PQUS0.860%
as of Jul 21
MAR
GrowthMARRIOTT INTL A
Marriott International, Inc. engages in the operation, franchise, and licensing of hotel, residential, timeshare, and other lodging properties in the U.S. & Canada, Europe, Middle East & Africa, Greater China, and Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates properties under JW Marriott, The Ritz-Carlton, The Luxury Collection, W Hotels, St.
Close · 3M
+11.58%
Held by 3 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals7
Win rate14% (1/7)
Avg buy return-1.97%
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
The consecutive weight increase in Marriott International by Pictet Asset Management's PQUS ETF signals a targeted re-evaluation by its AI ranking system. Operating across approximately 165 US large-cap holdings with periodic rebalancing, the fund adjusted its MAR allocation from 0.84% to 0.86% following a recent price pullback. This strategic move likely occurred as MAR's 30-day return showed a -4.9% dip, presenting an entry point despite its current price being at 91% of its 52-week high. The AI's assessment, which also considers sector-balance, could have favored Marriott's financial performance, particularly its 309.12% ROE, within the large-cap universe.
weight 0.840% → 0.860% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 8.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 18·entry $366.93·now $366.93Fresh
0.00%
since Jul 18
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
Marriott International's stock currently trades at $378.91, positioning it at 94% of its 52-week high, following a 30-day return of +8.2% and a 1-year return of +43.9%. The Pictet Asset Management AI ranking system likely factored in this sustained market performance for the US large-cap company, alongside its 309.12% return on equity. The significant increase in weight to 0.91% on June 26th, after a period of stable weighting, aligns with PQUS’s stated strategy of periodic rebalances and measured turnover. This discrete portfolio adjustment suggests the AI determined an increased allocation was warranted within the fund’s ~165 stock universe, respecting the overlay of sector-balance and concentration rules, even with the company's price-to-earnings ratio of 40.01.
weight 0.510% → 0.910% (+0.400 pp)·stock down 2.2% in the 30 days before
Jun 26·entry $377.31·now $366.93Fresh
-2.75%
since Jun 26
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
MARRIOTT INTL A stock is currently trading at $402.54, precisely at its 52-week high, following a 13.4% return over the last 30 days and a 54.1% increase over the past year. This strong price trajectory likely presented a compelling signal for Pictet Asset Management's AI ranking system, which identifies attractive US large-cap stocks for PQUS. The AI system's assessment, factoring in metrics such as MAR's 309.12% return on equity and 4.69% revenue growth, despite its 40.02 price-to-earnings ratio, appears to have driven the consecutive weight increases in PQUS. These phased adjustments, occurring after a period of stable weight, reflect the fund’s US large-cap style with measured turnover, allowing for a calibrated rebalancing action in response to a sustained positive ranking.
weight 0.500% → 0.540% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 14.9% in the 30 days before
Jun 13·entry $400.63·now $366.93Fresh
-8.41%
since Jun 13
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.470% → 0.500% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 9.3% in the 30 days before
Jun 7·entry $391.42·now $366.93Fresh
-6.26%
since Jun 7
QRFT · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.210% → 0.230% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 9.3% in the 30 days before
Jun 5·entry $392.51·now $366.93Fresh
-6.52%
since Jun 5
QRFT · Weight decrease · 2d
The AI fund likely decreased its MAR allocation due to the stock's extremely high PBR and PER, indicating significant overvaluation relative to its moderate revenue growth. While the ROE is impressive, the AI may perceive it as unsustainable or indicative of excessive financial leverage, prompting a risk reduction. For retail investors, this highlights the importance of scrutinizing companies with such extreme valuation multiples and exceptionally high ROE without clear justification, as they often signal elevated risk or unsustainable performance.
weight 0.220% → 0.200% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 4.6% in the 30 days before
May 4·entry $347.24·now $366.93
+5.67%
since May 4
QRFT · Accumulation · 3d
weight 0.200% → 0.220% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 1.2% in the 30 days before
Apr 2·entry $331.93·now $366.93Chased
+10.54%
since Apr 2
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.070% (new)·stock down 2.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $368.32·now $366.93Fresh
-0.38%
since Jul 1
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
The AI ETF likely removed Marriott due to its extremely high valuation metrics, particularly the PBR of 82.97 and PER of 36.16, which are disproportionate to its modest 4.33% revenue growth. These extreme multiples, despite a high ROE, likely triggered an overvaluation signal for the AI. Retail investors should recognize that even strong profitability doesn't justify extreme valuations, prompting caution when a stock's price significantly outpaces its fundamental growth.
weight 0.190% → 0 (exited)·stock up 6.5% in the 30 days before
May 3·entry $347.24·now $366.93
+5.67%
since May 3
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Jul 19
The PQUS AI ETF shows an increasing weight trend for Marriott, indicating a positive sentiment or accumulation. This contrasts with the Buffett-style framework's verdict of 'Fail,' primarily due to the current lack of a margin of safety based on valuation.
- Circle of CompetenceMarriott's asset-light franchise and management model provides predictable fee-based revenues, allowing for reasonable projection of earning power over a decade despite industry cyclicality.
- Economic MoatMarriott benefits from strong brand power across a global portfolio of well-recognized hotel brands, creating customer loyalty and scale advantages that protect its market position.
- ManagementInsufficient data is available to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or personal stake in the company.
- Financial HealthCritical financial health data such as 10-year average ROE, operating margin trends, debt levels, and owner earnings are not available to fully assess the pass criteria.
- Margin of SafetyThe high P/E, P/B, and EV/EBITDA multiples suggest the company is trading at a premium, making it difficult to identify a defensible margin of safety at the current price.
Marriott International demonstrates a predictable business model and a strong economic moat, aligning with initial framework criteria. However, a comprehensive assessment of management and financial health is limited by available data. Crucially, the current valuation multiples indicate the stock is trading at a premium, failing the margin of safety criterion and resulting in an overall 'Fail' verdict.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.