PQUS0.400%
as of Sep 1
DOW
DefensiveDOW INC
Dow Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides various materials science solutions for packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer applications in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, India, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company operates through Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings segments. The Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment provides ethylene, propylene, polyethylene, and aromatics products; and other ethylene derivatives, such as polyolefin elastomers, ethylene vinyl acetate, and ethylene propylene diene monomer rubber.
Close · 3M
-21.47%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals8
Win rate25% (2/8)
Avg buy return-5.02%
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.420% → 0.390% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 0.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $30.33·now $30.36
+0.10%
since Aug 27
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.410% → 0.390% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 6.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 15·entry $31.34·now $30.36
-3.13%
since Aug 15
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.380% → 0.410% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 2.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $30.36·now $30.36Fresh
0.00%
since Aug 13
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.480% → 0.460% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 9.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 18·entry $30.37·now $30.36
-0.03%
since Jul 18
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.470% → 0.450% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 12.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 11·entry $30.37·now $30.36
-0.03%
since Jul 11
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.490% → 0.450% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 20.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 2·entry $27.71·now $30.36
+9.56%
since Jul 2
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.520% → 0.570% (+0.050 pp)·stock down 14.7% in the 30 days before
Jun 4·entry $34.79·now $30.36Fresh
-12.73%
since Jun 4
-25.02%
since Apr 30
AMOM · Exit · 1d
weight 1.170% → 0 (exited)·stock up 3.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $31.28·now $30.36
-2.94%
since Sep 2
AMOM · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 1.250% → 1.130% (-0.120 pp)·stock down 0.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $30.33·now $30.36
+0.10%
since Aug 27
AMOM · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 1.250% → 1.140% (-0.110 pp)·stock up 5.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $30.33·now $30.36
+0.10%
since Aug 26
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.250% → 1.150% (-0.100 pp)·stock up 4.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $30.16·now $30.36
+0.66%
since Aug 25
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.250% → 1.210% (-0.040 pp)·stock up 5.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $31.44·now $30.36
-3.44%
since Aug 24
AMOM · Weight increase · 3d
weight 1.130% → 1.250% (+0.120 pp)·stock up 5.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $32.90·now $30.36Fresh
-7.72%
since Aug 20
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.130% → 1.190% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 4.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $31.75·now $30.36Fresh
-4.38%
since Aug 19
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.180% → 1.110% (-0.070 pp)·stock up 2.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $30.36·now $30.36
0.00%
since Aug 13
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.120% → 1.180% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 2.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 11·entry $31.26·now $30.36Fresh
-2.88%
since Aug 11
AMOM · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 1.160% (new)·stock up 4.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $30.30·now $30.36Fresh
+0.20%
since Aug 6
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
weight 0.050% → 0 (exited)·stock up 12.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 2·entry $29.89·now $30.36
+1.57%
since Aug 2
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock down 22.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $27.02·now $30.36Chased
+12.36%
since Jul 1
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
weight 0.250% → 0 (exited)·stock down 14.7% in the 30 days before
May 30·entry $34.69·now $30.36
-12.48%
since May 30
-17.66%
since May 8
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Too hard to callas of Jul 19
The AI ETFs PQUS, AIEQ, and QRFT currently hold DOW, with PQUS showing a recent trend of decreasing its weight in the company. In contrast, the Buffett-style framework deems DOW 'Too Hard' to analyze due to the fundamental unpredictability of its commodity chemicals business. This suggests a potential misalignment between the AI's current holdings and a long-term, predictable earning power assessment, though PQUS's decreasing weight might reflect an emerging divergence.
- Circle of CompetenceThe highly cyclical nature and exposure to volatile commodity prices in the chemical industry make DOW's unit economics and long-term cash flows genuinely unpredictable beyond a few years.
- Economic MoatThis stage is not applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- ManagementThis stage is not applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- Financial HealthThis stage is not applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- Margin of SafetyThis stage is not applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
DOW, operating in the commodity chemicals sector, is assessed as 'Too Hard' to evaluate within this value investing framework because its business unit economics are inherently unpredictable due to cyclicality and exposure to volatile prices. The inability to reasonably project ten-year cash flows means the company falls outside the required circle of competence. Therefore, further stages regarding economic moat, management, financial health, or margin of safety cannot be reliably judged for investment.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.