RTX · RTX CORP · Top AI ETF

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RTX Corporation, an aerospace and defense company, provides systems and services for commercial, military, and government customers worldwide. It operates through three segments: Collins Aerospace (Collins), Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon. The Collins segment offers aerospace and defense products, and aftermarket services for civil and military aircraft manufacturers and commercial airlines, as well as regional, business, and general aviation, defense, and commercial space operations.

Close · 3M

+15.99%

Held by 2 AI ETFs

AIVL2.438%

as of Sep 3

PQUS1.190%

as of Sep 1

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals20

Win rate25% (5/20)

Avg buy return-4.52%

AIVLnow 2.438% of fund24 signals

AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 2.527% → 2.442% (-0.085 pp)·stock down 7.9% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $200.78·now $202.13

+0.67%

since Sep 2

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.527% → 2.493% (-0.034 pp)·stock down 3.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 31·entry $207.73·now $202.13

-2.70%

since Aug 31

AIVL · Weight increase · 3d

weight 2.496% → 2.527% (+0.032 pp)·stock down 1.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 27·entry $212.08·now $202.13Fresh

-4.69%

since Aug 27

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.496% → 2.513% (+0.018 pp)·stock down 3.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $211.99·now $202.13Fresh

-4.65%

since Aug 26

AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 2.680% → 2.496% (-0.184 pp)·stock down 1.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 24·entry $209.22·now $202.13

-3.39%

since Aug 24

AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 2.680% → 2.505% (-0.174 pp)·stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $209.91·now $202.13

-3.71%

since Aug 21

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.680% → 2.536% (-0.144 pp)·stock up 8.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $212.29·now $202.13

-4.79%

since Aug 20

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.645% → 2.680% (+0.035 pp)·stock up 16.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 18·entry $225.49·now $202.13Fresh

-10.36%

since Aug 18

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.599% → 2.628% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 14.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 17·entry $221.64·now $202.13Fresh

-8.80%

since Aug 17

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.665% → 2.599% (-0.067 pp)·stock up 12.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 13·entry $220.48·now $202.13

-8.32%

since Aug 13

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.645% → 2.665% (+0.021 pp)·stock up 14.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 11·entry $223.86·now $202.13Fresh

-9.71%

since Aug 11

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.344% → 2.663% (+0.319 pp)·stock up 14.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 6·entry $223.25·now $202.13Fresh

-9.46%

since Aug 6

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.333% → 2.596% (+0.263 pp)·stock up 8.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 3·entry $216.65·now $202.13Fresh

-6.70%

since Aug 3

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.334% → 2.603% (+0.269 pp)·stock up 12.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 31·entry $215.22·now $202.13Fresh

-6.08%

since Jul 31

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.315% → 2.554% (+0.239 pp)·stock up 14.9% in the 30 days before

Jul 29·entry $215.25·now $202.13Fresh

-6.10%

since Jul 29

AIVL · Accumulation · 6d

weight 2.310% → 2.567% (+0.257 pp)·stock up 16.3% in the 30 days before

Jul 28·entry $218.58·now $202.13Fresh

-7.53%

since Jul 28

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 15.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 24·entry $212.79·now $202.13Fresh

-5.01%

since Jul 24

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 12.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 23·entry $209.16·now $202.13Fresh

-3.36%

since Jul 23

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 1.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 20·entry $194.44·now $202.13Drifting

+3.95%

since Jul 20

AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d

stock up 9.3% in the 30 days before

Jul 9·entry $195.20·now $202.13

+3.55%

since Jul 9

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 7.7% in the 30 days before

Jul 8·entry $194.91·now $202.13Drifting

+3.70%

since Jul 8

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 12.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 7·entry $200.85·now $202.13Fresh

+0.64%

since Jul 7

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 16.7% in the 30 days before

Jul 6·entry $201.37·now $202.13Fresh

+0.38%

since Jul 6

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 14.3% in the 30 days before

Jul 2·entry $199.25·now $202.13Fresh

+1.45%

since Jul 2

PQUSnow 1.190% of fund6 signals

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

weight 1.180% → 1.200% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 1.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $211.71·now $202.13Fresh

-4.53%

since Aug 28

PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 1.260% → 1.180% (-0.080 pp)·stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 23·entry $209.22·now $202.13

-3.39%

since Aug 23

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.260% → 1.200% (-0.060 pp)·stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 22·entry $209.22·now $202.13

-3.39%

since Aug 22

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.930% → 0.980% (+0.050 pp)·stock up 12.2% in the 30 days before

Jul 31·entry $215.22·now $202.13Fresh

-6.08%

since Jul 31

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 15.0% in the 30 days before

Jul 25·entry $218.42·now $202.13Fresh

-7.46%

since Jul 25

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 7.9% in the 30 days before

Jul 11·entry $196.39·now $202.13

+2.92%

since Jul 11

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of Aug 23

Recent AI ETF activity shows a predominant weight decrease trend from PQUS and AIVL, which aligns with the framework's 'Fail' verdict. The framework's concerns about financial health and the lack of a margin of safety suggest that the current price may not justify accumulation, as some AI ETFs have recently demonstrated by reducing their holdings.

Circle of CompetenceThe long-term nature of government and commercial aerospace contracts provides a predictable revenue base, supporting reasonable projections of future cash flows.
Economic MoatRTX benefits from high switching costs, scale advantages in manufacturing and R&D, and regulatory barriers to entry, creating a durable economic moat.
ManagementInsufficient data is provided to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game.
Financial HealthThe reported ROE of 11.8% falls below the 15% average target and just above the 10% minimum for financial health, and other crucial financial metrics for owner earnings and debt are not provided.
Margin of SafetyThe high PER of 38.36 and EV/EBITDA of 29.67 suggest the current market price does not offer a defensible margin of safety relative to intrinsic value.

RTX demonstrates strong fundamental qualities, passing the circle of competence and economic moat stages due to its predictable cash flows and significant competitive advantages in aerospace and defense. However, it fails on financial health, with a reported ROE below the framework's ideal threshold, and crucially, fails to offer a margin of safety given its current valuation multiples. At its current price, the company does not meet all criteria for a Buffett-style investment.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.