LQAI1.140%
as of Oct 22
KHC
DefensiveTHE KRAFT HEINZ COMPANY
The Kraft Heinz Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products in North America and internationally. Its products include condiments, sauces, dressings, and spreads; cheese, frozen potato products, and other frozen meals; meal kits, frozen snacks, and pickles; dry packaged desserts, refrigerated ready to eat desserts, and other dessert toppings; ready to drink and powdered beverages, and liquid concentrates; American sliced and recipe cheeses; mainstream coffee, coffee pods, and premium coffee; and cold cuts, bacon, and hot dogs. It offers its products under the Kraft, Oscar Mayer, Heinz, Philadelphia, Lunchables, Velveeta, Ore-Ida, Capri Sun, Maxwell House, Kool-Aid, Jell-O, ABC, Master, Quero, Golden Circle, Wattie's, Pudliszki, and Plasmon brands, as well as Bagel Bites, Claussen, A1, and Cool Whip.
Close · 3M
+3.38%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals11
Win rate36% (4/11)
Avg buy return-1.58%
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.990% → 1.140% (+0.150 pp)·stock up 5.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $25.09·now $24.80Fresh
-1.16%
since Oct 22
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.980% → 1.070% (+0.090 pp)·stock down 2.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $23.83·now $24.80Drifting
+4.07%
since Oct 20
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.960% → 1.080% (+0.120 pp)·stock down 4.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $23.68·now $24.80Drifting
+4.73%
since Oct 16
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.990% → 1.050% (+0.060 pp)·stock down 5.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $23.28·now $24.80Drifting
+6.53%
since Oct 15
LQAI · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 1.050% → 0.960% (-0.090 pp)·stock down 11.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 6·entry $22.03·now $24.80
+12.57%
since Oct 6
LQAI · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 1.050% → 0.970% (-0.080 pp)·stock down 14.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 5·entry $21.84·now $24.80
+13.55%
since Oct 5
LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.050% → 0.980% (-0.070 pp)·stock down 15.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $22.19·now $24.80
+11.76%
since Oct 2
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.050% → 1.000% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 13.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 1·entry $22.46·now $24.80
+10.42%
since Oct 1
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.610% → 1.050% (+0.440 pp)·stock down 8.8% in the 30 days before
Sep 29·entry $23.45·now $24.80Drifting
+5.76%
since Sep 29
LQAI · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.670% → 0.610% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 6.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 22·entry $24.00·now $24.80
+3.33%
since Sep 22
LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.670% → 0.630% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 4.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 21·entry $24.37·now $24.80
+1.76%
since Sep 21
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.670% → 0.640% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 4.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 18·entry $24.43·now $24.80
+1.51%
since Sep 18
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.700% → 0.650% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 0.4% in the 30 days before
Sep 4·entry $24.85·now $24.80
-0.20%
since Sep 4
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.680% → 0.700% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 1.4% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $26.26·now $24.80Fresh
-5.56%
since Sep 2
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.660% → 0.680% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 2.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $25.70·now $24.80Fresh
-3.50%
since Aug 28
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.690% → 0.660% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 9.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $24.79·now $24.80
+0.04%
since Aug 26
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.640% → 0.680% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 0.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $25.68·now $24.80Fresh
-3.43%
since Aug 19
LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.680% → 0.650% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 2.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 12·entry $24.53·now $24.80
+1.10%
since Aug 12
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.680% → 0.660% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 2.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 11·entry $24.65·now $24.80
+0.61%
since Aug 11
-0.64%
since Aug 6
-4.06%
since Jul 31
-10.21%
since Jul 29
-9.16%
since Jul 28
-5.45%
since Jul 16
+0.49%
since Jul 9
-0.48%
since Jul 8
-1.98%
since Jul 7
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of May 11
AI ETFs AIEQ and LQAI show recent activity indicating accumulation and increasing weight in KHC, suggesting their algorithms perceive an opportunity. In contrast, the Buffett-style framework leads to a 'Fail' verdict, primarily due to KHC's poor financial health metrics, creating a significant disagreement between the AI's recent actions and this fundamental analysis.
- Circle of CompetenceThe company operates in the consumer staples sector with established brands, suggesting unit economics are stable enough for reasonable long-term cash flow projections.
- Economic MoatKHC benefits from significant brand power through its portfolio of iconic, well-recognized consumer food brands, which provide an enduring competitive advantage.
- ManagementWithout specific information on management's candor, detailed capital allocation history, or skin in the game, it is difficult to fully assess this criterion.
- Financial HealthThe reported Return on Equity of -13.44% clearly fails the financial health criterion requiring an average ROE of at least 15% with no single year below 10%.
- Margin of SafetyGiven the significant financial health concerns, particularly the negative ROE and declining revenue, it is difficult to establish a conservative estimate of intrinsic value that would support a defensible margin of safety.
The Kraft Heinz Company operates within a predictable circle of competence and possesses strong brand-based economic moats, yet its recent financial health is concerning. A negative Return on Equity and declining revenue lead to a clear failure in financial health and, consequently, an inability to establish a margin of safety within this framework. Therefore, the company receives an overall 'Fail' verdict.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.