Last refreshed: July 21, 2026 (US ET)
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EXPE

Growth

EXPEDIA GROUP, INC.

Consumer Discretionary·Hotels, Resorts & Cruise LinesYield: Low (<1%)

Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through B2C, B2B, and trivago segments. The B2C segment includes Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel brand offers various travel products and services; Hotels.com for lodging accommodations; Vrbo, an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations; and Orbitz, Travelocity, ebookers, and Wotif Group.

Close · 3M

+9.75%

EXPE · 3M

+9.75%

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Held by 1 AI ETF

QRFT0.070%

as of Jul 8

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals11
Win rate73% (8/11)
Avg buy return+6.85%
QRFTnow 0.070% of fund1 signal

QRFT · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.070% (new)·stock up 17.7% in the 30 days before

Mar 20·entry $235.18·now $265.08Chased

+12.71%
since Mar 20
LQAIno longer held2 signals

LQAI · Exit · 1d

EXPE's 10.01% revenue growth and 147.58% ROE, alongside its 18.13 P/E and 27.04 P/B ratios, would have initially positioned it as a candidate for LQAI's core large-cap universe, which prioritizes a balance of financial quality and growth. The removal on 2026-06-09 coincided with EXPE's sustained price depreciation, showing a -4.6% return over the prior 30 days and a -12.8% decline over 90 days. Trading at $231.06, which is 77% of its 52-week high, indicates a significant retreat from its peak, a trend the Qraft AI selection engine likely identified as a weakening in its overall ranking criteria. For LQAI, designed as a core large-cap fund midway between broad and concentrated momentum strategies, this recent price action likely outweighed its underlying financial metrics, prompting its exit during the weekly rebalance.

weight 0.270% → 0 (exited)·stock up 0.5% in the 30 days before

Jun 9·entry $231.06·now $265.08

+14.72%
since Jun 9

LQAI · New entry · 1d

The AI ETF likely added EXPE due to its exceptionally high ROE and solid revenue growth, indicating strong operational efficiency and effective capital utilization despite a high PBR. For retail investors, this demonstrates that AI models prioritize robust profitability and growth metrics, suggesting they should investigate the underlying reasons for such strong financial performance beyond traditional valuation ratios.

weight 0 → 0.270% (new)·stock down 7.8% in the 30 days before

May 12·entry $221.48·now $265.08Chased

+19.69%
since May 12
AMOMno longer held13 signals

AMOM · Exit · 1d

The AI ETF likely removed EXPE due to its extremely high Price-to-Book Ratio of 27.04, indicating significant overvaluation despite strong profitability, as the AI prioritizes risk management and value metrics. For retail investors, this underscores the importance of thoroughly scrutinizing valuation metrics like PBR, even for companies with high Return on Equity, to avoid highly-priced assets that quantitative strategies may exit abruptly.

weight 0.930% → 0 (exited)·stock up 9.4% in the 30 days before

May 4·entry $246.50·now $265.08

+7.54%
since May 4

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

The AI ETF likely increased its weight in EXPE due to the company's exceptionally high Return on Equity of 114.29%, signaling robust profitability and efficient capital use that an algorithmic model would prioritize. For retail investors, this highlights that AI often values strong efficiency metrics like ROE to identify financially healthy companies, suggesting they should also look beyond just revenue growth or P/E ratios to understand a company's true performance.

weight 0.910% → 0.950% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 10.6% in the 30 days before

Apr 29·entry $250.57·now $265.08Drifting

+5.79%
since Apr 29

AMOM · Weight decrease · 4d

The AI ETF likely reduced its EXPE weighting due to the stock's extremely high PBR of 27.04, signaling potential overvaluation despite robust profitability and revenue growth. This consecutive decrease suggests the AI is proactively managing risk associated with elevated multiples or anticipating a future moderation in growth that may not sustain such a premium. For retail investors, this emphasizes the need to scrutinize valuation metrics like PBR in conjunction with strong fundamentals. It underscores that sophisticated algorithms assess not just performance, but also the price paid for a company's financial attributes.

weight 1.050% → 0.910% (-0.140 pp)·stock up 5.3% in the 30 days before

Apr 27·entry $245.22·now $265.08

+8.10%
since Apr 27

AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d

The AI likely initiated the consecutive weight decrease for EXPE due to a re-evaluation of its stretched valuation, indicated by an extremely high PBR of 27.04 relative to its moderate 7.61% revenue growth, suggesting the perceived risk outweighs the impressive ROE. This sustained reduction implies the AI detected an increasing risk signal or a shift in market conditions negatively impacting consumer discretionary stocks. For retail investors, this highlights that even highly profitable companies can face swift de-risking by AI if valuation metrics become extreme, underscoring the importance of scrutinizing PBR and aligning it with growth prospects to avoid potential overvaluation traps.

weight 1.050% → 0.940% (-0.110 pp)·stock up 6.4% in the 30 days before

Apr 24·entry $251.44·now $265.08

+5.42%
since Apr 24

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 0.910% → 0.950% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 5.6% in the 30 days before

Apr 23·entry $250.37·now $265.08Drifting

+5.88%
since Apr 23

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 0.920% → 1.010% (+0.090 pp)·stock up 11.8% in the 30 days before

Apr 22·entry $264.60·now $265.08Fresh

+0.18%
since Apr 22

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 0.960% → 1.050% (+0.090 pp)·stock up 16.4% in the 30 days before

Apr 21·entry $273.80·now $265.08Fresh

-3.18%
since Apr 21

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 0.950% → 1.040% (+0.090 pp)·stock up 14.1% in the 30 days before

Apr 20·entry $273.24·now $265.08Fresh

-2.99%
since Apr 20

AMOM · Weight increase · 3d

weight 0.910% → 1.010% (+0.100 pp)·stock up 10.7% in the 30 days before

Apr 17·entry $265.84·now $265.08Fresh

-0.29%
since Apr 17

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.910% → 0.960% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 5.5% in the 30 days before

Apr 16·entry $254.43·now $265.08Drifting

+4.19%
since Apr 16

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.960% → 0.910% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 1.0% in the 30 days before

Apr 10·entry $228.09·now $265.08

+16.22%
since Apr 10

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0 → 0.980% (new)·stock down 8.9% in the 30 days before

Apr 6·entry $229.04·now $265.08Chased

+15.74%
since Apr 6

AMOM · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.970% (new)·stock up 1.6% in the 30 days before

Apr 2·entry $225.30·now $265.08Chased

+17.66%
since Apr 2

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Too hard to callas of May 1

The AI ETF AMOM shows mixed activity for Expedia, with periods of gradual accumulation interspersed with weight decreases, indicating a dynamic or consolidating view. This contrasts with the Buffett-style framework, which finds the business too unpredictable for reliable long-term cash flow projections, suggesting the AI's models may prioritize different metrics or time horizons.

  • Circle of CompetenceThe online travel agency industry, despite its scale, faces structural uncertainty from intense competition, shifting consumer booking behaviors, and the constant need for technology investment, making long-term unit economic predictability challenging.
  • Economic MoatThis stage cannot be assessed as the company fails the circle of competence criterion.
  • ManagementThis stage cannot be assessed as the company fails the circle of competence criterion.
  • Financial HealthThis stage cannot be assessed as the company fails the circle of competence criterion.
  • Margin of SafetyThis stage cannot be assessed as the company fails the circle of competence criterion.

Expedia Group operates in a dynamic online travel market that presents challenges for long-term cash flow predictability within this value investing framework. The competitive pressures and evolving industry structure make it difficult to confidently project unit economics over a ten-year horizon. Consequently, the company is deemed 'Too Hard' to analyze further, indicating it falls outside the circle of competence for this approach.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.