AIEQ0.050%
as of Sep 4
CTVA
DefensiveCORTEVA INC.
Corteva, Inc. operates in the agriculture business. The company operates through two segments, Seed and Crop Protection. The Seed segment develops and supplies advanced germplasm and traits that produce optimum yield for farms.
Close · 3M
+9.98%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals1
Win rate100% (1/1)
Avg buy return+1.01%
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock up 5.0% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $87.73·now $88.62Fresh
+1.01%
since Sep 1
PQUS · Exit · 1d
weight 0.030% → 0 (exited)·stock up 14.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 10·entry $85.68·now $88.62
+3.43%
since Jul 10
PQUS · Sudden change · 1d
weight 0.400% → 0.020% (-0.380 pp)·stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before
Jun 26·entry $82.62·now $88.62
+7.26%
since Jun 26
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.420% → 0.400% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 0.4% in the 30 days before
May 21·entry $79.04·now $88.62
+12.12%
since May 21
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.470% → 0.440% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 2.9% in the 30 days before
May 9·entry $82.83·now $88.62
+6.99%
since May 9
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of May 11
One AI ETF (PQUS) shows a recent decreasing weight trend for Corteva, which aligns with the framework's 'Fail' verdict based on financial health and margin of safety concerns. While other AI ETFs still hold the stock, the observed selling trend suggests a cautious stance that reflects the identified valuation and profitability issues.
- Circle of CompetenceAs a leading agricultural inputs provider, Corteva's core business of seeds and crop protection exhibits sufficiently stable unit economics to allow for reasonable ten-year cash flow projections.
- Economic MoatCorteva benefits from strong brand recognition, high switching costs for farmers, significant R&D-driven patent protection, and scale advantages in a highly regulated industry.
- ManagementThe provided financial data does not offer sufficient insight into management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or ownership stakes to make an informed judgment.
- Financial HealthCorteva's most recent Return on Equity (ROE) of 4.4% falls significantly short of the framework's requirement for a 10-year average of at least 15% and no single year below 10%.
- Margin of SafetyWith a P/E ratio of 49.6 and a low Return on Equity of 4.4%, the current price does not appear to offer a defensible margin of safety relative to current earning power.
Corteva passes the circle of competence and economic moat stages, indicating a predictable business with durable competitive advantages in agricultural science. However, the company fails on financial health due to a very low Return on Equity and also on margin of safety given its high price-to-earnings ratio relative to current profitability. Therefore, despite its strong business fundamentals, the current valuation and financial metrics suggest it is not an attractive investment within this value framework.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.