FDX · FEDEX CORP · Top AI ETF

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FedEx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. It operates through Federal Express and FedEx Freight segments. The company offers transportation services, including express, freight, less-than-truckload freight, and time-specific freight-shipping; and small-package ground delivery services.

Close · 3M

-16.41%

Held by 0 AI ETFs

None of the tracked AI ETFs currently hold this name.

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals12

Win rate58% (7/12)

Avg buy return+1.33%

AMOMno longer held29 signals

AMOM · Exit · 1d

weight 1.990% → 0 (exited)·stock up 1.0% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $316.54·now $324.31

+2.45%

since Sep 2

AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 2.050% → 1.970% (-0.080 pp)·stock up 7.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 27·entry $331.41·now $324.31

-2.14%

since Aug 27

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.050% → 2.020% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 7.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $335.99·now $324.31

-3.48%

since Aug 26

AMOM · Weight increase · 3d

weight 1.910% → 1.970% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 1.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $326.04·now $324.31Fresh

-0.53%

since Aug 20

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.910% → 1.960% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 4.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 19·entry $328.38·now $324.31Fresh

-1.24%

since Aug 19

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.980% → 1.910% (-0.070 pp)·stock up 5.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 17·entry $331.49·now $324.31

-2.17%

since Aug 17

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.970% → 1.920% (-0.050 pp)·stock up 4.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 12·entry $326.77·now $324.31

-0.75%

since Aug 12

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.930% → 1.970% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 3.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 10·entry $325.08·now $324.31Fresh

-0.24%

since Aug 10

AMOM · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 2.480% → 1.930% (-0.550 pp)·stock up 2.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 6·entry $315.87·now $324.31

+2.67%

since Aug 6

AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 2.480% → 2.310% (-0.170 pp)·stock down 1.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 3·entry $309.24·now $324.31

+4.87%

since Aug 3

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.480% → 2.320% (-0.160 pp)·stock down 2.1% in the 30 days before

Jul 31·entry $307.40·now $324.31

+5.50%

since Jul 31

AMOM · Weight increase · 3d

weight 2.280% → 2.480% (+0.200 pp)·stock down 5.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 29·entry $308.61·now $324.31Drifting

+5.09%

since Jul 29

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.280% → 2.440% (+0.160 pp)·stock down 1.8% in the 30 days before

Jul 28·entry $312.64·now $324.31Drifting

+3.73%

since Jul 28

AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 2.370% → 2.260% (-0.110 pp)·stock down 3.4% in the 30 days before

Jul 21·entry $315.19·now $324.31

+2.89%

since Jul 21

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.370% → 2.280% (-0.090 pp)·stock down 6.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 20·entry $306.22·now $324.31

+5.91%

since Jul 20

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.200% → 2.370% (+0.170 pp)·stock down 6.1% in the 30 days before

Jul 16·entry $318.20·now $324.31Fresh

+1.92%

since Jul 16

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.190% → 2.250% (+0.060 pp)·stock down 1.7% in the 30 days before

Jul 13·entry $313.74·now $324.31Drifting

+3.37%

since Jul 13

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.280% → 2.190% (-0.090 pp)·stock down 5.9% in the 30 days before

Jul 9·entry $310.84·now $324.31

+4.33%

since Jul 9

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.310% → 2.190% (-0.120 pp)·stock down 4.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 6·entry $309.93·now $324.31

+4.64%

since Jul 6

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

stock down 7.3% in the 30 days before

Jul 1·entry $313.89·now $324.31Drifting

+3.32%

since Jul 1

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 5.6% in the 30 days before

Jun 30·entry $313.13·now $324.31

+3.57%

since Jun 30

AMOM · Weight increase · 4d

stock down 3.9% in the 30 days before

Jun 26·entry $318.53·now $324.31Fresh

+1.81%

since Jun 26

AMOM · Weight increase · 3d

stock down 17.6% in the 30 days before

Jun 25·entry $329.44·now $324.31Fresh

-1.56%

since Jun 25

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 19.6% in the 30 days before

Jun 24·entry $316.83·now $324.31Drifting

+2.36%

since Jun 24

AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d

stock down 15.0% in the 30 days before

Jun 22·entry $328.78·now $324.31

-1.36%

since Jun 22

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 13.0% in the 30 days before

Jun 18·entry $326.20·now $324.31

-0.58%

since Jun 18

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 10.9% in the 30 days before

Jun 15·entry $338.75·now $324.31

-4.26%

since Jun 15

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 12.2% in the 30 days before

Jun 5·entry $331.00·now $324.31Fresh

-2.02%

since Jun 5

AMOM · Sudden change · 1d

stock down 16.4% in the 30 days before

Jun 2·entry $329.00·now $324.31

-1.43%

since Jun 2

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of May 4

The AI ETF AIEQ recently entered a position in FedEx, suggesting a positive outlook or perceived value by the AI. This contrasts with our framework's 'Fail' verdict, which is driven by a lack of sufficient data to confirm financial health and a clear margin of safety based on a conservative intrinsic value estimate.

Circle of CompetenceThe global logistics industry, driven by predictable trends in e-commerce and trade, allows for reasonable projection of FedEx's long-term unit economics and cash flows.
Economic MoatFedEx benefits from a durable economic moat through its vast global network, significant scale-driven cost advantages, and strong brand recognition, creating substantial barriers to entry.
ManagementThe provided data is insufficient to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game.
Financial HealthWhile the current ROE is 15.76%, the provided financial data is insufficient to assess the 10-year average ROE, operating margin stability, debt manageability, and consistent owner earnings, preventing a pass on all financial health criteria.
Margin of SafetyWithout a detailed intrinsic value calculation based on projected cash flows, it is not possible to confirm a defensible margin of safety at the current valuation metrics.

The analysis indicates FedEx operates within the circle of competence and possesses a strong economic moat. However, the provided financial data was insufficient to thoroughly evaluate the company's long-term financial health and management's capital allocation. Crucially, without the necessary information to estimate intrinsic value, a defensible margin of safety could not be established, leading to an overall 'Fail' verdict.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.