as of Jul 21
HII
DefensiveHUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIES INC.
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. designs, builds, overhauls, and repairs military ships in the United States. It operates through three segments: Ingalls, Newport News, and Mission Technologies. The company is involved in the design and construction of non-nuclear ships comprising amphibious assault ships, surface combatants, and national security cutters for the U.S.
Close · 3M
-37.14%
Held by 2 AI ETFs
as of Jul 8
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
PQUS · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.020% (new)·stock down 11.2% in the 30 days before
Jun 26·entry $281.99·now $270.04Fresh
QRFT · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.040% (new)·stock down 7.9% in the 30 days before
Mar 20·entry $407.98·now $270.04Fresh
AMOM · Exit · 1d
The AI ETF likely divested from HII because its quantitative models flagged the stock as potentially overvalued, given its PER of 21.22 relative to its 8.23% revenue growth and 12.28% ROE, leading to a complete exit. For retail investors, this action emphasizes the importance of understanding your own valuation thresholds and not blindly following AI decisions, instead using such signals as a prompt for independent due diligence.
weight 0.650% → 0 (exited)·stock down 8.4% in the 30 days before
May 4·entry $363.37·now $270.04
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
The AI ETF is likely reducing its HII weighting due to perceived overvaluation, as its PER of 23.62 appears stretched relative to its 8.23% revenue growth. This consecutive decrease signals a deliberate de-risking strategy, potentially anticipating a valuation correction. For retail investors, this highlights the importance of evaluating a stock's valuation metrics alongside its growth, as even fundamentally sound companies can become overvalued. Such AI-driven portfolio adjustments warrant an independent reassessment of a stock's current price justification.
weight 0.670% → 0.650% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 8.3% in the 30 days before
May 1·entry $360.60·now $270.04
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.730% → 0.680% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 7.5% in the 30 days before
Apr 22·entry $366.88·now $270.04
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.760% → 0.730% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 7.8% in the 30 days before
Apr 17·entry $394.81·now $270.04
AMOM · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.850% → 0.760% (-0.090 pp)·stock down 4.7% in the 30 days before
Apr 10·entry $394.41·now $270.04
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.850% → 0.790% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 3.4% in the 30 days before
Apr 9·entry $403.37·now $270.04
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.850% → 0.810% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 4.2% in the 30 days before
Apr 8·entry $411.35·now $270.04
AMOM · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.620% → 0.850% (+0.230 pp)·stock down 3.2% in the 30 days before
Apr 6·entry $407.66·now $270.04Fresh
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.620% → 0.830% (+0.210 pp)·stock down 9.2% in the 30 days before
Apr 2·entry $396.62·now $270.04Fresh
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.640% → 0.620% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 16.3% in the 30 days before
Mar 31·entry $379.90·now $270.04
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
AI ETFs AMOM and QRFT are currently holding Huntington Ingalls Industries, with AMOM recently showing a trend of decreasing its allocation. This activity contrasts with the Buffett-style framework's 'Fail' verdict, which suggests the company does not meet the necessary criteria for investment due to financial health and valuation concerns, implying the AIs may prioritize different investment signals.
- Circle of CompetenceHuntington Ingalls Industries, as a primary defense shipbuilder with long-term government contracts, operates with sufficiently predictable unit economics to allow for reasonable ten-year cash flow projections.
- Economic MoatThe company benefits from significant switching costs, high barriers to entry, scale-driven cost advantages, and regulatory entanglement inherent in its role as a key national defense contractor.
- ManagementInsufficient data is provided to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game, which are critical elements for a comprehensive management evaluation.
- Financial HealthThe provided current ROE of 12.28% does not meet the framework's criterion of a 10-year average ROE of 15% or more, and other key financial health metrics are not available for assessment.
- Margin of SafetyGiven the failure on financial health and current valuation multiples such as a PER of 23.38 and EV/EBITDA of 20.24, it is difficult to establish a defensible margin of safety.
Huntington Ingalls Industries demonstrates a clear circle of competence and a strong economic moat due to its defense contracting nature. However, the company fails on key financial health metrics, particularly its return on equity, and consequently does not present a clear margin of safety at its current valuation. These factors lead to an overall 'Fail' verdict under the value-investing framework.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.