LQAI1.360%
as of Oct 22
MNST
DefensiveMONSTER BEVERAGE CORP
Monster Beverage Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in development, marketing, sale, and distribution of energy drink beverages and concentrates in the United States and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Monster Energy Drinks, Strategic Brands, Alcohol Brands, and Other. It offers carbonated non-carbonated energy drinks, ready-to-drink iced teas, lemonades, juice cocktails, single-serve juices and fruit beverages, ready-to-drink dairy and coffee drinks, energy drinks, sports drinks and single-serve still waters, and sodas that are considered natural, sparkling juices, and flavored sparkling beverages.
Close · 3M
-50.46%
Held by 3 AI ETFs
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals20
Win rate50% (10/20)
Avg buy return-1.72%
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.210% → 1.360% (+0.150 pp)·stock up 7.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $47.30·now $46.19Fresh
-2.35%
since Oct 22
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.210% → 1.340% (+0.130 pp)·stock up 6.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $47.04·now $46.19Fresh
-1.81%
since Oct 20
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.210% → 1.340% (+0.130 pp)·stock up 4.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 19·entry $46.80·now $46.19Fresh
-1.30%
since Oct 19
LQAI · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.180% → 1.310% (+0.130 pp)·stock up 2.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $45.73·now $46.19Fresh
+1.01%
since Oct 16
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.210% → 1.290% (+0.080 pp)·stock up 1.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $45.34·now $46.19Fresh
+1.87%
since Oct 15
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.220% → 1.180% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 0.6% in the 30 days before
Oct 7·entry $42.88·now $46.19
+7.72%
since Oct 7
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.180% → 1.220% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 1.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 5·entry $43.51·now $46.19Drifting
+6.16%
since Oct 5
LQAI · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 1.180% (new)·stock down 10.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 29·entry $41.74·now $46.19Chased
+10.66%
since Sep 29
PQUS · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.020% → 1.110% (+0.090 pp)·stock up 8.2% in the 30 days before
Oct 23·entry $46.19·now $46.19Fresh
0.00%
since Oct 23
PQUS · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.030% → 1.130% (+0.100 pp)·stock up 7.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 22·entry $47.30·now $46.19Fresh
-2.35%
since Oct 22
PQUS · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.020% → 1.100% (+0.080 pp)·stock up 5.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 21·entry $46.63·now $46.19Fresh
-0.94%
since Oct 21
PQUS · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.030% → 1.120% (+0.090 pp)·stock up 6.9% in the 30 days before
Oct 20·entry $47.04·now $46.19Fresh
-1.81%
since Oct 20
PQUS · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.010% → 1.090% (+0.080 pp)·stock up 2.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $45.73·now $46.19Fresh
+1.01%
since Oct 16
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.020% → 1.070% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 1.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $45.34·now $46.19Fresh
+1.87%
since Oct 15
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.470% → 1.030% (+0.560 pp)·stock down 1.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 5·entry $43.51·now $46.19Drifting
+6.16%
since Oct 5
PQUS · Sudden change · 1d
weight 0.470% → 1.010% (+0.540 pp)·stock down 6.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 1·entry $42.14·now $46.19
+9.61%
since Oct 1
+0.59%
since Aug 29
-49.48%
since Aug 8
-48.88%
since Aug 7
-52.63%
since Aug 2
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.240% → 0.260% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 2.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $45.73·now $46.19Fresh
+1.01%
since Oct 16
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.460% → 0.240% (-0.220 pp)·stock down 6.3% in the 30 days before
Oct 1·entry $42.14·now $46.19
+9.61%
since Oct 1
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.460% → 0.480% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 2.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 16·entry $44.57·now $46.19Drifting
+3.63%
since Sep 16
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.080% → 0.460% (-1.620 pp)·stock down 76.7% in the 30 days before
Sep 3·entry $44.08·now $46.19
+4.79%
since Sep 3
+2.67%
since Sep 1
-1.43%
since Aug 28
AIEQ · Weight increase · 3d
stock down 48.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $47.79·now $46.19Fresh
-3.35%
since Aug 21
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 50.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $47.49·now $46.19Fresh
-2.74%
since Aug 20
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 53.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 15·entry $45.52·now $46.19Fresh
+1.47%
since Aug 15
-52.63%
since Aug 2
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Oct 18
All four AI ETFs (LQAI, PQUS, AIEQ, QRFT) hold the stock, and in mid-October LQAI, PQUS and AIEQ were accumulating, with PQUS adding a large +0.56pp early in the month. That conflicts with a Buffett-style Fail on price: the funds appear to be rewarding momentum and quality, while the framework says the valuation leaves no cushion.
- Circle of CompetenceEnergy drinks are a simple, repeat-purchase consumer product with stable unit economics, asset-light bottling through partners, and cash flows that can reasonably be projected over ten years.
- Economic MoatThe Monster brand, its entrenched distribution through the Coca-Cola bottler network, and its shelf-space dominance give it a durable moat, though competition from Celsius, Red Bull and private label is a real pressure.
- ManagementFinancials alone cannot show candor, but the company has a record of buying back stock and avoiding large acquisitions, which hints at disciplined capital allocation; insider ownership was not provided.
- Financial HealthA 24.96% ROE, 20% revenue growth, little debt and strongly positive owner earnings meet the quality tests, though the data given does not confirm ten years of margins and ROE.
- Margin of SafetyAt 41.6x earnings and 41x EV/EBITDA the price already assumes years of strong growth, leaving no margin of safety even for a wonderful business.
Monster passes on circle of competence, moat and financial quality, and management looks plausible but cannot be verified from this data. The 41.6x earnings multiple fails the margin of safety test, so the framework calls it a wonderful business at a price that is too high. This is an educational reading, not investment advice.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.