RSG · REPUBLIC SERVICES INC

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Republic Services, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, offers environmental services in the United States and Canada. It is involved in the collection and processing of recyclable, solid waste, and industrial waste materials; transportation and disposal of non-hazardous and hazardous waste streams; and other environmental solutions. Its residential collection services include curbside collection of material for transport to transfer stations, landfills, recycling centers, and organics processing facilities; supply of recycling and waste containers; and renting of compactors.

Close · 3M

+6.32%

Held by 3 AI ETFs

LQAI0.320%

as of Sep 2

AIEQ0.050%

as of Sep 4

PQUS0.020%

as of Sep 1

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals10

Win rate100% (10/10)

Avg buy return+6.56%

LQAInow 0.320% of fund2 signals

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.300% → 0.320% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 1.1% in the 30 days before

Aug 19·entry $221.04·now $225.12Fresh

+1.85%

since Aug 19

LQAI · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.310% (new)·stock down 1.8% in the 30 days before

Aug 6·entry $209.59·now $225.12Drifting

+7.41%

since Aug 6

AIEQnow 0.050% of fund11 signals

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.050% (new)·stock up 2.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 2·entry $209.62·now $225.12Drifting

+7.39%

since Aug 2

AIEQ · Exit · 1d

weight 0.250% → 0 (exited)·stock up 6.9% in the 30 days before

Jul 1·entry $214.71·now $225.12

+4.85%

since Jul 1

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.240% → 0.260% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 2.8% in the 30 days before

Jun 11·entry $208.05·now $225.12Drifting

+8.20%

since Jun 11

AIEQ · Sudden change · 1d

weight 0.610% → 0.230% (-0.380 pp)·stock down 3.8% in the 30 days before

May 30·entry $200.83·now $225.12

+12.09%

since May 30

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.660% → 0.620% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 2.4% in the 30 days before

May 24·entry $207.05·now $225.12

+8.73%

since May 24

AIEQ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 0.590% → 0.630% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 2.4% in the 30 days before

May 22·entry $208.93·now $225.12Drifting

+7.75%

since May 22

AIEQ · Accumulation · 5d

weight 0.600% → 0.660% (+0.060 pp)·stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before

May 20·entry $212.20·now $225.12Drifting

+6.09%

since May 20

AIEQ · Weight increase · 3d

weight 0.590% → 0.630% (+0.040 pp)·stock down 0.6% in the 30 days before

May 17·entry $214.52·now $225.12Drifting

+4.94%

since May 17

AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.590% → 0.620% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 0.6% in the 30 days before

May 15·entry $208.32·now $225.12Drifting

+8.06%

since May 15

AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.640% → 0.610% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 6.9% in the 30 days before

May 7·entry $201.55·now $225.12

+11.69%

since May 7

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.640% (new)·stock down 6.4% in the 30 days before

May 3·entry $206.55·now $225.12Drifting

+8.99%

since May 3

PQUSnow 0.020% of fund1 signal

PQUS · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.020% (new)·stock down 0.8% in the 30 days before

Aug 7·entry $214.56·now $225.12Drifting

+4.92%

since Aug 7

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of May 18

AI ETFs show mixed signals for Republic Services, with AIEQ indicating an accumulating trend through recent weight increases, while QRFT has exited its position. This mixed AI sentiment conflicts with a Buffett-style 'Fail' verdict, which is driven by high valuation multiples and insufficient data to fully assess financial health, precluding an investment based on a margin of safety.

Circle of CompetenceThe waste management industry exhibits highly stable and predictable unit economics, allowing for reasonable projection of ten-year cash flows.
Economic MoatThe company benefits from significant scale-driven cost advantages, high regulatory barriers to entry for landfills, and localized service monopolies that create a strong economic moat.
ManagementThe provided financial data and market metrics do not allow for an assessment of management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or ownership stake.
Financial HealthWhile the reported single-year ROE of 18.12% is strong, the absence of a 10-year ROE trend, operating margin stability, details on debt management, and owner earnings prevents a comprehensive assessment of financial health.
Margin of SafetyThe current valuation multiples, including a PER of 29.55 and EV/EBITDA of 30.01, suggest the stock is trading at a premium, making it difficult to identify a defensible margin of safety.

Republic Services operates in a business with predictable unit economics and benefits from a strong economic moat, aligning with a core tenet of this investment framework. However, a comprehensive assessment of financial health is hampered by limited data, and the current valuation appears to offer no margin of safety. Consequently, the company fails the framework's criteria, despite its strong underlying business.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.