AIEQ0.460%
as of Oct 26
EOG
DefensiveEOG RESOURCES
EOG Resources, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, explores for, develops, produces, and markets crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas in producing basins in the United States, the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago, and internationally. The company also offers crude oil and condensate, and gathering, processing and marketing. The company was formerly known as Enron Oil & Gas Company.
Close · 3M
+23.53%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals5
Win rate100% (5/5)
Avg buy return+13.05%
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.410% → 0.430% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 5.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $152.62·now $163.03Drifting
+6.82%
since Oct 15
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.390% → 0.410% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 0.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 9·entry $148.16·now $163.03Chased
+10.04%
since Oct 9
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.050% → 0.400% (+0.350 pp)·stock down 5.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $141.38·now $163.03Chased
+15.31%
since Oct 2
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
weight 0.050% → 0.390% (+0.340 pp)·stock down 4.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 1·entry $141.31·now $163.03
+15.37%
since Oct 1
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock up 15.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 2·entry $145.68·now $163.03Chased
+11.91%
since Aug 2
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
weight 0.210% → 0 (exited)·stock down 1.0% in the 30 days before
May 3·entry $141.61·now $163.03
+15.13%
since May 3
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Too hard to callas of Oct 11
AIEQ has been accumulating EOG, with a large jump on 2026-10-01 followed by further weight increases on 10-02 and 10-09 to 0.41%, and QRFT holds a smaller 0.16% position. A Buffett-style read conflicts with this buying because the framework treats a price-exposed commodity producer as too hard to model, whatever the current multiples look like. The AI's momentum-driven accumulation reflects a different approach from a framework built on predictable ten-year cash flows.
- Circle of CompetenceEOG is a shale producer whose revenue and cash flows swing with spot oil and gas prices that no one can reliably forecast ten years out, which puts it outside the framework's circle of competence for commodity producers fully exposed to market prices.
- Economic MoatNot scored because Stage 1 failed; EOG's premium-well inventory and low-cost operations are real strengths, but they do not set the price of the commodity it sells.
- ManagementNot scored because Stage 1 failed, and the data provided does not show shareholder-letter candor or insider ownership.
- Financial HealthNot scored because Stage 1 failed; the 22.38% ROE and 18.67% revenue growth look strong, but they are a single snapshot and do not show a ten-year record with no weak years or stable margins.
- Margin of SafetyNot scored because Stage 1 failed; a PER of 10.93 and an EV/EBITDA of 11.82 cannot establish a margin of safety when earnings depend on commodity prices.
EOG is a well-run, profitable operator by current numbers, but the framework stops at the circle of competence because its owner earnings depend on oil and gas prices that cannot be reliably projected. The verdict is Too Hard, so the other stages go unscored and the company's apparent cheapness is not treated as a margin of safety. This is an educational reading of the framework, not a statement about the stock's future returns.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.