as of Sep 3
FTV
DefensiveFORTIVE CORP
Fortive Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and markets products, software, and services in the United States, China, and internationally. It operates through Intelligent Operating Solutions and Advanced Healthcare Solutions segments. The Intelligent Operating Solutions segment provides advanced instrumentation, software, and services, including maintenance, repair, measurement and condition monitoring, facility and asset lifecycle software applications, and connected worker safety and compliance solutions for manufacturing, process industries, healthcare, utilities and power, communications and electronics, and other industries.
Close · 3M
-5.76%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 2.721% → 2.610% (-0.111 pp)·stock down 6.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $56.60·now $57.57
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.721% → 2.690% (-0.031 pp)·stock down 0.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 31·entry $58.84·now $57.57
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.721% → 2.705% (-0.016 pp)·stock up 2.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $59.69·now $57.57
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 2.663% → 2.747% (+0.084 pp)·stock down 3.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $60.46·now $57.57Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.663% → 2.731% (+0.069 pp)·stock down 0.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $60.08·now $57.57Fresh
AIVL · Weight decrease · 6d
weight 2.797% → 2.663% (-0.135 pp)·stock down 2.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $58.90·now $57.57
AIVL · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 2.797% → 2.691% (-0.106 pp)·stock down 2.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 18·entry $59.45·now $57.57
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 2.797% → 2.739% (-0.058 pp)·stock down 1.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 17·entry $60.64·now $57.57
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.797% → 2.757% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 1.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 14·entry $61.62·now $57.57
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.797% → 2.775% (-0.022 pp)·stock up 2.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $61.81·now $57.57
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.539% → 2.783% (+0.244 pp)·stock up 1.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 12·entry $61.54·now $57.57Fresh
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.704% → 2.797% (+0.093 pp)·stock down 1.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 11·entry $61.68·now $57.57Fresh
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.669% → 2.795% (+0.126 pp)·stock down 0.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 10·entry $61.75·now $57.57Fresh
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.616% → 2.787% (+0.171 pp)·stock up 0.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 7·entry $61.71·now $57.57Fresh
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.604% → 2.766% (+0.162 pp)·stock down 0.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $60.87·now $57.57Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 2.604% → 2.704% (+0.100 pp)·stock up 4.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 28·entry $64.09·now $57.57Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.604% → 2.669% (+0.064 pp)·stock up 3.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 24·entry $62.31·now $57.57Fresh
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 2.667% → 2.604% (-0.063 pp)·stock down 2.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 22·entry $60.25·now $57.57
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.667% → 2.626% (-0.041 pp)·stock down 0.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 21·entry $60.67·now $57.57
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.667% → 2.631% (-0.036 pp)·stock up 0.5% in the 30 days before
Jul 20·entry $60.99·now $57.57
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
The AI ETF AIVL is actively increasing its weight in Fortive, suggesting a bullish outlook for the company. This accumulating trend contrasts sharply with the framework's 'Fail' verdict, which identifies significant concerns regarding financial health and a lack of a margin of safety at current valuation multiples. The AI's decision likely stems from different quantitative factors or short-term catalysts not captured by this long-term value investing analysis.
- Circle of CompetenceFortive's portfolio of industrial technology and instrument businesses serves critical functions, suggesting unit economics stable enough for reasonable ten-year cash flow projections despite recent revenue fluctuations.
- Economic MoatFortive's specialized industrial technology and instrument segments likely benefit from high customer switching costs, strong brand reputation in critical applications, and proprietary technology, forming a durable economic moat.
- ManagementThe provided data does not offer sufficient information to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or alignment of interests with shareholders.
- Financial HealthThe current Return on Equity (ROE) of 6.9% falls significantly below the required 10-year average of 15% with no single year below 10%, indicating a failure in financial health according to the framework.
- Margin of SafetyWith a high Price/Earnings ratio of 32.96 and an Enterprise Value/EBITDA of 22.41, coupled with a low Return on Equity of 6.9% and negative revenue growth, the current price does not offer a defensible margin of safety.
Fortive Corporation's analysis under a value investing framework results in a 'Fail' verdict, primarily driven by its current weak financial health metrics and the absence of a margin of safety at its present valuation. While the company appears to operate within the analyst's circle of competence and possesses identifiable economic moats, its low Return on Equity and high valuation multiples pose significant challenges. The lack of comprehensive management data also prevents a full assessment of leadership quality and capital allocation.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.