as of Oct 22
HPQ
GrowthHP INC
HP Inc. provides personal computing, printing, 3D printing, hybrid work, gaming, and other related technologies in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Personal Systems, Printing, and Corporate Investments. The Personal Systems segment offers commercial and consumer desktops and notebooks, workstations, thin clients, retail point-of-sale systems, displays, software, hybrid systems, and endpoint security and services, as well as lifecycle services, including support and deployment, configurations, and extended warranty services.
Close · 3M
+36.75%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.620% → 0.570% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 15.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $29.87·now $33.64
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.600% → 0.620% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 0.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $32.44·now $33.64Drifting
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.620% → 0.600% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 2.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 6·entry $31.73·now $33.64
LQAI · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0 → 0.620% (new)·stock up 2.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 1·entry $32.15·now $33.64Drifting
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0 → 0.610% (new)·stock up 4.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 30·entry $31.28·now $33.64Drifting
LQAI · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.600% (new)·stock up 0.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 29·entry $30.73·now $33.64Drifting
AIVL · Exit · 1d
weight 0.392% → 0 (exited)·stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $32.12·now $33.64
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.384% → 0.392% (+0.008 pp)·stock up 2.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 1·entry $32.15·now $33.64Drifting
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.376% → 0.381% (+0.004 pp)·stock up 5.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 28·entry $31.32·now $33.64Drifting
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.415% → 0.384% (-0.031 pp)·stock up 7.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 22·entry $32.04·now $33.64
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.415% → 0.394% (-0.021 pp)·stock up 11.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 21·entry $32.95·now $33.64
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.351% → 0.422% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 21.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 11·entry $35.48·now $33.64Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.367% → 0.391% (+0.024 pp)·stock up 12.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 10·entry $32.73·now $33.64Drifting
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.333% → 0.353% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 7.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $30.52·now $33.64Chased
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.360% → 0.340% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 18.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 17·entry $29.40·now $33.64
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.338% → 0.360% (+0.022 pp)·stock up 31.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $31.30·now $33.64Drifting
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.348% → 0.338% (-0.010 pp)·stock up 17.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 11·entry $29.07·now $33.64
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.292% → 0.347% (+0.055 pp)·stock up 24.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 7·entry $30.05·now $33.64Chased
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.334% → 0.317% (-0.018 pp)·stock up 23.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 3·entry $27.12·now $33.64
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.288% → 0.322% (+0.033 pp)·stock up 23.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 31·entry $27.27·now $33.64Chased
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 12.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 7·entry $22.96·now $33.64Chased
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
While LQAI has shown a clear accumulation trend and new entry into HPQ, suggesting an investable view, AIVL has been exiting, which aligns more with this analysis. Our Buffett-style framework, however, deems HP Inc. 'Too Hard' to analyze due to unpredictable long-term cash flows, contrasting with LQAI's positive action.
- Circle of CompetenceThe cyclical, commoditized, and competitive nature of the PC and printer markets, alongside long-term secular trends, makes reliable ten-year cash flow projections challenging.
- Economic MoatThis stage is not applicable as the company failed the Circle of Competence criterion.
- ManagementThis stage is not applicable as the company failed the Circle of Competence criterion.
- Financial HealthThis stage is not applicable as the company failed the Circle of Competence criterion.
- Margin of SafetyThis stage is not applicable as the company failed the Circle of Competence criterion.
Applying the framework, HP Inc. falls outside the circle of competence because its underlying unit economics are difficult to predict over a ten-year horizon. The mature, cyclical, and competitive markets for PCs and printers introduce too much uncertainty for reliable cash flow forecasting. Therefore, the framework declines to score the company further, regardless of its financial metrics or current valuation.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.