AIVL2.126%
as of Oct 23
FTV
DefensiveFORTIVE CORP
Fortive Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and markets products, software, and services in the United States, China, and internationally. It operates through Intelligent Operating Solutions and Advanced Healthcare Solutions segments. The Intelligent Operating Solutions segment provides advanced instrumentation, software, and services, including maintenance, repair, measurement and condition monitoring, facility and asset lifecycle software applications, and connected worker safety and compliance solutions for manufacturing, process industries, healthcare, utilities and power, communications and electronics, and other industries.
Close · 3M
-0.05%
Held by 2 AI ETFs
AIEQ0.060%
as of Oct 26
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals14
Win rate43% (6/14)
Avg buy return+0.61%
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.057% → 2.126% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 8.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $60.25·now $60.25Fresh
0.00%
since Oct 23
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 2.053% → 2.107% (+0.054 pp)·stock up 6.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $60.05·now $60.25Fresh
+0.33%
since Oct 22
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.053% → 2.067% (+0.015 pp)·stock up 4.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $58.64·now $60.25Drifting
+2.75%
since Oct 21
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.099% → 2.044% (-0.055 pp)·stock up 1.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $56.42·now $60.25
+6.79%
since Oct 8
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.676% → 2.094% (-0.582 pp)·stock down 0.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 5·entry $57.38·now $60.25
+5.00%
since Oct 5
AIVL · Sudden change · 1d
weight 2.676% → 2.112% (-0.564 pp)·stock up 1.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $57.47·now $60.25
+4.84%
since Oct 2
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.664% → 2.633% (-0.031 pp)·stock down 6.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 30·entry $54.81·now $60.25
+9.93%
since Sep 30
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.664% → 2.649% (-0.015 pp)·stock down 7.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 29·entry $55.41·now $60.25
+8.73%
since Sep 29
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.586% → 2.655% (+0.069 pp)·stock down 6.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 23·entry $56.26·now $60.25Drifting
+7.09%
since Sep 23
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.648% → 2.588% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 7.4% in the 30 days before
Sep 17·entry $55.07·now $60.25
+9.41%
since Sep 17
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.552% → 2.648% (+0.096 pp)·stock down 8.4% in the 30 days before
Sep 15·entry $56.45·now $60.25Drifting
+6.73%
since Sep 15
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.614% → 2.553% (-0.061 pp)·stock down 11.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 11·entry $54.69·now $60.25
+10.17%
since Sep 11
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.614% → 2.558% (-0.056 pp)·stock down 11.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 10·entry $54.51·now $60.25
+10.53%
since Sep 10
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 2.721% → 2.610% (-0.111 pp)·stock down 6.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $56.60·now $60.25
+6.45%
since Sep 2
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.721% → 2.690% (-0.031 pp)·stock down 0.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 31·entry $58.84·now $60.25
+2.40%
since Aug 31
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.721% → 2.705% (-0.016 pp)·stock up 2.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $59.69·now $60.25
+0.94%
since Aug 28
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 2.663% → 2.747% (+0.084 pp)·stock down 3.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $60.46·now $60.25Fresh
-0.35%
since Aug 24
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.663% → 2.731% (+0.069 pp)·stock down 0.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $60.08·now $60.25Fresh
+0.28%
since Aug 21
AIVL · Weight decrease · 6d
weight 2.797% → 2.663% (-0.135 pp)·stock down 2.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $58.90·now $60.25
+2.29%
since Aug 19
+1.35%
since Aug 18
-0.64%
since Aug 17
-2.22%
since Aug 14
-2.52%
since Aug 13
-2.10%
since Aug 12
-2.32%
since Aug 11
-2.43%
since Aug 10
-2.37%
since Aug 7
-1.02%
since Aug 6
-5.99%
since Jul 28
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Oct 25
AIVL has been accumulating Fortive for three straight sessions, taking it to about 2.13% of the fund, while AIEQ and QRFT hold only token positions of 0.06% and 0.05%. That buying conflicts with this Buffett-style Fail verdict, since the valuation is rich and the returns on equity are weak. AIVL may be looking through the revenue drop to a cleaner post-spin business, but the numbers shown do not support that view.
- Circle of CompetenceFortive sells instruments, software and workflow tools with recurring revenue and a long record of stable unit economics, so ten-year cash flows can be reasonably projected despite a recent portfolio reshaping.
- Economic MoatInstalled bases in test and measurement, facilities safety and industrial software create switching costs and brand strength that likely persist, though the moat is narrower than those of top-tier compounders.
- ManagementManagement's candor and skin in the game cannot be judged from the data provided, though the large spin-offs and portfolio changes suggest active capital allocation that merits closer review.
- Financial HealthROE of 8.52% is well below the 15% hurdle, and a 29.8% revenue decline (likely distorted by divestitures or spin-offs) makes owner earnings and margin stability hard to verify.
- Margin of SafetyA P/E of 34 and EV/EBITDA of 22 leave no margin of safety for a business earning single-digit returns on equity.
Fortive is an understandable business with a reasonable moat, but its low ROE and demanding multiples fail the financial health and margin of safety tests. Management quality is unclear from the data. The framework would want a much lower price or clear evidence of higher returns on capital before taking a closer look.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.