AIUP4.540%
as of Oct 23
HPE
GrowthHEWLETT PACKARD ENTERPRISE COMPANY
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company, together with its subsidiaries, develops intelligent solutions in the United States, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Japan, and internationally. It operates in five segments: Server, Hybrid Cloud, Networking, Financial Services, and Corporate Investments and Other. The company offers general-purpose servers, workload-optimized servers, and integrated systems, including HPE ProLiant Rack and Tower servers; HPE Synergy; HPE Scale Up servers; HPE Edgeline servers; HPE Cray EX; HPE Cray XD; and HPE NonStop.
Close · 3M
+15.65%
Held by 3 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals15
Win rate7% (1/15)
Avg buy return-15.76%
AIUP · Weight increase · 3d
weight 3.920% → 4.730% (+0.810 pp)·stock down 11.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $55.47·now $56.69Drifting
+2.20%
since Oct 22
AIUP · Weight increase · 2d
weight 3.920% → 4.620% (+0.700 pp)·stock down 4.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $58.17·now $56.69Fresh
-2.54%
since Oct 21
AIUP · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 4.540% → 3.920% (-0.620 pp)·stock down 8.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 19·entry $55.87·now $56.69
+1.47%
since Oct 19
AIUP · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 4.540% → 3.950% (-0.590 pp)·stock down 9.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $55.13·now $56.69
+2.83%
since Oct 16
AIUP · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 4.540% → 3.990% (-0.550 pp)·stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $58.63·now $56.69
-3.31%
since Oct 15
AIUP · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.540% → 4.280% (-0.260 pp)·stock up 12.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $63.11·now $56.69
-10.17%
since Oct 14
AIUP · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 4.540% (new)·stock up 13.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $70.33·now $56.69Fresh
-19.39%
since Oct 12
AMOM · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 1.820% → 1.540% (-0.280 pp)·stock down 9.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $55.13·now $56.69
+2.83%
since Oct 16
AMOM · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 1.820% → 1.580% (-0.240 pp)·stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $58.63·now $56.69
-3.31%
since Oct 15
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.820% → 1.670% (-0.150 pp)·stock up 12.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $63.11·now $56.69
-10.17%
since Oct 14
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.820% → 1.750% (-0.070 pp)·stock up 24.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $68.81·now $56.69
-17.61%
since Oct 13
AMOM · Weight increase · 4d
weight 1.700% → 1.820% (+0.120 pp)·stock up 33.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 9·entry $73.46·now $56.69Fresh
-22.83%
since Oct 9
AMOM · Weight increase · 3d
weight 1.700% → 1.790% (+0.090 pp)·stock up 20.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $71.00·now $56.69Fresh
-20.15%
since Oct 8
-21.36%
since Oct 7
-17.07%
since Oct 5
-18.23%
since Oct 2
-10.75%
since Sep 24
LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.140% → 0.110% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 9.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $55.13·now $56.69
+2.83%
since Oct 16
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.140% → 0.120% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $58.63·now $56.69
-3.31%
since Oct 15
-7.81%
since Sep 29
BUZZ · Exit · 1d
weight 0.480% → 0 (exited)·stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $58.63·now $56.69
-3.31%
since Oct 15
BUZZ · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.470% → 0.510% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 13.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $70.33·now $56.69Fresh
-19.39%
since Oct 12
BUZZ · Accumulation · 6d
weight 0.460% → 0.530% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 33.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 9·entry $73.46·now $56.69Fresh
-22.83%
since Oct 9
BUZZ · Accumulation · 6d
weight 0.440% → 0.520% (+0.080 pp)·stock up 20.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $71.00·now $56.69Fresh
-20.15%
since Oct 8
-21.36%
since Oct 7
-19.57%
since Oct 6
-18.23%
since Oct 2
-12.22%
since Oct 1
-7.11%
since Sep 22
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Too hard to callas of Oct 18
The AI ETFs have been mostly trimming HPE: AIUP made a new entry on Oct 12 at 4.54% and then cut the position three days in a row to 3.95%, AMOM has been reducing after a brief increase, LQAI is trimming, and BUZZ exited on Oct 15 after weeks of gradual accumulation. This retreat loosely agrees with a Too Hard verdict, since the funds are showing little conviction, but they are acting on momentum and short-term signals rather than on any judgment about predictable earning power.
- Circle of CompetenceEnterprise servers, networking (including the Juniper integration) and storage face shifting AI-driven demand, pricing pressure and unclear winners, so ten-year unit economics are hard to project and the business sits outside a reliable circle of competence.
- Economic Moat
- Management
- Financial Health
- Margin of Safety
HPE fails the circle of competence test because hardware and networking demand is shifting under AI infrastructure spending, which makes long-run cash flows hard to forecast. The framework therefore declines to score moat, management, owner earnings or margin of safety. The 28x earnings multiple, 22x EV/EBITDA and 11% ROE would not look like an obvious margin of safety even if the business were scored, but the verdict rests on predictability rather than price.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.