ODFL · OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE INC

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Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. The company offers regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services, as well as expedited transportation services. It also provides various value-added services, including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting.

Close · 3M

-15.72%

Held by 1 AI ETF

AIEQ1.520%

as of Sep 4

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals2

Win rate0% (0/2)

Avg buy return-12.39%

AIEQnow 1.520% of fund8 signals

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.660% → 1.520% (-0.140 pp)·stock down 12.1% in the 30 days before

Sep 4·entry $185.87·now $185.87

0.00%

since Sep 4

AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d

weight 0.320% → 1.660% (+1.340 pp)·stock down 11.6% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $187.01·now $185.87

-0.61%

since Sep 1

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.350% → 0.330% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 7.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 12·entry $212.55·now $185.87

-12.55%

since Aug 12

AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d

weight 0.630% → 0.120% (-0.510 pp)·stock up 7.5% in the 30 days before

May 30·entry $228.53·now $185.87

-18.67%

since May 30

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.610% → 0.630% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 0.4% in the 30 days before

May 28·entry $220.86·now $185.87Fresh

-15.84%

since May 28

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.550% → 0.590% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 4.9% in the 30 days before

May 17·entry $204.13·now $185.87Fresh

-8.95%

since May 17

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.580% → 0.550% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 3.1% in the 30 days before

May 14·entry $198.81·now $185.87

-6.51%

since May 14

AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d

weight 0.220% → 0.610% (+0.390 pp)·stock up 3.1% in the 30 days before

May 3·entry $192.18·now $185.87

-3.28%

since May 3

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of May 18

AI ETFs show mixed to slightly positive activity, with QRFT initiating a new position and AIEQ experiencing recent fluctuations but a net increase in weight over the recent period. This accumulation by AI ETFs contrasts with the value investing framework's 'Fail' verdict, which is primarily driven by valuation concerns and insufficient historical financial data to meet strict criteria.

Circle of CompetenceThe established Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) freight industry allows for reasonably predictable unit economics and long-term cash flow projections for a dominant operator.
Economic MoatOld Dominion Freight Line benefits from a strong network effect and scale-driven cost advantage in the LTL industry, creating a durable competitive moat.
ManagementThe provided data does not offer sufficient information to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game.
Financial HealthWhile the most recent ROE of 23.42% is strong, the provided data is insufficient to assess the 10-year average ROE, historical operating margins, debt levels, or owner earnings stability as required by the framework.
Margin of SafetyCurrent valuation multiples, including a PER of 41.94 and EV/EBITDA of 41.26, indicate a high price that leaves no discernible margin of safety relative to a conservative estimate of intrinsic value.

Old Dominion Freight Line operates in a predictable industry with a strong economic moat, aligning well with the initial stages of the value investing framework. However, a comprehensive assessment of financial health is hampered by insufficient historical data, and the current high valuation multiples indicate a distinct lack of margin of safety. Consequently, the company fails to meet the stringent criteria for investment under this framework despite its qualitative strengths.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.