as of Oct 16
PWR
DefensiveQUANTA SERVICES INC
Quanta Services, Inc. offers infrastructure solutions for the electric and gas utility, power generation, load center, manufacturing, communications, pipeline, and energy industries. The company's Electric Infrastructure Solutions segment engages in the design, procurement, construction, upgrade, repair, and maintenance of electric power transmission and distribution infrastructure and substation facilities; installation, maintenance, and upgrade of electric power infrastructure projects; installation of smart grid technologies on electric power networks; and design, installation, maintenance, and repair of commercial and industrial wirings.
Close · 3M
-24.56%
Held by 2 AI ETFs
as of Oct 23
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.790% → 1.830% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 6.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 12·entry $694.79·now $546.43Fresh
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.810% → 1.850% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 5.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 25·entry $649.13·now $546.43Fresh
AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 1.860% → 1.810% (-0.050 pp)·stock up 2.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 23·entry $634.90·now $546.43
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.860% → 1.830% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 0.5% in the 30 days before
Sep 22·entry $642.63·now $546.43
AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 1.920% → 1.870% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 10.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 15·entry $613.35·now $546.43
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
weight 1.840% → 1.920% (+0.080 pp)·stock down 4.0% in the 30 days before
Sep 11·entry $650.58·now $546.43Fresh
AMOM · Weight decrease · 6d
weight 2.200% → 1.950% (-0.250 pp)·stock down 2.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $603.78·now $546.43
AMOM · Weight decrease · 5d
weight 2.200% → 2.000% (-0.200 pp)·stock down 1.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $616.78·now $546.43
AMOM · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 2.200% → 2.040% (-0.160 pp)·stock down 2.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $639.34·now $546.43
AMOM · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 14.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 17·entry $722.31·now $546.43Fresh
AIUP · Exit · 1d
weight 4.370% → 0 (exited)·stock up 2.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 16·entry $631.86·now $546.43
AIUP · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 4.770% → 4.480% (-0.290 pp)·stock up 10.7% in the 30 days before
Oct 13·entry $688.88·now $546.43
AIUP · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 4.770% (new)·stock up 14.1% in the 30 days before
Oct 9·entry $705.94·now $546.43Fresh
AIUP · Exit · 1d
weight 4.580% → 0 (exited)·stock down 14.3% in the 30 days before
Sep 16·entry $619.28·now $546.43
AIUP · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 4.580% (new)·stock down 10.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 15·entry $613.35·now $546.43Fresh
AIUP · Exit · 1d
weight 4.420% → 0 (exited)·stock up 4.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 26·entry $616.73·now $546.43
AIUP · Sudden change · 1d
weight 4.150% → 4.570% (+0.420 pp)·stock down 2.2% in the 30 days before
Aug 21·entry $639.34·now $546.43
LQAI · Exit · 1d
weight 0.360% → 0 (exited)·stock up 8.1% in the 30 days before
Sep 29·entry $651.79·now $546.43
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.370% → 0.350% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 10.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 15·entry $613.35·now $546.43
LQAI · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.320% → 0.290% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 2.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 25·entry $603.78·now $546.43
LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.320% → 0.300% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 1.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 24·entry $616.78·now $546.43
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
AMOM is holding and slowly adding (1.79% weight, a small increase on 2026-10-12), which is a momentum bet that conflicts with a valuation-based Fail. AIUP entered at 4.77% on 2026-10-09 and fully exited by 2026-10-16, a quick reversal that suggests the AIs lack conviction and agrees with the framework's caution on price. QRFT and PQUS hold only tiny positions.
- Circle of CompetenceQuanta's electric and gas utility construction, maintenance and grid-upgrade work is a repeatable, contract-based business whose earning power is reasonably projectable, even though the current AI and data-center demand surge adds some cyclicality.
- Economic MoatScale, a skilled-labor base that is hard to replicate, and long-standing master service agreements with utilities give it a real but moderate moat, though it is weaker than a brand or network-effect moat because construction bidding is competitive.
- ManagementShareholder-letter candor, insider ownership and capital allocation record cannot be judged from the data provided, though the company has grown through many acquisitions that would need scrutiny.
- Financial HealthROE of 14.74% sits below the 15% threshold, and the framework also requires stable margins and consistently positive owner earnings, which are not demonstrated here and are hard to establish for a contractor with heavy equipment capex and thin margins.
- Margin of SafetyA PER of 71, an EV/EBITDA of nearly 44 and a PBR of 6.4 price in years of AI-driven grid-spending growth for a contractor, leaving no margin of safety even if the business is good.
Quanta is a competent, well-positioned grid and utility contractor that sits inside the circle of competence and has a moderate moat. It fails on a sub-15% ROE and, above all, on a valuation that offers no margin of safety, while management quality is unproven from the data given. A Buffett-style read would admire the business but wait for a much lower price.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.