as of Sep 1
PSX
DefensivePHILLIPS 66
Phillips 66 operates as an integrated downstream energy provider in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties (M&S), and Renewable Fuels. The Midstream segment provides crude oil and refined petroleum product transportation, terminaling, and storage services, as well as natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL) gathering, processing, transportation, fractionation, storage and marketing services.
Close · 3M
+55.45%
Held by 2 AI ETFs
as of Sep 4
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.300% → 0.270% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 15.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $244.01·now $255.09
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.280% → 0.300% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 13.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $240.00·now $255.09Drifting
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.300% → 0.330% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 18.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 13·entry $232.61·now $255.09Drifting
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 20.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 19·entry $208.80·now $255.09Chased
PQUS · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 16.2% in the 30 days before
Jul 16·entry $201.32·now $255.09Chased
AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d
weight 1.570% → 0.050% (-1.520 pp)·stock up 21.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 2·entry $206.19·now $255.09
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.530% → 1.570% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 21.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 31·entry $211.68·now $255.09Chased
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 20.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 19·entry $208.80·now $255.09Chased
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 9.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 15·entry $196.16·now $255.09Chased
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 3.4% in the 30 days before
Jul 3·entry $177.33·now $255.09Chased
AMOM · Exit · 1d
weight 2.400% → 0 (exited)·stock up 24.4% in the 30 days before
Sep 2·entry $256.09·now $255.09
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.270% → 2.400% (+0.130 pp)·stock up 22.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 1·entry $252.02·now $255.09Fresh
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.250% → 2.310% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 16.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 31·entry $246.58·now $255.09Drifting
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.240% → 2.300% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 15.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 28·entry $244.01·now $255.09Drifting
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.150% → 2.260% (+0.110 pp)·stock up 17.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $242.23·now $255.09Drifting
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.110% → 2.240% (+0.130 pp)·stock up 14.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $236.90·now $255.09Drifting
AMOM · Accumulation · 6d
weight 2.100% → 2.300% (+0.200 pp)·stock up 17.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $241.96·now $255.09Drifting
AMOM · Accumulation · 6d
weight 2.050% → 2.270% (+0.220 pp)·stock up 17.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $242.87·now $255.09Drifting
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.100% → 2.250% (+0.150 pp)·stock up 13.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 20·entry $240.00·now $255.09Drifting
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 2.020% → 2.240% (+0.220 pp)·stock up 14.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 19·entry $242.29·now $255.09Drifting
AMOM · Accumulation · 6d
weight 1.920% → 2.240% (+0.320 pp)·stock up 16.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 18·entry $243.49·now $255.09Drifting
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.940% → 2.150% (+0.210 pp)·stock up 16.3% in the 30 days before
Aug 17·entry $240.55·now $255.09Drifting
AMOM · Accumulation · 5d
weight 1.940% → 2.110% (+0.170 pp)·stock up 16.0% in the 30 days before
Aug 14·entry $233.61·now $255.09Drifting
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.920% → 2.100% (+0.180 pp)·stock up 13.1% in the 30 days before
Aug 11·entry $224.36·now $255.09Chased
AMOM · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 1.940% (new)·stock up 9.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $205.52·now $255.09Chased
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
The AI ETFs, AIEQ and PQUS, are currently accumulating PHILLIPS 66, signaling a positive outlook or perceived opportunity. In contrast, a Buffett-style framework finds PHILLIPS 66 'Too Hard' to evaluate due to the fundamental unpredictability of its refining operations' unit economics. This suggests a significant divergence in investment philosophy, with the AI possibly focusing on short-term market dynamics while the value-investing approach prioritizes long-term earnings predictability.
- Circle of CompetenceThe cyclical nature and high sensitivity to unpredictable commodity prices and crack spreads make long-term cash flow projections for the refining business inherently difficult to forecast within a reliable circle of competence.
- Economic MoatAssessment skipped as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- ManagementAssessment skipped as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- Financial HealthAssessment skipped as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
- Margin of SafetyAssessment skipped as the company falls outside the circle of competence.
PHILLIPS 66 is deemed 'Too Hard' to evaluate within this value-investing framework primarily because its core refining business is highly susceptible to unpredictable commodity price swings and crack spreads. This volatility prevents a reliable projection of ten-year cash flows, placing it outside the defined circle of competence. Consequently, further stages of analysis, such as identifying an economic moat or assessing management and financial health, cannot be confidently undertaken.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.