AIVL0.239%
as of Sep 3
PM
DefensivePHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL
Philip Morris International Inc. operates as a tobacco company. The company offers cigarettes and smoke-free products, including heat-not-burn, e-vapor, and oral nicotine products under the IQOS, VEEV, and ZYN brands; and consumer accessories, such as lighters and matches. It also offers wellness products.
Close · 3M
+13.38%
Held by 2 AI ETFs
AIEQ0.050%
as of Sep 4
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals15
Win rate7% (1/15)
Avg buy return-1.99%
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.249% → 0.244% (-0.005 pp)·stock down 4.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $190.48·now $186.17
-2.26%
since Aug 27
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.235% → 0.247% (+0.012 pp)·stock down 3.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $194.10·now $186.17Fresh
-4.09%
since Aug 26
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.240% → 0.249% (+0.008 pp)·stock down 0.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $193.92·now $186.17Fresh
-4.00%
since Aug 25
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.239% → 0.246% (+0.006 pp)·stock down 0.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $191.46·now $186.17Fresh
-2.76%
since Aug 24
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.238% → 0.242% (+0.004 pp)·stock down 1.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $188.23·now $186.17Fresh
-1.09%
since Aug 21
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.238% → 0.246% (+0.008 pp)·stock down 1.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $191.52·now $186.17Fresh
-2.79%
since Aug 20
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.235% → 0.242% (+0.007 pp)·stock up 1.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $189.93·now $186.17Fresh
-1.98%
since Aug 19
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.238% → 0.240% (+0.003 pp)·stock up 0.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 14·entry $190.39·now $186.17Fresh
-2.22%
since Aug 14
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.258% → 0.241% (-0.016 pp)·stock up 2.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 3·entry $187.41·now $186.17
-0.66%
since Aug 3
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.232% → 0.253% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 4.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 17·entry $192.98·now $186.17Fresh
-3.53%
since Jul 17
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.232% → 0.247% (+0.014 pp)·stock up 4.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 16·entry $189.84·now $186.17Fresh
-1.93%
since Jul 16
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.239% → 0.232% (-0.006 pp)·stock down 2.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 14·entry $175.95·now $186.17
+5.81%
since Jul 14
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.235% → 0.248% (+0.013 pp)·stock up 4.9% in the 30 days before
Jul 8·entry $187.07·now $186.17Fresh
-0.48%
since Jul 8
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.235% → 0.246% (+0.011 pp)·stock up 7.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 7·entry $187.79·now $186.17Fresh
-0.86%
since Jul 7
+0.76%
since Jul 6
+7.51%
since Jun 22
+4.36%
since Jun 18
+7.82%
since Jun 1
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock down 0.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $187.15·now $186.17Fresh
-0.52%
since Sep 1
LQAI · Exit · 1d
weight 0.150% → 0 (exited)·stock up 0.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $188.05·now $186.17
-1.00%
since Aug 6
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.170% → 0.150% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 7.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 31·entry $190.82·now $186.17
-2.44%
since Jul 31
LQAI · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.140% → 0.160% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 4.8% in the 30 days before
Jul 17·entry $192.98·now $186.17Fresh
-3.53%
since Jul 17
LQAI · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.150% (new)·stock up 7.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 7·entry $187.79·now $186.17Fresh
-0.86%
since Jul 7
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of Aug 23
AI ETFs like AIVL are showing gradual accumulation of Philip Morris International shares, indicating a perceived positive outlook or momentum. This contrasts with our framework's 'Fail' verdict, which is primarily due to insufficient financial data to make a confident assessment of long-term health and intrinsic value, rather than a fundamental negative view of the business itself.
- Circle of CompetenceThe tobacco industry, despite evolving product categories and regulations, exhibits stable unit economics and consumer behavior, making long-term cash flows reasonably predictable.
- Economic MoatPhilip Morris International possesses a durable economic moat driven by powerful brand recognition, addictive products leading to high switching costs, and extensive global distribution networks.
- ManagementWithout detailed qualitative information on management's communication, capital allocation decisions, and insider ownership, this stage cannot be fully assessed.
- Financial HealthThe provided financials are insufficient to assess a 10-year average ROE, operating margin stability, debt manageability, or owner earnings, making it impossible to confidently evaluate the company's long-term financial health.
- Margin of SafetyLacking an estimate of intrinsic value, it is not possible to determine if the current market price offers a sufficient margin of safety.
While Philip Morris International operates within a predictable circle of competence and benefits from a strong economic moat, critical stages concerning management and financial health cannot be fully evaluated with the provided data. The inability to confirm long-term financial stability, particularly across key metrics like consistent ROE, leads to a 'Fail' verdict under this investment framework.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.