LQAI0.700%
as of Sep 2
KHC
DefensiveTHE KRAFT HEINZ COMPANY
The Kraft Heinz Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products in North America and internationally. Its products include condiments, sauces, dressings, and spreads; cheese, frozen potato products, and other frozen meals; meal kits, frozen snacks, and pickles; dry packaged desserts, refrigerated ready to eat desserts, and other dessert toppings; ready to drink and powdered beverages, and liquid concentrates; American sliced and recipe cheeses; mainstream coffee, coffee pods, and premium coffee; and cold cuts, bacon, and hot dogs. It offers its products under the Kraft, Oscar Mayer, Heinz, Philadelphia, Lunchables, Velveeta, Ore-Ida, Capri Sun, Maxwell House, Kool-Aid, Jell-O, ABC, Master, Quero, Golden Circle, Wattie's, Pudliszki, and Plasmon brands, as well as Bagel Bites, Claussen, A1, and Cool Whip.
Close · 3M
+15.86%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals14
Win rate57% (8/14)
Avg buy return+1.31%
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.680% → 0.700% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 1.4% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $26.26·now $25.42Fresh
-3.20%
since Sep 2
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.660% → 0.680% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 2.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $25.70·now $25.42Fresh
-1.09%
since Aug 28
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.690% → 0.660% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 9.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $24.79·now $25.42
+2.54%
since Aug 26
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.640% → 0.680% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 0.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $25.68·now $25.42Fresh
-1.01%
since Aug 19
LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.680% → 0.650% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 2.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 12·entry $24.53·now $25.42
+3.63%
since Aug 12
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.680% → 0.660% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 2.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 11·entry $24.65·now $25.42
+3.12%
since Aug 11
LQAI · Sudden change · 1d
weight 1.240% → 0.670% (-0.570 pp)·stock up 0.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $24.96·now $25.42
+1.84%
since Aug 6
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.360% → 1.230% (-0.130 pp)·stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 31·entry $25.85·now $25.42
-1.66%
since Jul 31
LQAI · Weight increase · 3d
weight 1.190% → 1.360% (+0.170 pp)·stock up 14.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 29·entry $27.62·now $25.42Fresh
-7.97%
since Jul 29
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.190% → 1.310% (+0.120 pp)·stock up 15.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 28·entry $27.30·now $25.42Fresh
-6.89%
since Jul 28
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.150% → 1.230% (+0.080 pp)·stock up 9.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 16·entry $26.23·now $25.42Fresh
-3.09%
since Jul 16
LQAI · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 1.630% → 1.130% (-0.500 pp)·stock up 5.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 9·entry $24.68·now $25.42
+3.00%
since Jul 9
LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.630% → 1.150% (-0.480 pp)·stock up 10.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 8·entry $24.92·now $25.42
+2.01%
since Jul 8
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.630% → 1.170% (-0.460 pp)·stock up 12.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 7·entry $25.30·now $25.42
+0.47%
since Jul 7
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.430% → 1.630% (+0.200 pp)·stock up 8.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 2·entry $25.37·now $25.42Fresh
+0.20%
since Jul 2
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.360% → 1.570% (+0.210 pp)·stock up 5.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $25.01·now $25.42Fresh
+1.64%
since Jul 1
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.460% → 1.510% (+0.050 pp)·stock down 1.1% in the 30 days before
Jun 29·entry $24.19·now $25.42Drifting
+5.08%
since Jun 29
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 3.6% in the 30 days before
Jun 24·entry $22.94·now $25.42Chased
+10.81%
since Jun 24
+15.39%
since Jun 22
+11.39%
since Jun 18
+5.96%
since Jun 15
+4.22%
since Jun 12
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before
Jun 10·entry $24.05·now $25.42Drifting
+5.70%
since Jun 10
+8.49%
since Jun 9
+8.77%
since May 12
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
weight 0.050% → 0 (exited)·stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 2·entry $26.42·now $25.42
-3.79%
since Aug 2
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock up 5.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $25.01·now $25.42Fresh
+1.64%
since Jul 1
+7.58%
since May 30
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 7.1% in the 30 days before
May 20·entry $23.53·now $25.42Drifting
+8.03%
since May 20
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of May 11
AI ETFs AIEQ and LQAI show recent activity indicating accumulation and increasing weight in KHC, suggesting their algorithms perceive an opportunity. In contrast, the Buffett-style framework leads to a 'Fail' verdict, primarily due to KHC's poor financial health metrics, creating a significant disagreement between the AI's recent actions and this fundamental analysis.
- Circle of CompetenceThe company operates in the consumer staples sector with established brands, suggesting unit economics are stable enough for reasonable long-term cash flow projections.
- Economic MoatKHC benefits from significant brand power through its portfolio of iconic, well-recognized consumer food brands, which provide an enduring competitive advantage.
- ManagementWithout specific information on management's candor, detailed capital allocation history, or skin in the game, it is difficult to fully assess this criterion.
- Financial HealthThe reported Return on Equity of -13.44% clearly fails the financial health criterion requiring an average ROE of at least 15% with no single year below 10%.
- Margin of SafetyGiven the significant financial health concerns, particularly the negative ROE and declining revenue, it is difficult to establish a conservative estimate of intrinsic value that would support a defensible margin of safety.
The Kraft Heinz Company operates within a predictable circle of competence and possesses strong brand-based economic moats, yet its recent financial health is concerning. A negative Return on Equity and declining revenue lead to a clear failure in financial health and, consequently, an inability to establish a margin of safety within this framework. Therefore, the company receives an overall 'Fail' verdict.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.