LQAI0.620%
as of Sep 3
GRMN
GrowthGARMIN LTD
Garmin Ltd. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes a diverse range of GPS-enabled products and navigation, communications, sensor-based, and information products and services worldwide. It offers running; cycling products; smartwatch devices; scales and monitors; and sports timing and performance analysis; Garmin Connect and Garmin Connect Mobile, which are web and mobile platforms where users can track and analyze their fitness, activities and workouts, and wellness data; and Connect IQ, which enables third parties to create applications that run on Garmin devices. It also provides adventure watches; outdoor handhelds and satellite communicators; golf devices; consumer automotive; dog devices; InReach and Gramin response; and dive devices.
Close · 3M
+7.66%
Held by 2 AI ETFs
PQUS0.030%
as of Sep 1
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals9
Win rate44% (4/9)
Avg buy return+2.45%
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.650% → 0.630% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 23.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 14·entry $310.20·now $277.03
-10.69%
since Aug 14
LQAI · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0 → 0.660% (new)·stock up 28.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 10·entry $313.16·now $277.03Fresh
-11.54%
since Aug 10
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0 → 0.650% (new)·stock up 27.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 7·entry $310.89·now $277.03Fresh
-10.89%
since Aug 7
LQAI · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.640% (new)·stock up 24.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $301.87·now $277.03Fresh
-8.23%
since Aug 6
PQUS · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.030% (new)·stock up 22.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $294.85·now $277.03Fresh
-6.04%
since Aug 21
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
weight 0.640% → 0 (exited)·stock up 23.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 2·entry $304.76·now $277.03
-9.10%
since Aug 2
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.530% → 0.640% (+0.110 pp)·stock up 25.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 30·entry $297.55·now $277.03Fresh
-6.90%
since Jul 30
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.540% → 0.510% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 1.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 22·entry $240.51·now $277.03
+15.18%
since Jul 22
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.510% → 0.540% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 6.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 19·entry $244.79·now $277.03Chased
+13.17%
since Jul 19
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.230% → 0.510% (-3.720 pp)·stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $237.64·now $277.03
+16.58%
since Jul 1
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.360% → 4.230% (-0.130 pp)·stock down 2.3% in the 30 days before
Jun 28·entry $233.76·now $277.03
+18.51%
since Jun 28
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 4.180% → 4.360% (+0.180 pp)·stock down 1.3% in the 30 days before
Jun 25·entry $235.41·now $277.03Chased
+17.68%
since Jun 25
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.260% → 4.180% (-0.080 pp)·stock up 2.2% in the 30 days before
Jun 17·entry $231.89·now $277.03
+19.47%
since Jun 17
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 4.210% → 4.290% (+0.080 pp)·stock down 2.6% in the 30 days before
Jun 7·entry $235.23·now $277.03Chased
+17.77%
since Jun 7
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 4.050% (new)·stock down 7.6% in the 30 days before
May 30·entry $236.80·now $277.03Chased
+16.99%
since May 30
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Jul 19
The AI ETFs AIEQ and QRFT are currently holding Garmin, with AIEQ showing a recent trend of increasing its weight in the stock. This activity suggests the AI models perceive value or positive momentum in Garmin, which stands in contrast to this framework's 'Fail' verdict due to valuation concerns and unconfirmed financial health.
- Circle of CompetenceGarmin's diversified portfolio across aviation, marine, auto, fitness, and outdoor segments, with specialized products, allows for reasonably predictable unit economics over a ten-year horizon.
- Economic MoatGarmin possesses a durable moat primarily through strong brand power, high switching costs in its professional aviation and marine segments, and technological leadership in its specialized niches.
- ManagementThe provided data does not offer sufficient information to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game.
- Financial HealthCrucial data regarding 10-year average ROE consistency, operating margins, debt manageability, and owner earnings is not available to fully assess financial health, which materially undermines the investment thesis.
- Margin of SafetyThe current valuation multiples, including a PER of 27.72 and EV/EBITDA of 31.58, suggest the market may be pricing in significant future growth, making it difficult to identify a defensible margin of safety.
Garmin demonstrates a robust business within a predictable circle of competence, protected by a strong economic moat in its specialized markets. However, the available data does not allow for a full assessment of its financial health or management's capital allocation, and the current valuation multiples indicate a lack of sufficient margin of safety. Consequently, the company receives a 'Fail' verdict under this framework.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.