LQAI1.830%
as of Oct 22
KDP
DefensiveKEURIG DR PEPPER INC
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. owns, manufactures, and distributors beverages and single serve brewing systems in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S.
Close · 3M
+9.16%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals15
Win rate100% (15/15)
Avg buy return+7.19%
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.580% → 1.790% (+0.210 pp)·stock up 11.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 19·entry $34.46·now $34.68Fresh
+0.64%
since Oct 19
LQAI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 1.530% → 1.800% (+0.270 pp)·stock up 10.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $34.62·now $34.68Fresh
+0.17%
since Oct 16
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.560% → 1.760% (+0.200 pp)·stock up 7.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $34.18·now $34.68Fresh
+1.46%
since Oct 15
LQAI · Weight increase · 3d
weight 1.530% → 1.660% (+0.130 pp)·stock up 4.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $32.75·now $34.68Drifting
+5.89%
since Oct 12
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.530% → 1.600% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 1.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 9·entry $31.76·now $34.68Drifting
+9.19%
since Oct 9
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.570% → 1.530% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 6.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 7·entry $30.54·now $34.68
+13.56%
since Oct 7
LQAI · Sudden change · 1d
weight 0.810% → 1.590% (+0.780 pp)·stock down 3.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 29·entry $31.03·now $34.68
+11.76%
since Sep 29
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.770% → 0.810% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 2.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 23·entry $31.76·now $34.68Drifting
+9.19%
since Sep 23
LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.840% → 0.770% (-0.070 pp)·stock down 3.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 21·entry $30.62·now $34.68
+13.26%
since Sep 21
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.840% → 0.800% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 0.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 18·entry $30.96·now $34.68
+12.02%
since Sep 18
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.830% → 0.850% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 4.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $32.59·now $34.68Drifting
+6.41%
since Sep 2
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.800% → 0.840% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 1.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $32.18·now $34.68Drifting
+7.77%
since Aug 28
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.770% → 0.840% (+0.070 pp)·stock up 3.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $32.21·now $34.68Drifting
+7.67%
since Aug 26
LQAI · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.800% → 0.850% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 9.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $32.51·now $34.68Drifting
+6.67%
since Aug 24
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.800% → 0.830% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 8.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $32.04·now $34.68Drifting
+8.24%
since Aug 21
LQAI · Weight decrease · 6d
weight 1.220% → 0.770% (-0.450 pp)·stock down 7.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 10·entry $29.30·now $34.68
+18.36%
since Aug 10
LQAI · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 1.220% → 0.780% (-0.440 pp)·stock down 2.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 7·entry $30.01·now $34.68
+15.56%
since Aug 7
LQAI · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 1.220% → 0.800% (-0.420 pp)·stock down 1.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $30.37·now $34.68
+14.19%
since Aug 6
+12.20%
since Aug 3
+11.44%
since Jul 31
LQAI · Weight increase · 3d
stock down 6.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 29·entry $31.45·now $34.68Chased
+10.27%
since Jul 29
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 6.9% in the 30 days before
Jul 28·entry $31.08·now $34.68Chased
+11.58%
since Jul 28
+14.80%
since Jul 21
+13.93%
since Jul 20
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 1.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 16·entry $31.38·now $34.68Chased
+10.52%
since Jul 16
+12.89%
since Jul 9
+11.98%
since Jul 8
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Aug 2
Recent AI ETF activity shows some accumulation by LQAI and a new entry by AIEQ into Keurig Dr Pepper. This trend contrasts with the framework's 'Fail' verdict, which is driven by KDP's inadequate financial health and lack of a clear margin of safety at the current price. The AI's criteria for buying may differ significantly from this value-investing approach focused on durable economics and conservative valuations.
- Circle of CompetenceKeurig Dr Pepper operates in the consumer staples sector with stable demand for its beverage and coffee products, allowing for reasonably predictable ten-year cash flows.
- Economic MoatThe company benefits from strong brand power across its diverse portfolio and switching costs associated with the Keurig brewing system, providing a durable economic moat.
- ManagementManagement's candidness, capital allocation discipline, and skin in the game cannot be assessed from the provided financial and activity data.
- Financial HealthThe reported Return on Equity (ROE) of 6.95% falls significantly short of the framework's requirement for a 10-year average ROE of 15% or more, with no single year below 10%.
- Margin of SafetyWith an EV/EBITDA of 42.01 and a PER of 22.04 combined with weak financial health metrics, the current price does not present a defensible discount to intrinsic value.
Keurig Dr Pepper operates within a predictable circle of competence and possesses strong brand-driven economic moats in beverages and coffee systems. However, its recent financial health, specifically a low Return on Equity, fails the framework's criteria for capital efficiency. Coupled with a valuation that does not offer a clear margin of safety, the company receives an overall 'Fail' verdict.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.