Last refreshed: July 21, 2026 (US ET)
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PSX

Defensive

PHILLIPS 66

Energy·Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingYield: Mid (1-3%)

Phillips 66 operates as an integrated downstream energy provider in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties (M&S), and Renewable Fuels. The Midstream segment provides crude oil and refined petroleum product transportation, terminaling, and storage services, as well as natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL) gathering, processing, transportation, fractionation, storage and marketing services.

Close · 3M

+28.10%

PSX · 3M

+28.10%

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Held by 3 AI ETFs

AIEQ1.530%

as of Jul 20

PQUS0.330%

as of Jul 21

QRFT0.170%

as of Jul 8

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals9
Win rate78% (7/9)
Avg buy return+9.99%
AIEQnow 1.530% of fund5 signals

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

Phillips 66, with a price-to-book ratio of 1.79 and a return on equity of 14.72%, also displays a negative revenue growth of -2.39%. This mixed fundamental picture suggests that AIEQ’s IBM Watson NLP engine likely focused on other inputs for its daily ranking, given its broad market, fundamentals-plus-sentiment hybrid style. The stock’s recent ascent to $206.86, marking its 52-week high after a +12.3% return over 30 days, indicates considerable market momentum, aligning with the fund's consecutive weight increases that began on July 14th after three stable days. Watson’s ingestion of news, filings, and social posts would have identified a sustained positive sentiment shift or new catalysts, which EquBot’s risk overlay then translated into higher confidence for this energy company, enabling AIEQ's characteristic daily rebalancing to incrementally adjust its position from 1.38% to 1.53% by July 19th.

weight 1.430% → 1.530% (+0.100 pp)·stock up 20.3% in the 30 days before

Jul 19·entry $208.80·now $208.80Fresh

0.00%
since Jul 19

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

PSX's fundamental metrics, including a PER of 18.46, a PBR of 1.79, and a 14.72% ROE (despite a -2.39% revenue growth), align with AIEQ's broad market, fundamentals-driven selection approach, suggesting the AI identifies underlying value or operational efficiency. Amplify ETFs' EquBot, leveraging IBM Watson NLP across thousands of data points, likely detected accumulating positive sentiment or new fundamental insights for Phillips 66, prompting the consecutive weight increases observed from 1.31% on July 7th to 1.47% by July 15th. This increasing conviction for PSX occurs while the stock trades at $196.16, hovering at 97% of its 52-week high after a 55.1% one-year return, indicating the AI is still finding compelling reasons to add to a strong momentum play even at elevated price levels.

weight 1.380% → 1.470% (+0.090 pp)·stock up 9.3% in the 30 days before

Jul 15·entry $196.16·now $208.80Drifting

+6.44%
since Jul 15

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

AIEQ's weighting in Phillips 66 (PSX) reflects an initial stepped increase from 1.22% to 1.31% between July 1st and 3rd, followed by a multi-day plateau before subsequent daily upward adjustments culminating at 1.39% by July 9th. This specific, incremental accumulation in a stock currently trading at its 52-week high of $189.82, after a 58.0% one-year return, is characteristic of AIEQ's methodology. IBM Watson NLP likely identified a consistent, positive sentiment trajectory across its ingested data—news, social posts, or analyst notes—leading to a steady improvement in PSX's daily ranking. EquBot's risk overlay, integrating these daily rankings with AIEQ's continuous rebalancing of its 140-180 stock portfolio, enabled this measured, consecutive addition of PSX shares, even as the stock demonstrated significant recent price appreciation.

weight 1.310% → 1.390% (+0.080 pp)·stock up 3.5% in the 30 days before

Jul 9·entry $189.82·now $208.80Drifting

+10.00%
since Jul 9

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

PSX's Price-to-Earnings ratio of 16.97, Price-to-Book of 1.79, and a Return on Equity of 14.72% provide the fundamental backdrop for AIEQ's broad market, fundamentals + sentiment hybrid style. The sudden inclusion of PSX with a 1.22% weight on July 1st, 2026, following zero allocations, suggests the IBM Watson NLP engine detected a material shift in sentiment or news interpretation. This move occurred as PSX traded at $176.42, 94% of its 52-week high, potentially with the system interpreting the recent -1.6% 30-day return as a tactical entry point before progressively increasing the allocation to 1.31% by July 3rd.

weight 0 → 1.310% (new)·stock down 3.4% in the 30 days before

Jul 3·entry $177.33·now $208.80Chased

+17.75%
since Jul 3

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

The immediate allocation of 1.2200% to Phillips 66 on July 1st, following a period of zero weighting, reflects a decisive new entry pattern. This abrupt move aligns with AIEQ's strategy of daily rebalancing and high portfolio turnover, where IBM Watson's extensive NLP system rapidly processes a vast array of inputs, from news to social posts. Despite PSX trading at 93% of its 52-week high, its recent 30-day price decline of -4.3% might have, in conjunction with its PER of 16.97 and ROE of 14.72%, presented a compelling opportunity for the fund’s fundamentals-plus-sentiment hybrid model. The system likely identified a convergence of positive signals within the Energy sector, turning a temporary dip in an otherwise upward trajectory into an actionable broad market position.

weight 0 → 1.220% (new)·stock down 3.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 1·entry $174.50·now $208.80Chased

+19.66%
since Jul 1
PQUSnow 0.330% of fund4 signals

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

Pictet Asset Management's AI ranking system, governing PQUS's ~165 US large-cap holdings, instigated a series of incremental weight increases for Phillips 66. This measured accumulation, occurring over several days rather than in a single large rebalance, reflects the AI's continuous evaluation of its US large-cap universe, allowing for fine-tuning even outside major portfolio overhauls. Despite PSX's current valuation at 100% of its 52-week high, the AI's models are likely responding to the company's strong price trajectory, demonstrated by a 1-year return of +63.7%. The fund's layered sector-balance and concentration rules permitted these gradual adjustments, indicating a sustained positive signal for PSX from the AI's ranking logic within its energy sector allocation.

weight 0.310% → 0.330% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 20.3% in the 30 days before

Jul 19·entry $208.80·now $208.80Fresh

0.00%
since Jul 19

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

PQUS adjusted its Phillips 66 (PSX) weighting with a gradual, two-step increase from 0.30% to 0.32% in mid-July 2026, after a preceding week of stable allocation. This measured upward shift aligns with Pictet Asset Management's AI ranking system, which likely registered sustained positive momentum in PSX, evidenced by its 30-day return of +7.4% and a 1-year return of +55.1%. Even at 97% of its 52-week high, the consistent short-term gains, alongside the AI’s sector-balance and concentration rules for its ~165 US large-cap portfolio, likely prompted these incremental adjustments, despite PSX's reported -2.39% revenue growth. The fund's characteristic of measured turnover and periodic, rather than daily, rebalancing further explains why these fractional, consecutive increases were observed as the AI system refined its view on the energy stock's continued ascent.

weight 0.300% → 0.320% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 16.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 16·entry $201.32·now $208.80Drifting

+3.72%
since Jul 16

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.290% → 0.310% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 2.2% in the 30 days before

Jun 4·entry $184.14·now $208.80Chased

+13.39%
since Jun 4

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

Pictet Asset Management's PQUS, guided by its AI ranking system, adjusted its position in Phillips 66 (PSX), reflecting the consecutive weight decrease from 0.31% to 0.29% between May 21st and 23rd, 2026. This action aligns with a periodic rebalance within its portfolio of approximately 165 US large-cap equities, where the AI system continually evaluates holdings against sector-balance and concentration rules. The system likely factored in PSX's -2.39% revenue growth, signaling a potential concern in fundamental trajectory despite the stock's strong recent price performance. Such a measured reduction suggests the AI's objective assessment of various metrics led to a slight re-ranking of PSX, causing the fund to trim its exposure.

weight 0.310% → 0.290% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 11.4% in the 30 days before

May 23·entry $173.88·now $208.80

+20.08%
since May 23
QRFTnow 0.170% of fund3 signals

QRFT · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.170% → 0.150% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 0.9% in the 30 days before

Apr 9·entry $161.07·now $208.80

+29.63%
since Apr 9

QRFT · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.180% → 0.160% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 3.1% in the 30 days before

Apr 8·entry $168.00·now $208.80

+24.29%
since Apr 8

QRFT · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.170% (new)·stock up 12.9% in the 30 days before

Mar 20·entry $175.47·now $208.80Chased

+18.99%
since Mar 20

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Too hard to callas of Jul 19

The AI ETFs, AIEQ and PQUS, are currently accumulating PHILLIPS 66, signaling a positive outlook or perceived opportunity. In contrast, a Buffett-style framework finds PHILLIPS 66 'Too Hard' to evaluate due to the fundamental unpredictability of its refining operations' unit economics. This suggests a significant divergence in investment philosophy, with the AI possibly focusing on short-term market dynamics while the value-investing approach prioritizes long-term earnings predictability.

  • Circle of CompetenceThe cyclical nature and high sensitivity to unpredictable commodity prices and crack spreads make long-term cash flow projections for the refining business inherently difficult to forecast within a reliable circle of competence.
  • Economic MoatAssessment skipped as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
  • ManagementAssessment skipped as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
  • Financial HealthAssessment skipped as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
  • Margin of SafetyAssessment skipped as the company falls outside the circle of competence.

PHILLIPS 66 is deemed 'Too Hard' to evaluate within this value-investing framework primarily because its core refining business is highly susceptible to unpredictable commodity price swings and crack spreads. This volatility prevents a reliable projection of ten-year cash flows, placing it outside the defined circle of competence. Consequently, further stages of analysis, such as identifying an economic moat or assessing management and financial health, cannot be confidently undertaken.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.