → 0.760% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 9.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 21·entry $49.89·now $48.99
-1.80%
since Jul 21
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.750% → 0.790% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 8.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 17·entry $50.75·now $48.99Fresh
-3.47%
since Jul 17
+0.99%
since Jul 7
+0.20%
since Jul 2
+3.07%
since Jun 30
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 1.1% in the 30 days before
Jun 26·entry $47.66·now $48.99Drifting
+2.79%
since Jun 26
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of May 4
One AI ETF (AIEQ) recently initiated a small position in CSX, suggesting a positive outlook from that algorithm. Conversely, another AI ETF (AIVL), holding a larger stake, has been decreasing its weight, indicating a cautious stance. The Buffett-style framework's 'Fail' verdict, primarily due to valuation and insufficient financial health data, aligns more closely with AIVL's recent trend of reducing exposure.
- Circle of CompetenceThe railroad industry, with its significant fixed assets and stable demand drivers, allows for reasonable projection of unit economics and cash flows over a decade.
- Economic MoatCSX benefits from substantial scale-driven cost advantages, high barriers to entry, and geographic network effects characteristic of the railroad industry, creating a durable economic moat.
- ManagementInformation on management's candor, capital allocation discipline, and skin in the game is not available in the provided data.
- Financial HealthAlthough current ROE is high, insufficient historical data is provided to assess 10-year average ROE, operating margin trends, debt manageability, or owner earnings consistency, and negative revenue growth along with a very high EV/EBITDA raise concerns.
- Margin of SafetyWith a P/E of 27.47, P/B of 5.13, and an extremely high EV/EBITDA of 53.41, alongside negative revenue growth, the current price does not offer a margin of safety relative to a conservative estimate of intrinsic value.
CSX operates within a predictable industry and benefits from a strong, durable economic moat, aligning with key tenets of the investment framework. However, the evaluation falters significantly on financial health due to a lack of comprehensive data to meet the framework's criteria, and it clearly fails on valuation. The current market price, characterized by high multiples and negative recent revenue growth, does not offer a margin of safety for investors.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.