AIVL2.414%
as of Oct 23
KMI
DefensiveKINDER MORGAN INC
Kinder Morgan, Inc. operates as an energy infrastructure company primarily in North America. It operates through Natural Gas Pipelines, Products Pipelines, Terminals, and CO2 segments. The Natural Gas Pipelines segment owns and operates interstate and intrastate natural gas pipeline, and storage systems; natural gas gathering systems and natural gas processing and treating facilities; natural gas liquids fractionation facilities and transportation systems; and liquefied natural gas gasification, liquefaction, and storage facilities.
Close · 3M
+9.44%
Held by 4 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals27
Win rate96% (26/27)
Avg buy return+5.76%
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.422% → 2.357% (-0.065 pp)·stock up 5.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $33.57·now $34.43
+2.56%
since Oct 20
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.303% → 2.422% (+0.119 pp)·stock up 9.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $34.20·now $34.43Fresh
+0.67%
since Oct 16
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.278% → 2.381% (+0.103 pp)·stock up 8.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $33.35·now $34.43Drifting
+3.24%
since Oct 14
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.274% → 2.378% (+0.103 pp)·stock up 8.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $33.43·now $34.43Drifting
+2.99%
since Oct 13
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.236% → 2.352% (+0.116 pp)·stock up 7.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $33.08·now $34.43Drifting
+4.08%
since Oct 12
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.213% → 2.319% (+0.106 pp)·stock up 5.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 9·entry $32.49·now $34.43Drifting
+5.97%
since Oct 9
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.225% → 2.321% (+0.096 pp)·stock up 2.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $32.25·now $34.43Drifting
+6.76%
since Oct 8
+7.06%
since Oct 6
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
stock down 0.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 5·entry $31.41·now $34.43Drifting
+9.61%
since Oct 5
+10.81%
since Oct 2
+14.20%
since Sep 30
+10.18%
since Sep 24
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.870% → 1.980% (+0.110 pp)·stock up 5.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $33.57·now $34.43Drifting
+2.56%
since Oct 20
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.860% → 1.970% (+0.110 pp)·stock up 4.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 19·entry $33.39·now $34.43Drifting
+3.11%
since Oct 19
LQAI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 1.820% → 2.030% (+0.210 pp)·stock up 9.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $34.20·now $34.43Fresh
+0.67%
since Oct 16
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.830% → 1.920% (+0.090 pp)·stock up 6.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $32.82·now $34.43Drifting
+4.91%
since Oct 15
LQAI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 1.820% → 1.960% (+0.140 pp)·stock up 8.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $33.35·now $34.43Drifting
+3.24%
since Oct 14
LQAI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 1.790% → 1.930% (+0.140 pp)·stock up 8.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $33.43·now $34.43Drifting
+2.99%
since Oct 13
LQAI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 1.770% → 1.910% (+0.140 pp)·stock up 7.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $33.08·now $34.43Drifting
+4.08%
since Oct 12
LQAI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 1.760% → 1.870% (+0.110 pp)·stock up 5.0% in the 30 days before
Oct 9·entry $32.49·now $34.43Drifting
+5.97%
since Oct 9
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.780% → 1.860% (+0.080 pp)·stock up 2.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 8·entry $32.25·now $34.43Drifting
+6.76%
since Oct 8
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.690% → 1.820% (+0.130 pp)·stock down 0.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 7·entry $31.82·now $34.43Drifting
+8.20%
since Oct 7
LQAI · Accumulation · 6d
weight 1.660% → 1.830% (+0.170 pp)·stock up 2.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 6·entry $32.16·now $34.43Drifting
+7.06%
since Oct 6
+9.61%
since Oct 5
+10.81%
since Oct 2
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 3.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 29·entry $30.45·now $34.43Chased
+13.07%
since Sep 29
+11.97%
since Sep 25
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.540% → 0.560% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 10.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $34.43·now $34.43Fresh
0.00%
since Oct 23
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.510% → 0.530% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 7.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $33.08·now $34.43Drifting
+4.08%
since Oct 12
+7.06%
since Oct 6
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Oct 11
AIVL and LQAI have been steadily accumulating KMI through early October, PQUS has nudged its weight up, and QRFT and AIEQ hold only tiny positions. That buying conflicts with a Buffett-style Fail, since the sub-15% ROE and lack of a clear discount to intrinsic value argue for patience rather than adding, although the moat and predictability are the kind of qualities that explain the appeal to a value-oriented fund like AIVL.
- Circle of CompetenceKinder Morgan's fee-based natural gas pipelines, storage and terminals have stable, contract-driven unit economics that allow ten-year cash flows to be projected reasonably well, so it sits within a circle of competence.
- Economic MoatIts sprawling, hard-to-replicate U.S. natural gas pipeline network benefits from regulatory entitlement, scale and high permitting barriers, which together form a durable if not spectacular moat.
- ManagementInsider ownership is meaningful and the company has moved toward dividend discipline and debt reduction, but candour and long-run capital allocation cannot be fully judged from the data provided.
- Financial HealthROE of 11.11% sits below the 15% threshold, the business is capital-intensive with heavy maintenance and growth capex that pressures owner earnings, and debt is substantial, so the financial health test is not cleared.
- Margin of SafetyA P/E of about 20 and a stated EV/EBITDA above 30 (which looks anomalous but still signals no discount) leave no visible margin of safety for a mid-single-digit ROE-type business at 1.96 times book.
Kinder Morgan is an understandable, moated pipeline franchise that passes the circle of competence and moat tests, but its returns on equity, capital intensity and leverage fall short of the framework's financial bar. At roughly 20 times earnings there is also no obvious margin of safety, so the scorecard lands on Fail, with the possibility of revisiting at a materially lower price.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.