DG · DOLLAR GENERAL CORP

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Dollar General Corporation, a discount retailer, provides various merchandise products in the southern, southwestern, midwestern, and eastern United States. It offers consumable products, including paper towels, bath tissues, paper dinnerware, trash and storage bags, disinfectants, and laundry products; packaged food, such as cereals, pasta, canned soups, canned meats, fruits and vegetables, condiments, spices, sugar, and flour; and perishables, including milk, eggs, bread, refrigerated and frozen food, beer, wine, and produce; candy, cookies, crackers, salty snacks, and carbonated beverages; over-the-counter medicines and personal care products including soap, body wash, shampoo, cosmetics, dental hygiene and foot care products; pet supplies and pet food; and tobacco products.

Close · 3M

+8.74%

Held by 1 AI ETF

AIVI1.447%

as of Sep 3

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals11

Win rate100% (11/11)

Avg buy return+13.06%

AIVInow 1.447% of fund29 signals

AIVI · Weight decrease · 5d

weight 1.526% → 1.428% (-0.098 pp)·stock up 2.9% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $130.89·now $131.26

+0.28%

since Sep 2

AIVI · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 1.526% → 1.442% (-0.084 pp)·stock down 0.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 31·entry $126.75·now $131.26

+3.56%

since Aug 31

AIVI · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 1.526% → 1.459% (-0.067 pp)·stock down 3.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $122.89·now $131.26

+6.81%

since Aug 28

AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.526% → 1.472% (-0.054 pp)·stock down 2.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 27·entry $125.89·now $131.26

+4.27%

since Aug 27

AIVI · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 1.553% → 1.517% (-0.036 pp)·stock up 6.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 24·entry $125.33·now $131.26

+4.73%

since Aug 24

AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.553% → 1.528% (-0.025 pp)·stock up 7.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $123.41·now $131.26

+6.36%

since Aug 21

AIVI · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 1.567% → 1.526% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 3.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 18·entry $120.84·now $131.26

+8.62%

since Aug 18

AIVI · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 1.567% → 1.529% (-0.038 pp)·stock down 4.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 17·entry $120.08·now $131.26

+9.31%

since Aug 17

AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.567% → 1.533% (-0.034 pp)·stock down 3.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 14·entry $123.28·now $131.26

+6.47%

since Aug 14

AIVI · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 1.607% → 1.567% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 2.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 11·entry $120.07·now $131.26

+9.32%

since Aug 11

AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.607% → 1.580% (-0.026 pp)·stock up 2.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 10·entry $122.42·now $131.26

+7.22%

since Aug 10

AIVI · Weight increase · 3d

weight 1.513% → 1.607% (+0.093 pp)·stock up 11.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 6·entry $127.45·now $131.26Drifting

+2.99%

since Aug 6

AIVI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.513% → 1.602% (+0.088 pp)·stock up 8.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 3·entry $127.72·now $131.26Drifting

+2.77%

since Aug 3

AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.561% → 1.550% (-0.011 pp)·stock up 5.6% in the 30 days before

Jul 15·entry $121.28·now $131.26

+8.23%

since Jul 15

AIVI · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 1.684% → 1.556% (-0.128 pp)·stock up 8.7% in the 30 days before

Jul 10·entry $118.92·now $131.26

+10.38%

since Jul 10

AIVI · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 1.684% → 1.558% (-0.126 pp)·stock up 10.7% in the 30 days before

Jul 8·entry $114.80·now $131.26

+14.34%

since Jul 8

AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.684% → 1.614% (-0.070 pp)·stock up 11.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 7·entry $115.43·now $131.26

+13.71%

since Jul 7

AIVI · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 1.771% → 1.675% (-0.095 pp)·stock up 4.8% in the 30 days before

Jul 1·entry $115.20·now $131.26

+13.94%

since Jul 1

AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.771% → 1.718% (-0.053 pp)·stock up 4.1% in the 30 days before

Jun 30·entry $115.11·now $131.26

+14.03%

since Jun 30

AIVI · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 13.5% in the 30 days before

Jun 25·entry $117.56·now $131.26Chased

+11.65%

since Jun 25

AIVI · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 12.8% in the 30 days before

Jun 24·entry $119.17·now $131.26Chased

+10.15%

since Jun 24

AIVI · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 9.0% in the 30 days before

Jun 23·entry $114.58·now $131.26Chased

+14.56%

since Jun 23

AIVI · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 7.5% in the 30 days before

Jun 22·entry $112.46·now $131.26Chased

+16.72%

since Jun 22

AIVI · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 9.6% in the 30 days before

Jun 18·entry $113.45·now $131.26Chased

+15.70%

since Jun 18

AIVI · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 11.1% in the 30 days before

Jun 16·entry $113.75·now $131.26Chased

+15.39%

since Jun 16

AIVI · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 10.8% in the 30 days before

Jun 15·entry $116.39·now $131.26Chased

+12.78%

since Jun 15

AIVI · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 12.8% in the 30 days before

Jun 12·entry $114.80·now $131.26Chased

+14.34%

since Jun 12

AIVI · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 5.1% in the 30 days before

Jun 10·entry $109.96·now $131.26

+19.37%

since Jun 10

AIVI · Weight increase · 3d

stock down 10.9% in the 30 days before

Jun 5·entry $103.70·now $131.26Chased

+26.58%

since Jun 5

PQUSno longer held1 signal

PQUS · Exit · 1d

weight 0.020% → 0 (exited)·stock up 14.5% in the 30 days before

Jun 26·entry $119.51·now $131.26

+9.83%

since Jun 26

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of Jun 28

AI ETF AIVI has been consistently accumulating Dollar General shares, signaling a positive outlook based on its internal models. In contrast, PQUS recently exited its position. The framework's 'Fail' verdict conflicts with AIVI's accumulation trend, as the analyst could not confirm key financial health metrics or a margin of safety.

Circle of CompetenceThe discount retail business model is straightforward and its unit economics appear stable enough for long-term cash flow projections, placing it within the circle of competence.
Economic MoatDollar General benefits from a clear scale-driven cost advantage in sourcing and distribution, augmented by a convenience moat due to its extensive store network in underserved markets.
ManagementInsufficient data is provided to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game.
Financial HealthWhile current ROE is strong, the absence of 10-year historical ROE, operating margin trends, detailed debt structure, and owner earnings data prevents verification of the required financial health criteria.
Margin of SafetyWithout a conservative estimate of intrinsic value, it is not possible to determine if a defensible margin of safety exists at the current price.

Dollar General operates within a clear circle of competence and appears to possess a durable economic moat based on scale and convenience. However, the inability to thoroughly assess management's capital allocation and, more critically, to verify long-term financial health metrics and establish a margin of safety results in a 'Fail' verdict under this framework.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.