HCA · HCA HEALTHCARE INC

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HCA Healthcare, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides health care services in the United States. The company owns, manages, and operates hospitals, ASCs, freestanding emergency care facilities, urgent care facilities, walk-in clinics, diagnostic and imaging centers, radiation and oncology therapy centers, as well as rehabilitation and physical therapy centers, physician practices, home health agencies, hospices, outpatient physical therapy providers, home and community-based services providers, and various other facilities. Its general and acute care hospitals offer medical and surgical services, including inpatient care, intensive care, cardiac care, diagnostic services, and emergency services; and outpatient services, such as outpatient surgery, laboratory, radiology, respiratory therapy, cardiology, and physical therapy.

Close · 3M

-13.68%

Held by 0 AI ETFs

None of the tracked AI ETFs currently hold this name.

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals7

Win rate71% (5/7)

Avg buy return+2.78%

AIEQno longer held12 signals

AIEQ · Exit · 1d

weight 2.320% → 0 (exited)·stock up 1.7% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $413.58·now $409.20

-1.06%

since Sep 1

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 2.390% → 2.320% (-0.070 pp)·stock up 5.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 30·entry $414.45·now $409.20

-1.27%

since Aug 30

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.390% → 2.330% (-0.060 pp)·stock up 5.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $417.82·now $409.20

-2.06%

since Aug 28

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.270% → 2.390% (+0.120 pp)·stock up 15.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 23·entry $429.24·now $409.20Fresh

-4.67%

since Aug 23

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.210% → 2.290% (+0.080 pp)·stock up 9.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 19·entry $407.05·now $409.20Fresh

+0.53%

since Aug 19

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.300% → 2.270% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 6.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 12·entry $414.59·now $409.20

-1.30%

since Aug 12

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.230% → 2.300% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 0.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 8·entry $414.03·now $409.20Fresh

-1.17%

since Aug 8

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 2.240% (new)·stock up 3.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 2·entry $406.61·now $409.20Fresh

+0.64%

since Aug 2

AIEQ · Exit · 1d

weight 0.930% → 0 (exited)·stock up 6.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 1·entry $393.24·now $409.20

+4.06%

since Jul 1

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.860% → 0.910% (+0.050 pp)·stock down 11.9% in the 30 days before

Jun 11·entry $378.51·now $409.20Drifting

+8.11%

since Jun 11

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.880% (new)·stock down 12.9% in the 30 days before

May 30·entry $370.96·now $409.20Chased

+10.31%

since May 30

AIEQ · Exit · 1d

weight 0.420% → 0 (exited)·stock down 8.8% in the 30 days before

May 3·entry $427.18·now $409.20

-4.21%

since May 3

PQUSno longer held3 signals

PQUS · Exit · 1d

weight 0.040% → 0 (exited)·stock up 8.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 10·entry $406.59·now $409.20

+0.64%

since Jul 10

PQUS · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.030% (new)·stock down 9.4% in the 30 days before

Jun 12·entry $387.18·now $409.20Drifting

+5.69%

since Jun 12

PQUS · Exit · 1d

weight 0.030% → 0 (exited)·stock down 12.4% in the 30 days before

May 16·entry $422.79·now $409.20

-3.21%

since May 16

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of Aug 30

The AI ETF AIEQ currently holds HCA Healthcare, but recent activity shows a trend of decreasing its weight in the company. This cautious stance by the AI ETFs, particularly the recent selling trend, aligns with the framework's 'Fail' verdict, which highlights significant data gaps in assessing the company's financial health and valuation.

Circle of CompetenceHCA Healthcare's large-scale operation within the essential healthcare facilities sector provides sufficient stability and predictability of earning power, despite regulatory complexities, to allow for reasonable ten-year cash flow projections.
Economic MoatHCA benefits from a durable economic moat through its significant scale, high capital barriers to entry for new facilities, and established regional service networks, which create substantial competitive advantages.
ManagementInformation regarding management's candor, capital allocation track record, and alignment of interests (skin in the game) is not provided in the available data.
Financial HealthThe provided financial data is insufficient to assess multi-year ROE trends, operating margin stability, debt manageability, or owner earnings, making it impossible to confirm robust financial health as required by the framework.
Margin of SafetyWithout a conservative estimate of intrinsic value, which requires detailed financial projections and owner earnings analysis, it is not possible to determine if the current market price offers a sufficient margin of safety.

While HCA Healthcare operates within the framework's circle of competence and possesses a durable economic moat, a definitive judgment on its investment merit is not possible. Insufficient financial data prevents the assessment of critical financial health metrics and the existence of a margin of safety, resulting in a 'Fail' verdict.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.