AIEQ2.660%
as of Oct 26
GOOG
GrowthAlphabet Inc.
Alphabet Inc. offers various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments. The Google Services segment provides products and services, including ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Gmail, Google Drive, Google Maps, Google Photos, Google Play, Search, and YouTube.
Close · 3M
-13.57%
Held by 2 AI ETFs
PQUS2.160%
as of Oct 23
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals7
Win rate0% (0/7)
Avg buy return-7.80%
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.810% → 2.660% (-0.150 pp)·stock down 6.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $317.28·now $317.28
0.00%
since Oct 23
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.810% → 2.720% (-0.090 pp)·stock down 4.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $320.76·now $317.28
-1.08%
since Oct 22
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.840% → 2.780% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 2.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 18·entry $340.16·now $317.28
-6.73%
since Oct 18
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.840% → 2.820% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 2.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $336.91·now $317.28
-5.83%
since Oct 16
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 3.000% → 2.760% (-0.240 pp)·stock up 2.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $340.35·now $317.28
-6.78%
since Oct 2
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.940% → 2.990% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 0.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 27·entry $339.16·now $317.28Fresh
-6.45%
since Sep 27
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 3.060% → 2.940% (-0.120 pp)·stock down 1.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 24·entry $339.01·now $317.28
-6.41%
since Sep 24
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 3.000% → 3.030% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 0.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 20·entry $350.87·now $317.28Fresh
-9.57%
since Sep 20
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 3.030% → 3.000% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 0.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 17·entry $343.68·now $317.28
-7.68%
since Sep 17
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.880% → 2.930% (+0.050 pp)·stock down 2.0% in the 30 days before
Sep 13·entry $345.71·now $317.28Fresh
-8.22%
since Sep 13
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
weight 2.150% → 2.890% (+0.740 pp)·stock down 10.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $332.03·now $317.28
-4.44%
since Sep 1
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.170% → 2.120% (-0.050 pp)·stock up 2.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $342.88·now $317.28
-7.47%
since Aug 28
-6.05%
since Aug 27
-10.84%
since Aug 8
-14.82%
since Aug 2
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 5.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 30·entry $333.68·now $317.28Fresh
-4.91%
since Jul 30
PQUS · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 2.310% → 2.160% (-0.150 pp)·stock down 6.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $317.28·now $317.28
0.00%
since Oct 23
PQUS · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 2.310% → 2.170% (-0.140 pp)·stock down 4.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $320.76·now $317.28
-1.08%
since Oct 22
PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.310% → 2.210% (-0.100 pp)·stock down 4.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $330.95·now $317.28
-4.13%
since Oct 21
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.310% → 2.260% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 4.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $336.40·now $317.28
-5.68%
since Oct 20
PQUS · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.270% → 2.330% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 1.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $349.52·now $317.28Fresh
-9.22%
since Oct 13
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.300% → 2.320% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 4.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $348.97·now $317.28Fresh
-9.08%
since Oct 12
PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.500% → 2.430% (-0.070 pp)·stock up 2.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 29·entry $335.41·now $317.28
-5.41%
since Aug 29
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.500% → 2.460% (-0.040 pp)·stock up 2.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $342.88·now $317.28
-7.47%
since Aug 28
-7.16%
since Aug 21
-10.84%
since Aug 8
-14.82%
since Aug 1
-2.84%
since Jul 25
-0.57%
since Jul 24
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Oct 18
AIEQ has been trimming its position over recent sessions (down to 2.78%), which leans toward the price-based caution in this verdict, while PQUS has been gradually accumulating (up to 2.33%), which conflicts with it. The moves are small, so both ETFs are essentially holding a core position and neither is making a strong valuation call.
- Circle of CompetenceSearch advertising, YouTube, and cloud have produced stable, high-margin cash flows for over a decade, so the core earning power is projectable even though AI is shifting the landscape.
- Economic MoatDominant search share, Android and Chrome distribution, YouTube's scale, and network effects in data and advertising give a durable advantage, though generative AI is a real challenge to the search moat over ten years.
- ManagementCapital allocation is mixed, with large buybacks and a new dividend but also heavy AI capex and speculative Other Bets, and the dual-class structure leaves outside shareholders with limited influence, so candour and skin in the game cannot be fully judged from the data provided.
- Financial HealthA 50.84% ROE, 20% revenue growth, and a net-cash balance sheet are strong, but the surge in AI capex lowers owner earnings relative to reported earnings and the 81x EV/EBITDA figure looks inconsistent with a 17.55 PER and should be verified.
- Margin of SafetyAt a $4.3 trillion market cap and 9.1x book, the price already assumes sustained AI-driven growth, leaving little margin of safety against a conservative intrinsic value estimate.
Alphabet passes the circle of competence and moat tests and has excellent returns on capital, but a thin margin of safety at a $4.3 trillion valuation, plus heavy AI capex and a governance structure that cannot be fully assessed, lead to a Fail on price. This is a wonderful business whose current price leaves little room for error; a lower entry point would change the read.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.