Last refreshed: September 4, 2026 (US ET)
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MO

Defensive

ALTRIA GROUP INC

Consumer Staples·TobaccoYield: Very High (5%+)

Altria Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells smokeable and oral tobacco products in the United States. It offers cigarettes primarily under the Marlboro brand; large cigars and pipe tobacco under the Black & Mild brand; moist smokeless tobacco and oral tobacco products under the Copenhagen, Skoal, Red Seal, and Husky brands; oral nicotine pouches under the on! brand; and e-vapor products under the NJOY ACE brand. The company sells its products to distributors, as well as large retail organizations, such as chain stores.

Close · 3M

+3.90%

MO · 3M

+3.90%

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Held by 4 AI ETFs

AIVL3.018%

as of Sep 3

PQUS1.020%

as of Sep 1

LQAI0.540%

as of Sep 2

AIEQ0.050%

as of Sep 4

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals17
Win rate82% (14/17)
Avg buy return+2.05%
AIVLnow 3.018% of fund15 signals

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.888% → 3.046% (+0.159 pp)·stock up 2.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $69.56·now $69.49Fresh

-0.10%
since Sep 2

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.952% → 3.009% (+0.057 pp)·stock up 0.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 31·entry $68.48·now $69.49Fresh

+1.47%
since Aug 31

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.777% → 3.000% (+0.223 pp)·stock down 7.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $69.12·now $69.49Fresh

+0.54%
since Aug 26

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.808% → 2.990% (+0.182 pp)·stock down 6.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 24·entry $68.47·now $69.49Fresh

+1.49%
since Aug 24

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.798% → 2.888% (+0.089 pp)·stock down 8.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $66.09·now $69.49Drifting

+5.14%
since Aug 21

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.834% → 2.927% (+0.093 pp)·stock down 7.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $66.94·now $69.49Drifting

+3.81%
since Aug 20

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.777% → 2.869% (+0.092 pp)·stock down 9.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 19·entry $66.03·now $69.49Drifting

+5.24%
since Aug 19

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.798% → 2.825% (+0.027 pp)·stock down 10.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 14·entry $65.70·now $69.49Drifting

+5.77%
since Aug 14

AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 2.967% → 2.798% (-0.169 pp)·stock down 8.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 12·entry $64.38·now $69.49

+7.94%
since Aug 12

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.967% → 2.834% (-0.133 pp)·stock down 9.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 11·entry $65.03·now $69.49

+6.86%
since Aug 11

AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d

stock down 6.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 6·entry $67.75·now $69.49

+2.57%
since Aug 6

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 6.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 3·entry $68.26·now $69.49

+1.80%
since Aug 3

AIVL · Sudden change · 1d

stock down 4.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 31·entry $68.33·now $69.49

+1.70%
since Jul 31

AIVL · Weight increase · 3d

stock up 1.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 29·entry $74.92·now $69.49Fresh

-7.25%
since Jul 29

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 1.4% in the 30 days before

Jul 28·entry $74.82·now $69.49Fresh

-7.12%
since Jul 28
PQUSnow 1.020% of fund6 signals

PQUS · Weight increase · 3d

weight 0.940% → 1.000% (+0.060 pp)·stock down 8.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 22·entry $68.47·now $69.49Fresh

+1.49%
since Aug 22

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.940% → 0.980% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 8.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $66.09·now $69.49Drifting

+5.14%
since Aug 21

PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 1.010% → 0.950% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 10.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 14·entry $65.70·now $69.49

+5.77%
since Aug 14

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.010% → 0.960% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 7.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 13·entry $65.08·now $69.49

+6.78%
since Aug 13

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 4.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 31·entry $68.33·now $69.49Fresh

+1.70%
since Jul 31

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 1.3% in the 30 days before

Jul 24·entry $72.99·now $69.49

-4.80%
since Jul 24
LQAInow 0.540% of fund2 signals

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.530% → 0.500% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 9.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 11·entry $65.03·now $69.49

+6.86%
since Aug 11

LQAI · New entry · 1d

stock down 6.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 6·entry $67.75·now $69.49Drifting

+2.57%
since Aug 6
AIEQnow 0.050% of fund7 signals

AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d

weight 0.990% → 0.050% (-0.940 pp)·stock up 1.9% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $69.57·now $69.49

-0.11%
since Sep 1

AIEQ · Weight increase · 3d

weight 0.910% → 0.970% (+0.060 pp)·stock down 8.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $66.09·now $69.49Drifting

+5.14%
since Aug 21

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.910% → 0.950% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 7.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $66.94·now $69.49Drifting

+3.81%
since Aug 20

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 0.990% → 0.920% (-0.070 pp)·stock down 7.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 13·entry $65.08·now $69.49

+6.78%
since Aug 13

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.990% → 0.930% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 8.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 12·entry $64.38·now $69.49

+7.94%
since Aug 12

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 4.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 8·entry $65.54·now $69.49Drifting

+6.03%
since Aug 8

AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d

stock down 4.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 2·entry $68.26·now $69.49

+1.80%
since Aug 2

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of Aug 9

Some AI ETFs, such as AIEQ, PQUS, and LQAI, have shown recent activity in increasing or initiating positions in Altria, indicating a bullish or neutral short-term outlook. This contrasts with the framework's "Fail" verdict, which identifies fundamental concerns regarding capital allocation, financial health, and margin of safety.

  • Circle of CompetenceThe tobacco industry, while facing secular decline in traditional products, exhibits stable pricing power and cash flow characteristics that allow for reasonably predictable long-term projections.
  • Economic MoatAltria benefits from powerful brand equity, particularly with Marlboro, and substantial regulatory and distribution barriers to entry, providing an enduring economic moat.
  • ManagementDespite a history of returning capital, management's past M&A decisions, such as the significant write-downs from the JUUL investment, demonstrate a lack of consistent capital allocation discipline.
  • Financial HealthThe provided single-year ROE is exceptionally high, raising concerns about undue leverage without further context, and the lack of data on 10-year average ROE, operating margin trends, and detailed debt metrics prevents a confident assessment of robust financial health.
  • Margin of SafetyThe provided valuation multiples (PER 14.31, PBR 26.84) do not clearly indicate a defensible discount to a conservative estimate of intrinsic value, thus failing the margin of safety criterion.

Altria Group demonstrates predictable unit economics and a strong brand moat. However, concerns over management's capital allocation track record, particularly costly M&A, combine with an inability to fully assess financial health due to incomplete data and the absence of a clear margin of safety, resulting in an overall "Fail" verdict. This indicates that despite its enduring business characteristics, the company does not meet all the stringent criteria of this value-investing framework.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.