LQAI · Exit · 1d
weight 0.330% → 0 (exited)·stock down 13.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $119.05·now $122.37
+2.79%
since Aug 6
NRG
DefensiveNRG ENERGY INC
NRG Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy and home services company in the United States and Canada. It operates through the Texas, East, West/Other, Vivint Smart Home, and Corporate Activities segments. The company offers retail electricity, energy management, demand response and virtual power plant programs, carbon offsets, smart home security, and automation services.
Close · 3M
-20.05%
Held by 0 AI ETFs
None of the tracked AI ETFs currently hold this name.
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals7
Win rate0% (0/7)
Avg buy return-16.88%
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.310% → 0.340% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 3.9% in the 30 days before
Jul 23·entry $142.99·now $122.37Fresh
-14.42%
since Jul 23
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.330% → 0.310% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 2.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 17·entry $129.11·now $122.37
-5.22%
since Jul 17
LQAI · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.330% (new)·stock up 3.5% in the 30 days before
Jul 7·entry $138.01·now $122.37Fresh
-11.33%
since Jul 7
AMOM · Exit · 1d
weight 1.080% → 0 (exited)·stock down 12.9% in the 30 days before
Jun 2·entry $133.51·now $122.37
-8.34%
since Jun 2
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.170% → 1.080% (-0.090 pp)·stock down 16.8% in the 30 days before
Jun 1·entry $129.47·now $122.37
-5.48%
since Jun 1
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.200% → 1.170% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 13.8% in the 30 days before
May 27·entry $138.00·now $122.37
-11.33%
since May 27
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.110% → 1.200% (+0.090 pp)·stock down 8.5% in the 30 days before
May 21·entry $136.92·now $122.37Fresh
-10.63%
since May 21
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.150% → 1.110% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 21.3% in the 30 days before
May 19·entry $123.71·now $122.37
-1.08%
since May 19
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.150% → 1.120% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 25.2% in the 30 days before
May 18·entry $125.50·now $122.37
-2.49%
since May 18
AMOM · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 1.410% → 1.180% (-0.230 pp)·stock down 16.3% in the 30 days before
May 11·entry $137.30·now $122.37
-10.87%
since May 11
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.410% → 1.210% (-0.200 pp)·stock down 14.6% in the 30 days before
May 8·entry $138.11·now $122.37
-11.40%
since May 8
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.410% → 1.270% (-0.140 pp)·stock down 11.5% in the 30 days before
May 7·entry $141.86·now $122.37
-13.74%
since May 7
AMOM · Sudden change · 1d
weight 0.950% → 1.410% (+0.460 pp)·stock up 1.4% in the 30 days before
May 4·entry $154.82·now $122.37
-20.96%
since May 4
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.000% → 0.940% (-0.060 pp)·stock up 5.5% in the 30 days before
Apr 29·entry $149.01·now $122.37
-17.88%
since Apr 29
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.950% → 1.000% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 5.8% in the 30 days before
Apr 24·entry $159.81·now $122.37Fresh
-23.43%
since Apr 24
AMOM · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 1.120% → 0.950% (-0.170 pp)·stock down 1.4% in the 30 days before
Apr 22·entry $149.60·now $122.37
-18.20%
since Apr 22
AMOM · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 1.120% → 0.960% (-0.160 pp)·stock up 2.8% in the 30 days before
Apr 21·entry $149.86·now $122.37
-18.34%
since Apr 21
-22.15%
since Apr 20
-27.04%
since Apr 17
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 10.5% in the 30 days before
Apr 15·entry $168.45·now $122.37Fresh
-27.36%
since Apr 15
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 6.6% in the 30 days before
Apr 2·entry $152.69·now $122.37Fresh
-19.86%
since Apr 2
-16.27%
since Mar 31
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Too hard to callas of May 1
The AI ETF AMOM has shown a trend of decreasing its weight in NRG Energy Inc. This action aligns with the framework's 'Too Hard' verdict, suggesting that the complexity and unpredictability of NRG's unit economics might also be a concern for algorithmic strategies. While QRFT holds a small position, AMOM's recent trend indicates a cautious or exiting stance.
- Circle of CompetenceThe extremely high price-to-book ratio (PBR) for a utilities sector company, coupled with its likely exposure to competitive energy markets, indicates unit economics that are genuinely unpredictable for reliable long-term cash flow projections.
- Economic MoatThe company fails the circle of competence criterion, so a durable economic moat cannot be assessed.
- ManagementThe company fails the circle of competence criterion, so management quality cannot be assessed.
- Financial HealthThe company fails the circle of competence criterion, so financial health cannot be assessed.
- Margin of SafetyThe company fails the circle of competence criterion, so a margin of safety cannot be assessed.
NRG Energy Inc. is deemed 'Too Hard' to evaluate under the value investing framework primarily due to concerns about its circle of competence. The unusually high price-to-book ratio for a utilities company, combined with its likely exposure to volatile energy markets, makes reliable 10-year cash flow projections challenging. This unpredictability prevents a deeper assessment of its economic moat, management, financial health, or margin of safety.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.