PSX · PHILLIPS 66 · Top AI ETF

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Phillips 66 operates as an integrated downstream energy provider in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties (M&S), and Renewable Fuels. The Midstream segment provides crude oil and refined petroleum product transportation, terminaling, and storage services, as well as natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL) gathering, processing, transportation, fractionation, storage and marketing services.

Close · 3M

+63.44%

Held by 3 AI ETFs

AMOM2.200%

as of Oct 16

PQUS0.230%

as of Oct 23

AIEQ0.060%

as of Oct 26

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals27

Win rate81% (22/27)

Avg buy return+13.70%

AMOMnow 2.200% of fund23 signals

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 1.800% → 2.200% (+0.400 pp)·stock up 6.9% in the 30 days before

Oct 16·entry $293.17·now $283.18Fresh

-3.41%

since Oct 16

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 1.780% → 2.090% (+0.310 pp)·stock up 9.3% in the 30 days before

Oct 15·entry $289.20·now $283.18Fresh

-2.08%

since Oct 15

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 1.800% → 2.120% (+0.320 pp)·stock up 12.2% in the 30 days before

Oct 14·entry $297.29·now $283.18Fresh

-4.75%

since Oct 14

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 1.780% → 2.000% (+0.220 pp)·stock up 13.9% in the 30 days before

Oct 13·entry $292.73·now $283.18Fresh

-3.26%

since Oct 13

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 1.780% → 1.920% (+0.140 pp)·stock up 8.5% in the 30 days before

Oct 12·entry $281.47·now $283.18Fresh

+0.61%

since Oct 12

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.780% → 1.910% (+0.130 pp)·stock up 8.0% in the 30 days before

Oct 8·entry $281.60·now $283.18Fresh

+0.56%

since Oct 8

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0 → 1.800% (new)·stock up 5.9% in the 30 days before

Oct 5·entry $269.72·now $283.18Drifting

+4.99%

since Oct 5

AMOM · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 1.780% (new)·stock up 3.3% in the 30 days before

Oct 2·entry $264.58·now $283.18Drifting

+7.03%

since Oct 2

AMOM · Exit · 1d

weight 2.400% → 0 (exited)·stock up 24.4% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $256.09·now $283.18

+10.58%

since Sep 2

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.270% → 2.400% (+0.130 pp)·stock up 22.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $252.02·now $283.18Chased

+12.36%

since Sep 1

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.250% → 2.310% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 16.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 31·entry $246.58·now $283.18Chased

+14.84%

since Aug 31

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.240% → 2.300% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 15.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $244.01·now $283.18Chased

+16.05%

since Aug 28

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.150% → 2.260% (+0.110 pp)·stock up 17.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $242.23·now $283.18Chased

+16.91%

since Aug 26

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.110% → 2.240% (+0.130 pp)·stock up 14.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 25·entry $236.90·now $283.18Chased

+19.54%

since Aug 25

AMOM · Accumulation · 6d

weight 2.100% → 2.300% (+0.200 pp)·stock up 17.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 24·entry $241.96·now $283.18Chased

+17.04%

since Aug 24

AMOM · Accumulation · 6d

weight 2.050% → 2.270% (+0.220 pp)·stock up 17.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $242.87·now $283.18Chased

+16.60%

since Aug 21

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.100% → 2.250% (+0.150 pp)·stock up 13.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $240.00·now $283.18Chased

+17.99%

since Aug 20

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 14.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 19·entry $242.29·now $283.18Chased

+16.88%

since Aug 19

AMOM · Accumulation · 6d

stock up 16.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 18·entry $243.49·now $283.18Chased

+16.30%

since Aug 18

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 16.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 17·entry $240.55·now $283.18Chased

+17.72%

since Aug 17

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 16.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 14·entry $233.61·now $283.18Chased

+21.22%

since Aug 14

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 13.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 11·entry $224.36·now $283.18Chased

+26.22%

since Aug 11

AMOM · New entry · 1d

stock up 9.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 6·entry $205.52·now $283.18Chased

+37.79%

since Aug 6

PQUSnow 0.230% of fund4 signals

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.220% → 0.240% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 12.2% in the 30 days before

Oct 14·entry $297.29·now $283.18Fresh

-4.75%

since Oct 14

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.300% → 0.270% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 15.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $244.01·now $283.18

+16.05%

since Aug 28

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.280% → 0.300% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 13.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $240.00·now $283.18Chased

+17.99%

since Aug 20

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 18.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 13·entry $232.61·now $283.18Chased

+21.74%

since Aug 13

AIEQnow 0.060% of fund3 signals

AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d

stock up 21.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 2·entry $206.19·now $283.18

+37.34%

since Aug 2

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 21.3% in the 30 days before

Jul 31·entry $211.68·now $283.18Chased

+33.78%

since Jul 31

AIEQ · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 25.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 22·entry $211.41·now $283.18Chased

+33.95%

since Jul 22

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Too hard to callas of Jul 19

The AI ETFs, AIEQ and PQUS, are currently accumulating PHILLIPS 66, signaling a positive outlook or perceived opportunity. In contrast, a Buffett-style framework finds PHILLIPS 66 'Too Hard' to evaluate due to the fundamental unpredictability of its refining operations' unit economics. This suggests a significant divergence in investment philosophy, with the AI possibly focusing on short-term market dynamics while the value-investing approach prioritizes long-term earnings predictability.

Circle of CompetenceThe cyclical nature and high sensitivity to unpredictable commodity prices and crack spreads make long-term cash flow projections for the refining business inherently difficult to forecast within a reliable circle of competence.
Economic MoatAssessment skipped as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
ManagementAssessment skipped as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
Financial HealthAssessment skipped as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
Margin of SafetyAssessment skipped as the company falls outside the circle of competence.

PHILLIPS 66 is deemed 'Too Hard' to evaluate within this value-investing framework primarily because its core refining business is highly susceptible to unpredictable commodity price swings and crack spreads. This volatility prevents a reliable projection of ten-year cash flows, placing it outside the defined circle of competence. Consequently, further stages of analysis, such as identifying an economic moat or assessing management and financial health, cannot be confidently undertaken.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.