HLT · HILTON WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS INC

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Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., a hospitality company, engages in managing, franchising, and leasing hotels and resorts. It operates in two segments, Management and Franchise, and Ownership. The company engages in the hotel management and licensing of its brand names, trademarks, and service marks.

Close · 3M

-6.34%

Held by 3 AI ETFs

AIEQ0.540%

as of Sep 4

LQAI0.190%

as of Sep 2

PQUS0.050%

as of Sep 1

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals4

Win rate25% (1/4)

Avg buy return-1.95%

AIEQnow 0.540% of fund5 signals

AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d

weight 0.050% → 0.550% (+0.500 pp)·stock down 0.7% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $311.99·now $314.35

+0.76%

since Sep 1

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.230% → 0.050% (-0.180 pp)·stock down 3.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 2·entry $314.34·now $314.35

0.00%

since Aug 2

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.230% (new)·stock down 0.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 1·entry $332.12·now $314.35Fresh

-5.35%

since Jul 1

AIEQ · Exit · 1d

weight 0.130% → 0 (exited)·stock up 4.2% in the 30 days before

May 30·entry $332.65·now $314.35

-5.50%

since May 30

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.130% (new)·stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before

May 3·entry $311.38·now $314.35Fresh

+0.95%

since May 3

LQAInow 0.190% of fund1 signal

LQAI · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.200% (new)·stock down 3.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 6·entry $321.98·now $314.35Fresh

-2.37%

since Aug 6

PQUSnow 0.050% of fund2 signals

PQUS · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock down 5.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 7·entry $317.60·now $314.35Fresh

-1.02%

since Aug 7

PQUS · Exit · 1d

weight 0.040% → 0 (exited)·stock up 6.6% in the 30 days before

Apr 30·entry $324.07·now $314.35

-3.00%

since Apr 30

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of May 4

AI ETFs show mixed sentiment, with AIEQ making a new entry while PQUS recently exited, contrasting with the framework's "Fail" verdict which is driven by the lack of margin of safety at current valuation. The framework suggests caution on price, while AIEQ's entry implies confidence in the company's prospects at its current market value.

Circle of CompetenceThe asset-light, brand-driven business model of Hilton Worldwide, despite being cyclical, provides sufficiently predictable unit economics for long-term cash flow projections.
Economic MoatHilton benefits from a strong and durable economic moat through its extensive portfolio of globally recognized brands, scale-driven advantages, and integrated franchisee system.
ManagementInformation on management's candor, capital allocation track record, and specific skin in the game is not available in the provided data.
Financial HealthWhile the reported ROE is exceptionally high, comprehensive historical financial data on ROE consistency, operating margins, debt levels, and owner earnings are not available to fully assess financial health.
Margin of SafetyThe current high valuation multiples, including a PER of 49.78 and EV/EBITDA of 43.2, suggest the market price offers no discernible margin of safety compared to a conservative estimate of intrinsic value.

Hilton Worldwide qualifies within the circle of competence and demonstrates a strong economic moat, but a complete assessment of its management and financial health is constrained by limited data. Despite its operational strengths, the current market price indicates a significant overvaluation based on standard multiples, resulting in a "Fail" due to the absence of a margin of safety.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.