as of Sep 2
DXCM
GrowthDEXCOM INC
DexCom, Inc., a medical device company, focuses on the design, development, and commercialization of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems for the management of diabetes and metabolic health in the United States and internationally. The company offers Dexcom G7 and G7 15 Day, an integrated continuous glucose monitoring system; Dexcom G6, a CGM system; Dexcom ONE+ to replace fingerstick blood glucose testing for diabetes treatment decisions; Stelo, a biosensor designed for adults with prediabetes and Type 2 diabetes who do not use insulin; Dexcom Share, a remote monitoring system; and Dexcom Follow application. It markets its products directly to endocrinologists, physicians, and diabetes educators.
Close · 3M
+45.70%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.790% → 0.730% (-0.060 pp)·stock up 3.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $89.69·now $89.71
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.800% → 0.770% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 18.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $88.96·now $89.71
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.750% → 0.780% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 20.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $89.88·now $89.71Fresh
LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.790% → 0.750% (-0.040 pp)·stock up 15.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 17·entry $88.76·now $89.71
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.730% → 0.760% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 15.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 14·entry $89.75·now $89.71Fresh
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.730% → 0.780% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 25.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $91.48·now $89.71Fresh
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.730% → 0.790% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 22.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 12·entry $90.80·now $89.71Fresh
LQAI · Weight increase · 4d
weight 0 → 0.780% (new)·stock up 17.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 11·entry $89.53·now $89.71Fresh
LQAI · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0 → 0.770% (new)·stock up 16.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 10·entry $87.65·now $89.71Drifting
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0 → 0.740% (new)·stock up 16.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 7·entry $84.75·now $89.71Drifting
LQAI · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.730% (new)·stock up 12.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $83.02·now $89.71Drifting
AIVL · Exit · 1d
weight 0.342% → 0 (exited)·stock up 21.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 31·entry $83.45·now $89.71
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.324% → 0.342% (+0.017 pp)·stock up 7.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 29·entry $75.14·now $89.71Chased
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.324% → 0.337% (+0.013 pp)·stock up 6.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 28·entry $74.85·now $89.71Chased
AIVL · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 0.355% → 0.324% (-0.031 pp)·stock up 2.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 23·entry $70.48·now $89.71
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.355% → 0.329% (-0.026 pp)·stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 22·entry $71.43·now $89.71
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.355% → 0.345% (-0.010 pp)·stock up 3.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 21·entry $74.75·now $89.71
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.355% → 0.348% (-0.007 pp)·stock up 6.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 20·entry $75.69·now $89.71
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
The AI ETFs, specifically AIVL, are showing a recent trend of decreasing their weight in Dexcom. This observed selling activity aligns with the framework's 'Fail' verdict, which primarily stems from concerns regarding a lack of sufficient margin of safety at the current price and incomplete financial health data.
- Circle of CompetenceThe unit economics of continuous glucose monitoring, with recurring sensor sales for a chronic condition, appear sufficiently stable and predictable for reasonable ten-year cash flow projections.
- Economic MoatDexcom benefits from a durable economic moat comprised of strong brand recognition, patient and provider switching costs, and regulatory and patent barriers to entry in the medical device market.
- ManagementThe provided financial data is insufficient to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or their personal stake in the company.
- Financial HealthDespite a strong recent ROE, the absence of 10-year ROE data, operating margins, detailed debt figures, and owner earnings prevents a comprehensive assessment against the framework's financial health criteria.
- Margin of SafetyThe current valuation multiples for Dexcom (PER 28.38, PBR 9.43, EV/EBITDA 22.39) appear high, making it difficult to identify a defensible discount to intrinsic value for a sufficient margin of safety.
Dexcom operates within a predictable circle of competence and possesses a strong economic moat, suggesting a high-quality business. However, the framework's assessment is hindered by insufficient data to evaluate management and key aspects of financial health, leading to a 'Fail' on that stage. Moreover, the current valuation does not present a clear margin of safety, resulting in an overall 'Fail' verdict.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.