PQUS0.480%
as of Jul 21
DOW
DefensiveDOW INC
Dow Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides various materials science solutions for packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer applications in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, India, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company operates through Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings segments. The Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment provides ethylene, propylene, polyethylene, and aromatics products; and other ethylene derivatives, such as polyolefin elastomers, ethylene vinyl acetate, and ethylene propylene diene monomer rubber.
Close · 3M
-11.48%
Held by 3 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals4
Win rate25% (1/4)
Avg buy return-10.61%
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
The consecutive weight decrease for DOW is a subtle, two-day reduction of 0.01 percentage points each, following a week of stability and minor increases. This measured scaling back aligns with Pictet Asset Management's PQUS, a fund known for its measured turnover and periodic, not daily, rebalancing, indicating the AI system's calibrated approach. DOW's 30-day return of -14.0% and negative revenue growth likely prompted this re-evaluation, with the stock trading at 71% of its 52-week high, leading to the gentle adjustment within the fund's US large-cap allocation rather than an aggressive divestment.
weight 0.480% → 0.460% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 9.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 18·entry $30.37·now $30.37
0.00%
since Jul 18
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
The gradual, step-wise reduction in DOW’s weight from 0.47% to 0.45% between July 9th and 11th reflects a measured adjustment by PQUS. This measured turnover aligns with the fund’s overall style, as its AI ranking system likely re-evaluated DOW given its recent 30-day return of negative 16.5% and current price of $29.03, which is 69% of its 52-week high. Despite DOW’s low PER of 8.23 and PBR of 1.04, its negative revenue growth of 7.74% and deeply negative ROE of 17.26% likely influenced the AI's re-ranking downward. These sequential adjustments suggest the AI system, while adhering to its periodic rebalancing schedule and sector-balance rules for its approximately 165 US large-cap holdings, identified a need to slightly trim exposure to the Materials company.
weight 0.470% → 0.450% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 12.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 11·entry $30.37·now $30.37
0.00%
since Jul 11
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
The weight of DOW in PQUS shows a gradual, consecutive reduction, decreasing from 0.49% to 0.45% across two trading days. This controlled scaling back aligns with Pictet Asset Management's strategy for PQUS, which prioritizes measured turnover within its periodically rebalanced, US large-cap universe. The AI ranking system likely signaled this adjustment, responding to DOW's deteriorating financial metrics, specifically negative revenue growth and a negative return on equity. With DOW's stock price currently at $27.02, having experienced a -28.4% return over the past 30 days, the AI system further de-risks exposure to this struggling Materials sector company. This precise, incremental rebalance demonstrates the fund's mechanism for managing concentration and sector balance in response to a constituent's sustained underperformance.
weight 0.490% → 0.450% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 20.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 2·entry $27.71·now $30.37
+9.60%
since Jul 2
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.520% → 0.570% (+0.050 pp)·stock down 14.7% in the 30 days before
Jun 4·entry $34.79·now $30.37Fresh
-12.70%
since Jun 4
PQUS · New entry · 1d
The AI ETF likely initiated a small position in DOW as a deep value play, driven by its low PER and PBR, anticipating a potential cyclical recovery in the materials sector despite current weak fundamentals. For retail investors, this highlights that AI strategies can prioritize potential turnarounds in undervalued stocks, which may involve higher risk and warrant careful independent analysis of long-term prospects.
weight 0 → 0.110% (new)·stock down 2.8% in the 30 days before
Apr 30·entry $40.49·now $30.37Fresh
-24.99%
since Apr 30
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock down 22.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $27.02·now $30.37Chased
+12.40%
since Jul 1
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
DOW, priced at $33.75 and sitting at 81% of its 52-week high, recently saw a -5.2% decline over the last 30 days, following a period of 90-day gains. This recent weakness, coupled with the stock's significant position within its annual range, likely triggered AIEQ's IBM Watson NLP engine to intensify its analysis of the company's sentiment and fundamental outlook, given its daily rebalancing and high-turnover mandate. The persistent negative financial metrics, including a -7.74% revenue growth and a -17.26% return on equity, would have been flagged by the fund's hybrid fundamentals plus sentiment model. Consequently, DOW's gradual weight reduction in AIEQ's portfolio from 0.2800% to 0.0000% by May 30, 2026, reflects the AI's rapid assessment that DOW's profile no longer met the investment criteria for one of its 140-180 holdings, resulting in its complete removal.
weight 0.250% → 0 (exited)·stock down 14.7% in the 30 days before
May 30·entry $34.69·now $30.37
-12.45%
since May 30
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
The AI ETF is likely reducing its DOW exposure due to the company's deteriorating financial fundamentals, specifically its negative revenue growth and deeply negative return on equity. For a retail investor, this illustrates that AI algorithms prioritize robust financial health, signaling that sustained negative growth and profitability metrics should be a strong consideration for any investment decision.
weight 0.300% → 0.270% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 3.1% in the 30 days before
May 8·entry $36.87·now $30.37
-17.63%
since May 8
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Too hard to callas of Jul 19
The AI ETFs PQUS, AIEQ, and QRFT currently hold DOW, with PQUS showing a recent trend of decreasing its weight in the company. In contrast, the Buffett-style framework deems DOW 'Too Hard' to analyze due to the fundamental unpredictability of its commodity chemicals business. This suggests a potential misalignment between the AI's current holdings and a long-term, predictable earning power assessment, though PQUS's decreasing weight might reflect an emerging divergence.
- Circle of CompetenceThe highly cyclical nature and exposure to volatile commodity prices in the chemical industry make DOW's unit economics and long-term cash flows genuinely unpredictable beyond a few years.
- Economic MoatThis stage is not applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- ManagementThis stage is not applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- Financial HealthThis stage is not applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- Margin of SafetyThis stage is not applicable as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
DOW, operating in the commodity chemicals sector, is assessed as 'Too Hard' to evaluate within this value investing framework because its business unit economics are inherently unpredictable due to cyclicality and exposure to volatile prices. The inability to reasonably project ten-year cash flows means the company falls outside the required circle of competence. Therefore, further stages regarding economic moat, management, financial health, or margin of safety cannot be reliably judged for investment.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.