AIEQ0.050%
as of Sep 4
GD
DefensiveGENERAL DYNAMICS
General Dynamics Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Aerospace, Marine Systems, Combat Systems, and Technologies. The Aerospace segment produces and sells business jets; and offers aircraft maintenance and repair, management, aircraft-on-ground support, customer support and custom completion services, modifications, upgrades, and lifecycle sustainment support services.
Close · 3M
+16.81%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals8
Win rate75% (6/8)
Avg buy return+2.71%
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock up 5.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 2·entry $382.43·now $365.87Fresh
-4.33%
since Aug 2
AIVL · Exit · 1d
weight 0.231% → 0 (exited)·stock up 10.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 2·entry $373.54·now $365.87
-2.05%
since Jul 2
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.218% → 0.231% (+0.013 pp)·stock up 7.0% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $362.86·now $365.87Fresh
+0.83%
since Jul 1
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.218% → 0.224% (+0.006 pp)·stock up 2.1% in the 30 days before
Jun 30·entry $354.24·now $365.87Drifting
+3.28%
since Jun 30
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.226% → 0.218% (-0.008 pp)·stock up 0.0% in the 30 days before
Jun 25·entry $344.70·now $365.87
+6.14%
since Jun 25
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.232% → 0.219% (-0.014 pp)·stock up 1.1% in the 30 days before
Jun 22·entry $343.36·now $365.87
+6.56%
since Jun 22
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.221% → 0.230% (+0.009 pp)·stock down 0.2% in the 30 days before
Jun 5·entry $346.44·now $365.87Drifting
+5.61%
since Jun 5
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.227% → 0.221% (-0.006 pp)·stock down 3.4% in the 30 days before
Jun 3·entry $337.04·now $365.87
+8.55%
since Jun 3
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.233% → 0.229% (-0.005 pp)·stock up 2.6% in the 30 days before
May 11·entry $344.03·now $365.87
+6.35%
since May 11
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.236% → 0.231% (-0.005 pp)·stock down 0.3% in the 30 days before
May 6·entry $347.27·now $365.87
+5.36%
since May 6
AIVL · Accumulation · 4d
weight 0.212% → 0.236% (+0.024 pp)·stock down 0.0% in the 30 days before
May 4·entry $349.08·now $365.87Drifting
+4.81%
since May 4
AIVL · Accumulation · 3d
weight 0.212% → 0.233% (+0.021 pp)·stock down 1.3% in the 30 days before
May 1·entry $345.84·now $365.87Drifting
+5.79%
since May 1
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.211% → 0.232% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 0.6% in the 30 days before
Apr 29·entry $338.73·now $365.87Drifting
+8.01%
since Apr 29
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Aug 2
The AI ETFs are acquiring or holding General Dynamics, suggesting a positive outlook. This contrasts with the framework's 'Fail' verdict, primarily driven by concerns about financial stability evidenced by a significant revenue decline and a lack of sufficient historical financial data for a complete assessment.
- Circle of CompetenceThe long-term nature of government contracts and the stable demand for defense and aerospace products allow for reasonable projections of ten-year cash flows.
- Economic MoatGeneral Dynamics benefits from high switching costs, regulatory barriers, and specialized expertise in critical defense and aerospace systems, creating a durable economic moat.
- ManagementThe provided data does not offer sufficient insight into management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or ownership structure.
- Financial HealthThe significant year-over-year revenue decline of -16.88% raises concerns about stable financial performance, and insufficient multi-year data prevents a thorough assessment of key financial health criteria.
- Margin of SafetyWithout projected owner earnings or a clear intrinsic value estimate, it is not possible to determine if the current price offers a defensible margin of safety.
General Dynamics successfully passes the Circle of Competence and Economic Moat stages due to its predictable industry and durable competitive advantages. However, the company fails the Financial Health stage, primarily due to a significant year-over-year revenue decline and insufficient historical data for a comprehensive assessment of owner earnings and multi-year ROE. The framework cannot fully assess management or margin of safety with the given information, leading to an overall 'Fail' verdict.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.