as of Oct 26
DVA
GrowthDAVITA INC
DaVita Inc. provides kidney dialysis services for patients suffering from chronic kidney failure in the United States. The company operates kidney dialysis centers and provides related lab services in outpatient dialysis centers. It also offers outpatient, hospital inpatient, and home-based hemodialysis dialysis services; operates clinical laboratories that provide routine laboratory tests for dialysis and other physician-prescribed laboratory tests for ESRD patients; and management and administrative services to outpatient dialysis centers.
Close · 3M
-4.39%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.290% → 0.310% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 5.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $183.64·now $183.64Fresh
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.300% (new)·stock down 0.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 1·entry $176.35·now $183.64Drifting
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
weight 0.050% → 0 (exited)·stock up 5.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 2·entry $233.68·now $183.64
AMOM · Exit · 1d
weight 0.750% → 0 (exited)·stock down 21.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $179.39·now $183.64
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.710% → 0.740% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 25.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $177.27·now $183.64Drifting
AMOM · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.780% → 0.730% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 22.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $179.17·now $183.64
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.780% → 0.740% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 21.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 12·entry $181.50·now $183.64
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.780% → 0.750% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 24.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 11·entry $178.34·now $183.64
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.410% → 0.770% (-0.640 pp)·stock down 21.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $180.67·now $183.64
AMOM · Weight increase · 4d
weight 1.300% → 1.500% (+0.200 pp)·stock up 9.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 29·entry $240.96·now $183.64Fresh
AMOM · Weight increase · 3d
weight 1.300% → 1.450% (+0.150 pp)·stock up 10.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 28·entry $239.46·now $183.64Fresh
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.300% → 1.350% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 10.5% in the 30 days before
Jul 24·entry $235.44·now $183.64Fresh
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.370% → 1.300% (-0.070 pp)·stock up 10.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 22·entry $232.08·now $183.64
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.370% → 1.320% (-0.050 pp)·stock up 14.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 21·entry $237.28·now $183.64
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.250% → 1.350% (+0.100 pp)·stock up 11.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 20·entry $234.10·now $183.64Fresh
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.290% → 1.370% (+0.080 pp)·stock up 13.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 17·entry $236.97·now $183.64Fresh
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.270% → 1.350% (+0.080 pp)·stock up 11.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 16·entry $234.01·now $183.64Fresh
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.250% → 1.310% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 18.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 13·entry $235.58·now $183.64Fresh
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.330% → 1.250% (-0.080 pp)·stock up 19.5% in the 30 days before
Jul 9·entry $229.48·now $183.64
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 35.7% in the 30 days before
Jun 24·entry $213.04·now $183.64Fresh
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
AIEQ is accumulating DaVita, lifting its weight by 0.02pp to 0.31% on 2026-10-23, while QRFT holds only a token 0.04% position. This conflicts with the Fail verdict, since the framework objects to the leverage-inflated ROE and the lack of a clear margin of safety, though the small position sizes suggest the AIs are making a modest, valuation-driven bet rather than a high-conviction one.
- Circle of CompetenceDialysis is a steady, non-discretionary service with predictable patient volumes and recurring treatment revenue, so ten-year cash flows are reasonably modellable despite reimbursement exposure.
- Economic MoatDaVita holds a scale-driven advantage as one of two dominant US dialysis providers with dense clinic networks and nephrologist relationships, though heavy reliance on commercial-insurance mix and Medicare rates limits how unbreachable it is.
- ManagementManagement candour cannot be judged from the data given, though the company has historically bought back shares aggressively, which is a capital-allocation positive but is funded partly with debt.
- Financial HealthThe 181% ROE and 101x price-to-book come from a shrunken equity base after years of leveraged buybacks rather than from underlying earning power, and heavy debt plus thin net margins and capital-intensive clinics make the leverage a fragility that fails the manageable-debt test.
- Margin of SafetyA P/E of 14 and EV/EBITDA of 13.7 are reasonable but do not show a clear discount to a conservative intrinsic value given reimbursement risk and leverage, so a margin of safety is not evident.
DaVita is a predictable business with a real scale-based moat, so it clears the circle of competence and moat stages. Leverage-driven returns on equity and no obvious discount to intrinsic value cause it to fail on financial health and margin of safety, and management quality could not be fully verified from the data.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.