as of Sep 3
PG
DefensivePROCTER & GAMBLE
The Procter & Gamble Company provides branded consumer packaged goods worldwide. It operates through Beauty; Grooming; Health Care; Fabric & Home Care; and Baby, Feminine & Family Care segments. The company offers conditioners, shampoos, styling aids, and treatments under the Head & Shoulders, Herbal Essences, Pantene, and Rejoice brands; antiperspirants, deodorants, and personal cleansing products under the Native, Old Spice, Safeguard, and Secret brands; and facial moisturizers, cleaners, and treatments under the Olay and SK-II brands.
Close · 3M
-0.85%
Held by 2 AI ETFs
as of Sep 4
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 2.882% → 2.950% (+0.068 pp)·stock down 0.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $147.64·now $146.92Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.882% → 2.943% (+0.061 pp)·stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 31·entry $145.12·now $146.92Fresh
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.955% → 2.882% (-0.073 pp)·stock down 2.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $143.14·now $146.92
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.955% → 2.905% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 2.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $145.00·now $146.92
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.885% → 2.955% (+0.069 pp)·stock down 0.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $146.60·now $146.92Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 2.868% → 2.895% (+0.028 pp)·stock down 2.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $144.38·now $146.92Fresh
AIVL · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 2.940% → 2.868% (-0.072 pp)·stock down 4.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 17·entry $143.12·now $146.92
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 2.940% → 2.869% (-0.071 pp)·stock down 4.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 14·entry $144.55·now $146.92
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 2.940% → 2.873% (-0.067 pp)·stock down 2.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $144.26·now $146.92
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 2.940% → 2.890% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 1.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 12·entry $144.08·now $146.92
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 3.020% → 2.919% (-0.102 pp)·stock down 1.6% in the 30 days before
Jul 29·entry $146.10·now $146.92
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 3.020% → 2.944% (-0.077 pp)·stock down 0.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 28·entry $148.88·now $146.92
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 3.020% → 2.958% (-0.062 pp)·stock down 3.0% in the 30 days before
Jul 24·entry $147.41·now $146.92
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 3.031% → 3.003% (-0.028 pp)·stock down 1.5% in the 30 days before
Jul 21·entry $148.10·now $146.92
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 3.031% → 3.014% (-0.017 pp)·stock down 0.9% in the 30 days before
Jul 20·entry $149.13·now $146.92
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
weight 1.240% → 0.050% (-1.190 pp)·stock up 0.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $146.21·now $146.92
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.270% → 1.230% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 0.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $143.78·now $146.92
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.270% → 1.250% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 2.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $143.14·now $146.92
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.220% → 1.250% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 4.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $142.97·now $146.92Drifting
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
weight 0.150% → 1.250% (+1.100 pp)·stock down 2.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 2·entry $144.97·now $146.92
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Recent AI ETF activity shows AIVL and AIEQ trending towards weight decreases, and QRFT completely exited its position in Procter & Gamble. This aligns with the value-investing framework's 'Fail' verdict, as the AI funds appear to be reducing or eliminating exposure, possibly also perceiving a lack of compelling value at current prices.
- Circle of CompetenceProcter & Gamble's diverse portfolio of essential household and personal care products provides stable demand and predictable earning power, aligning with the circle of competence.
- Economic MoatThe company benefits from strong brand power across numerous well-established products and a significant scale-driven cost advantage in manufacturing and distribution, creating a durable economic moat.
- ManagementThe provided financial data and activity trends do not offer sufficient information to definitively assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or specific 'skin in the game'.
- Financial HealthWith a strong current ROE of 31.25%, P&G demonstrates excellent profitability, and as a mature consumer staples giant, it likely maintains stable operating margins and consistently positive owner earnings.
- Margin of SafetyDespite being a wonderful company, its current P/E ratio of 20.72, combined with modest revenue growth of 1.08% YoY, does not suggest a sufficient margin of safety at its current price.
Procter & Gamble fits well within the circle of competence and possesses a strong economic moat due to its brand power and scale. While its financial health is robust with high returns on equity, the current valuation, indicated by a high P/E relative to its low growth rate, does not offer a sufficient margin of safety for a new investment. This leads to an overall 'Fail' verdict despite the underlying quality of the business.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.