Coterra Energy Inc., an independent oil and gas company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company's properties include the Permian Basin, which covers approximately 345,000 net acres in the Delaware Basin in west Texas and southeast New Mexico, and an additional approximate of 49,000 net acres in the Delaware Basin in Lea County, New Mexico; Marcellus Shale properties, which covers approximately 186,000 net acres located in Susquehanna County, northeast Pennsylvania; and Anadarko Basin, which covers approximately 208,000 net acres located in the mid-continent region in Oklahoma. It also operates natural gas and saltwater gathering, and disposal systems in Texas.
Close · 3M
+26.74%
Held by 0 AI ETFs
None of the tracked AI ETFs currently hold this name.
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
The AI ETF likely removed CTRA due to a rapid deterioration in its short-term momentum or the triggering of specific risk management rules, which outweighed the company's otherwise solid fundamental metrics like strong revenue growth. This swift action by AI funds emphasizes that retail investors should consider broader market trends and technical indicators beyond just traditional financial statements, as algorithmic strategies prioritize real-time signals and dynamic rebalancing.
weight 1.400% → 0 (exited)·stock down 2.7% in the 30 days before
The AI ETF is likely reducing its CTRA exposure due to detected negative short-term price momentum or a deteriorating outlook for the energy sector, overriding the company's strong historical revenue growth. Retail investors should recognize that AI funds prioritize dynamic signals beyond basic financial summaries, meaning independent research aligned with one's own investment horizon is essential before acting on such tactical shifts.
weight 1.590% → 1.400% (-0.190 pp)·stock down 6.7% in the 30 days before
The AI ETF likely increased CTRA's weight due to its exceptional 40.07% revenue growth, coupled with a reasonable PBR of 1.35 and PER, signaling a strong growth stock at an attractive valuation. This sustained allocation suggests the AI's models are continuously identifying positive fundamental signals and potential upside in CTRA. For retail investors, a consecutive weight increase by an AI ETF highlights that sophisticated algorithms are spotting robust growth and valuation metrics in CTRA. This suggests CTRA warrants further research into its specific growth catalysts and fundamental strength beyond just price action.
weight 1.510% → 1.610% (+0.100 pp)·stock down 0.6% in the 30 days before
The AI likely initiated a short-term tactical trade on CTRA, despite its strong revenue growth, quickly liquidating the small position within days as its initial, possibly momentum-driven, buy signal was rapidly invalidated. This aggressive action demonstrates that AI funds operate on complex, high-frequency algorithms often unsuitable for a retail investor's replication. Instead, individual investors should prioritize thorough personal research and align decisions with their own long-term investment horizon.
weight 0.050% → 0 (exited)·stock down 2.7% in the 30 days before
The AI ETF's new entry into CTRA likely stems from the company's impressive 40.07% revenue growth, coupled with a reasonable PBR of 1.35 and healthy ROE of 11.77%, suggesting the AI identified a renewed opportunity based on strong underlying fundamentals and potential value. For retail investors, this pattern highlights how AI systems dynamically re-evaluate and re-enter positions in fundamentally sound companies, even after prior divestment, signaling a potential bullish reassessment that warrants further individual research.
weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock up 4.3% in the 30 days before
The AI likely removed CTRA due to a perceived negative shift in the energy sector outlook or specific real-time risk factors, rather than its strong reported fundamentals. This indicates the AI prioritizes dynamic data and forward-looking trends, teaching retail investors to consider broader market context and not rely solely on static financial ratios for investment decisions.
weight 0.060% → 0 (exited)·stock down 2.7% in the 30 days before
weight 0 → 0.060% (new)·stock up 7.1% in the 30 days before
Mar 20·entry $33.97·now $32.56Fresh
-4.15%
since Mar 20
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Too hard to callas of May 1
AI ETF LQAI shows an increasing weight trend in Coterra Energy, indicating active investment by algorithmic strategies. This contrasts sharply with the framework's conclusion that the company is "Too Hard" to evaluate, highlighting a divergence between AI-driven trading signals and a long-term value investing approach focused on predictable earning power.
Circle of CompetenceThe company operates in the energy sector, which is highly exposed to volatile commodity prices, making long-term prediction of unit economics and future cash flows genuinely unpredictable.
Economic MoatThis stage cannot be assessed due to the unpredictable nature of the company's underlying business within the circle of competence framework.
ManagementInsufficient information is available to evaluate management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game in this context.
Financial HealthA full financial health assessment, including owner earnings and long-term ROE trends, cannot be reliably conducted when the predictability of the business is compromised.
Margin of SafetyA conservative estimate of intrinsic value cannot be reasonably determined given the difficulty in projecting future cash flows.
Coterra Energy falls outside the circle of competence due to the inherent unpredictability of its cash flows, driven by exposure to volatile commodity prices in the energy sector. Consequently, a Buffett-style value investing framework cannot reliably project its long-term economic performance or assess its intrinsic value. Therefore, the company is deemed "Too Hard" to analyze within this framework.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.