AMOM2.320%
as of Jul 17
FDX
DefensiveFEDEX CORP
FedEx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. It operates through Federal Express and FedEx Freight segments. The company offers transportation services, including express, freight, less-than-truckload freight, and time-specific freight-shipping; and small-package ground delivery services.
Close · 3M
-15.20%
Held by 2 AI ETFs
QRFT0.200%
as of Jul 8
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals12
Win rate0% (0/12)
Avg buy return-9.76%
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
FDX, currently priced at $312.98, sits at 78% of its 52-week high after experiencing recent 30-day and 90-day returns of -4.6% and -12.9% respectively, despite a 1-year return of +33.1%. This price setup, where the stock has pulled back after a significant annual gain, likely triggered Qraft's multi-signal momentum composite to detect a potential re-entry point or strengthening of positive signals. The consecutive weight increases on July 15th and 16th to 2.26% and then 2.37% reflect the ETF’s strategy to identify names expected to extend their runs, suggesting its alternative data or earnings revision signals may have converged with price trends. Such position changes, given the concentrated nature of AMOM’s approximately 50 US large caps, indicate conviction, perhaps bolstered by FDX's 15.76% ROE and 4.69% revenue growth, signaling underlying fundamental momentum despite recent share price softness.
weight 2.200% → 2.370% (+0.170 pp)·stock down 6.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 16·entry $318.20·now $306.22Fresh
-3.76%
since Jul 16
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
AMOM, leveraging its multi-signal momentum composite, recently increased its weighting in FDX, reflecting a conviction that the industrial company is positioned to extend its performance. This consecutive allocation adjustment, rising from 2.19% to 2.25% between July 9th and July 13th, indicates Qraft’s models are identifying underlying strength beyond the recent short-term price declines. As a concentrated momentum sleeve with around 50 US large caps, the fund's weekly rebalancing allows it to make such targeted moves based on signals indicating future extensions rather than just past top quintile performance. The current share price of $313.74, trading at 78% of its 52-week high, coupled with a solid 15.76% ROE, suggests the AI’s algorithms are discerning fundamental tailwinds even as the stock has experienced a -5.4% 30-day return.
weight 2.190% → 2.250% (+0.060 pp)·stock down 1.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 13·entry $313.74·now $306.22Fresh
-2.40%
since Jul 13
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
Qraft Technologies' AMOM, with its multi-signal momentum composite designed to identify stocks expected to extend their runs, has been systematically trimming its FedEx position. Operating a concentrated ~50-stock US large-cap portfolio and rebalancing weekly, such a consecutive weight decrease signals a lack of conviction in FDX's continued short-term upward trajectory. The AI's decision likely incorporates the stock's recent price action, particularly its -17.7% 90-day return, indicating weakening momentum that does not align with the fund's selection method of favoring extending runs. Consequently, AMOM is reducing its exposure to FedEx as its AI signals a shift away from positive momentum for the Industrials sector stock.
weight 2.280% → 2.190% (-0.090 pp)·stock down 5.9% in the 30 days before
Jul 9·entry $310.84·now $306.22
-1.49%
since Jul 9
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
The AMOM ETF has adjusted its FDX weighting through a series of stepwise reductions, decreasing the position from 2.31% on July 1st to 2.19% by July 6th, after an earlier dip and rebound. This pattern of sustained, albeit measured, reduction aligns with Qraft Technologies’ multi-signal momentum composite strategy, which is designed to identify names expected to extend their positive runs. Given FDX’s substantial short-term price erosion, with 30-day and 90-day returns of -20.3% and -19.0% respectively, the AI’s price trend and alternative-data signals likely indicated a significant loss of upward momentum. With AMOM’s concentrated momentum sleeve, such precise and persistent changes underscore a firm conviction to disengage from FDX as it trades at 77% of its 52-week high and no longer demonstrates the continuation required by the fund’s weekly rebalancing approach.
weight 2.310% → 2.190% (-0.120 pp)·stock down 4.5% in the 30 days before
Jul 6·entry $309.93·now $306.22
-1.20%
since Jul 6
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
Qraft Technologies' AMOM ETF executed a gradual accumulation in FDX between June 22 and 26, increasing its position from 2.30% to 2.35%. This move occurred while FDX, an Industrials sector component with a 15.76% ROE and 4.69% revenue growth, traded at $313.00—significantly down from its 52-week high and experiencing recent price declines, yet maintaining a 38.5% one-year return. The multi-signal momentum composite likely identified positive fundamental momentum or alternative-data signals that suggested an anticipated extension of its longer-term run, rather than simply reacting to recent price trends. Operating a concentrated momentum sleeve with weekly rebalancing, the fund adjusted its weight in FDX downwards briefly before a quick rebound, reflecting its conviction-based approach to seizing perceived inflection points in the stock's trajectory.
weight 2.300% → 2.310% (+0.010 pp)·stock down 7.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $313.89·now $306.22Fresh
-2.44%
since Jul 1
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
The AMOM ETF's allocation to FDX reveals a detected pattern of consecutive weight decrease on the final two reported dates, with the position moving from 2.33% to 2.20%. This sequence of adjustments reflects Qraft Technologies' methodology, which aims to identify names poised to extend their runs across price trends, earnings revisions, and fundamental momentum. FDX’s recent short-term price action, marked by a 15.3% drop over 30 days and a 19.4% decline over 90 days from its $313.13 current price, clearly disrupted any positive momentum trajectory. Despite a 1-year return of 40.7%, the stock’s current position at 78% of its 52-week high, coupled with a 4.69% revenue growth rate, indicates a lack of the accelerating signals AMOM seeks. This de-emphasis of FDX showcases the concentrated momentum sleeve making a conviction-based shift away from a stock no longer meeting its extension criteria.
weight 2.350% → 2.200% (-0.150 pp)·stock down 5.6% in the 30 days before
Jun 30·entry $313.13·now $306.22
-2.21%
since Jun 30
AMOM · Weight increase · 4d
With FDX reporting a 15.76% ROE and 4.69% revenue growth, alongside a PER of 16.71 and PBR of 1.86, Qraft's AMOM, which uses fundamental momentum as a signal, likely identified a company with solid underlying financial metrics. Despite a significant 30-day price decline of -16.2%, AMOM's multi-signal momentum composite, designed to pick names expected to extend their runs, began consecutively increasing its FDX weight from June 23rd to June 26th. This sequence of increases, occurring while the stock is at $318.53 and 79% of its 52-week high, suggests the fund interprets the short-term price weakness as an entry point, building conviction in FDX's longer-term potential indicated by its 42.0% one-year return, consistent with AMOM's concentrated momentum style.
weight 2.300% → 2.350% (+0.050 pp)·stock down 3.9% in the 30 days before
Jun 26·entry $318.53·now $306.22Fresh
-3.86%
since Jun 26
AMOM · Weight increase · 3d
FDX's financial metrics, including a PER of 16.71, PBR of 1.86, and a 15.76% ROE, combined with 4.69% revenue growth, likely played a role in AMOM's multi-signal momentum composite identifying potential. This profile, indicating a moderately valued company with decent returns on equity, suggests the fund's model detected positive fundamental momentum or earnings revisions. The consecutive weight increases from 2.30% on June 22nd to 2.34% by June 25th occurred while FDX traded near $318.53, following a substantial -16.2% 30-day return, placing it at 79% of its 52-week high. This upward adjustment in allocation, characteristic of AMOM's concentrated momentum style, indicates Qraft's algorithm likely identified signals suggesting FDX is poised to extend a run from this price level, rather than solely reacting to past price trends.
weight 2.300% → 2.340% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 17.6% in the 30 days before
Jun 25·entry $329.44·now $306.22Fresh
-7.05%
since Jun 25
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
FDX’s PER of 16.71, PBR of 1.86, Revenue Growth of 4.69%, and ROE of 15.76% indicate a fundamentally stable company, fitting Qraft Technologies’ multi-signal momentum composite that includes fundamental momentum. The consecutive weight increases in AMOM on June 22, 23, and 24 occurred as FDX traded around $316.83, after a significant 15.8% 30-day price decrease, putting it at 79% of its 52-week high despite a 41.4% one-year gain. The Qraft-managed AMOM, overseeing a concentrated momentum sleeve of ~50 US large caps, appears to have identified this short-term price retreat as a temporary correction. This likely triggered its proprietary signals for FDX, signaling potential for a renewed upward run based on the stock's established long-term price trend and underlying financials, allowing for a swift, conviction-backed adjustment through its weekly rebalancing.
weight 2.300% → 2.330% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 19.6% in the 30 days before
Jun 24·entry $316.83·now $306.22Fresh
-3.35%
since Jun 24
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
Qraft Technologies' AMOM, designed to pick around 50 US large caps expected to extend their runs, has been systematically reducing its exposure to FDX. This multi-signal momentum composite, which rebalances weekly, likely registered a decline in key momentum factors for the stock. Notably, FDX's 30-day return of -13.2% strongly suggests a recent deterioration in the price trend signal, clashing with the fund's objective to identify companies with continuing positive momentum. A consecutive weight decrease within such a concentrated momentum sleeve indicates conviction from the AI that FDX is no longer poised for upward extension, prompting the measured divestment at the current price level.
weight 2.470% → 2.300% (-0.170 pp)·stock down 15.0% in the 30 days before
Jun 22·entry $328.78·now $306.22
-6.86%
since Jun 22
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
Qraft Technologies' AMOM, designed to identify stocks expected to extend their momentum runs rather than mechanically holding top quintiles, has systematically reduced its allocation to FDX. The fund’s multi-signal momentum composite, which rebalances its ~50 US large caps weekly, likely registered a clear weakening in FDX's positive price trends. This is evident as the stock recorded a 30-day return of -13.2% at its current $326.20 price level. Such a significant decline in recent performance would prompt the observed sequence of weight decreases in the ETF’s concentrated momentum sleeve, indicating its models are moving away from FDX extending any prior positive momentum. Even with FDX’s 4.69% revenue growth, other signals in the composite likely pointed to a diminished outlook for continued outperformance.
weight 2.470% → 2.340% (-0.130 pp)·stock down 13.0% in the 30 days before
Jun 18·entry $326.20·now $306.22
-6.13%
since Jun 18
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
FDX currently trades at $338.75, placing it at 84% of its 52-week high, yet it shows recent declines of 5.3% over 30 days and 6.9% over 90 days, contrasting with its 54.1% one-year return. This emerging short-term negative price trend likely triggered AMOM's multi-signal momentum composite, which is designed to pick names expected to extend their runs rather than mechanically holding a top quintile. Consequently, the Qraft Technologies-managed ETF reduced FDX's weight from 2.56% to 2.44% over several rebalances between June 11 and June 15. This specific adjustment reflects the AI's assessment that FDX's momentum, despite fundamentals such as a 15.76% ROE and 4.69% revenue growth, was weakening at these price levels, leading to a decrease in conviction within its concentrated portfolio.
weight 2.560% → 2.440% (-0.120 pp)·stock down 10.9% in the 30 days before
Jun 15·entry $338.75·now $306.22
-9.60%
since Jun 15
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.360% → 2.600% (+0.240 pp)·stock down 12.2% in the 30 days before
Jun 5·entry $331.00·now $306.22Fresh
-7.49%
since Jun 5
AMOM · Sudden change · 1d
FDX exhibits a Price-to-Earnings ratio of 17.44 and a Price-to-Book ratio of 1.86, paired with Revenue Growth of 4.69% and a Return on Equity of 15.76%, figures AMOM's multi-signal composite considers for fundamental momentum within its concentrated momentum sleeve. The ETF significantly reduced its FDX allocation from 1.95% to 1.59% on June 1st, coinciding with a substantial -16.6% 30-day price return that likely signaled a weakening in the short-term price trend AMOM seeks to extend. Just one day later, AMOM sharply increased FDX's weight to 2.42%, suggesting the multi-signal model detected renewed conviction for an extended run, possibly as the stock, at $329.00 and 82% of its 52-week high, presented a fresh momentum opportunity after the brief price correction. This rapid adjustment underscores AMOM's dynamic, weekly rebalancing, where its composite methodology prioritizes names expected to continue their positive movements, making quick, high-conviction pivots characteristic of its style.
weight 1.590% → 2.420% (+0.830 pp)·stock down 16.4% in the 30 days before
Jun 2·entry $329.00·now $306.22
-6.92%
since Jun 2
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
Qraft Technologies' AMOM, designed to pick names expected to extend their runs using a multi-signal momentum composite, significantly reduced its FDX weighting. This adjustment, culminating in the 1.59% allocation on June 1st, reflects a determined shift within its concentrated momentum sleeve, a process often triggered during its weekly rebalancing cycle for its ~50 US large cap holdings. The fund's methodology likely registered the stock's recent price weakness, exemplified by FDX's 30-day return of -14.0%. Such a substantial short-term reversal would indicate to the algorithm that FDX no longer meets the criteria for continued positive momentum, leading to its systematic de-weighting from the portfolio.
weight 1.970% → 1.590% (-0.380 pp)·stock down 16.1% in the 30 days before
Jun 1·entry $338.49·now $306.22
-9.53%
since Jun 1
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
Qraft Technologies' AMOM fund, which identifies US large caps expected to extend their runs rather than merely holding top performers, has gradually reduced its conviction in FDX. The AI-driven multi-signal momentum composite likely perceived diminishing prospects for further run extension from current levels, despite FDX's strong 1-year return of +79.4%. Currently trading at $411.75, which is 100% of its 52-week high, the stock's upward momentum may be viewed as nearing a plateau by the model. This consecutive weight decrease across recent weekly rebalances reflects a calculated shift within AMOM’s concentrated momentum sleeve. The fund is likely reallocating to other opportunities more likely to sustain new upward trajectories within its approximately 50-stock portfolio.
weight 1.970% → 1.950% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 14.6% in the 30 days before
May 29·entry $331.79·now $306.22
-7.71%
since May 29
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
FDX is presently trading at $386.84, close to its 52-week high of $403.31, following a substantial +80.4% return over the past year and +24.0% over the last 90 days. Qraft Technologies' AMOM, which prioritizes names expected to extend their runs rather than mechanically holding top quintile performers, likely detected continuation signals for FDX within its multi-signal momentum composite. This AI-managed fund, known for its concentrated momentum sleeve and conviction-based rebalances, responded by gradually increasing its allocation to FDX from 1.83% to 1.92% between May 11 and May 20. Despite the stock trading at 96% of its 52-week high, the system's integration of FDX's price trends, its 4.69% revenue growth, 15.76% ROE, and alternative data signals suggested sustained positive momentum, informing this specific portfolio adjustment.
weight 1.830% → 1.920% (+0.090 pp)·stock down 2.0% in the 30 days before
May 20·entry $386.84·now $306.22Fresh
-20.84%
since May 20
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
Qraft Technologies' AMOM ETF, which utilizes a multi-signal momentum composite to select approximately 50 US large caps expected to extend their runs, has clearly identified FDX as a candidate for continued positive performance. The fund’s concentrated momentum sleeve dictates that position changes, such as the consecutive increases from 1.7900% on May 13th to 1.8600% on May 15th, signal conviction by design. This move likely reflects FDX's sustained upward trajectory, supported by its 90-day return of +22.3%, indicating significant upward price momentum fitting the fund's strategy. Furthermore, FDX’s current price of $375.78, placing it at 93% of its 52-week high, could suggest a confluence of price trends and other fundamental signals driving the recent weight adjustments.
weight 1.790% → 1.860% (+0.070 pp)·stock down 1.3% in the 30 days before
May 15·entry $375.78·now $306.22Fresh
-18.51%
since May 15
-19.18%
since May 11
-18.54%
since May 7
-14.42%
since May 4
-14.42%
since May 4
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
FedEx's financial summary, including a PER of 21.91, PBR of 1.86, 15.76% ROE, and 4.69% revenue growth, represents fundamental data points IBM Watson NLP continually assesses for AIEQ's broad market selection. As a fund with daily rebalancing and high turnover, AIEQ's EquBot manager adjusts holdings based on IBM Watson's daily rankings, which integrate both fundamental metrics and sentiment derived from diverse textual sources. The decision to completely remove FDX on 2026-05-30, following a slight weight increase to 0.1300% just two days prior, coincided with the stock trading at $411.75, precisely 100% of its 52-week high after a significant 79.4% one-year return. This rapid ascension to its peak price likely triggered a signal within EquBot's risk overlay, prioritizing a sentiment or valuation adjustment over the underlying fundamental signals, leading to the immediate exit from the portfolio.
weight 0.130% → 0 (exited)·stock down 14.6% in the 30 days before
May 30·entry $338.49·now $306.22
-9.53%
since May 30
-14.42%
since May 3
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of May 4
The AI ETF AIEQ recently entered a position in FedEx, suggesting a positive outlook or perceived value by the AI. This contrasts with our framework's 'Fail' verdict, which is driven by a lack of sufficient data to confirm financial health and a clear margin of safety based on a conservative intrinsic value estimate.
- Circle of CompetenceThe global logistics industry, driven by predictable trends in e-commerce and trade, allows for reasonable projection of FedEx's long-term unit economics and cash flows.
- Economic MoatFedEx benefits from a durable economic moat through its vast global network, significant scale-driven cost advantages, and strong brand recognition, creating substantial barriers to entry.
- ManagementThe provided data is insufficient to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game.
- Financial HealthWhile the current ROE is 15.76%, the provided financial data is insufficient to assess the 10-year average ROE, operating margin stability, debt manageability, and consistent owner earnings, preventing a pass on all financial health criteria.
- Margin of SafetyWithout a detailed intrinsic value calculation based on projected cash flows, it is not possible to confirm a defensible margin of safety at the current valuation metrics.
The analysis indicates FedEx operates within the circle of competence and possesses a strong economic moat. However, the provided financial data was insufficient to thoroughly evaluate the company's long-term financial health and management's capital allocation. Crucially, without the necessary information to estimate intrinsic value, a defensible margin of safety could not be established, leading to an overall 'Fail' verdict.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.