RTX · RTX CORP · Top AI ETF

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RTX Corporation, an aerospace and defense company, provides systems and services for commercial, military, and government customers worldwide. It operates through three segments: Collins Aerospace (Collins), Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon. The Collins segment offers aerospace and defense products, and aftermarket services for civil and military aircraft manufacturers and commercial airlines, as well as regional, business, and general aviation, defense, and commercial space operations.

Close · 3M

+4.01%

Held by 2 AI ETFs

PQUS1.080%

as of Oct 23

AIVL0.835%

as of Oct 23

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals6

Win rate0% (0/6)

Avg buy return-8.57%

PQUSnow 1.080% of fund7 signals

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.090% → 1.060% (-0.030 pp)·stock up 0.3% in the 30 days before

Oct 21·entry $191.60·now $191.01

-0.31%

since Oct 21

PQUS · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 1.190% → 0.990% (-0.200 pp)·stock down 9.3% in the 30 days before

Oct 7·entry $180.26·now $191.01

+5.96%

since Oct 7

PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 1.190% → 1.010% (-0.180 pp)·stock down 8.7% in the 30 days before

Oct 6·entry $183.29·now $191.01

+4.21%

since Oct 6

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.190% → 1.020% (-0.170 pp)·stock down 8.8% in the 30 days before

Oct 5·entry $184.33·now $191.01

+3.62%

since Oct 5

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 1.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $211.71·now $191.01Fresh

-9.78%

since Aug 28

PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d

stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 23·entry $209.22·now $191.01

-8.70%

since Aug 23

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 22·entry $209.22·now $191.01

-8.70%

since Aug 22

AIVLnow 0.835% of fund22 signals

AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 0.856% → 0.836% (-0.019 pp)·stock up 0.3% in the 30 days before

Oct 21·entry $191.60·now $191.01

-0.31%

since Oct 21

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.856% → 0.846% (-0.010 pp)·stock down 0.5% in the 30 days before

Oct 20·entry $193.34·now $191.01

-1.21%

since Oct 20

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.833% → 0.813% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 9.3% in the 30 days before

Oct 7·entry $180.26·now $191.01

+5.96%

since Oct 7

AIVL · Weight decrease · 5d

weight 2.373% → 0.831% (-1.542 pp)·stock down 8.0% in the 30 days before

Oct 2·entry $184.68·now $191.01

+3.43%

since Oct 2

AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 2.373% → 2.338% (-0.034 pp)·stock down 9.8% in the 30 days before

Oct 1·entry $185.01·now $191.01

+3.24%

since Oct 1

AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 2.373% → 2.352% (-0.021 pp)·stock down 10.6% in the 30 days before

Sep 30·entry $185.65·now $191.01

+2.89%

since Sep 30

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.373% → 2.357% (-0.015 pp)·stock down 11.7% in the 30 days before

Sep 29·entry $186.94·now $191.01

+2.18%

since Sep 29

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.412% → 2.370% (-0.042 pp)·stock down 9.0% in the 30 days before

Sep 22·entry $190.99·now $191.01

+0.01%

since Sep 22

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.408% → 2.450% (+0.043 pp)·stock down 11.2% in the 30 days before

Sep 16·entry $196.83·now $191.01Fresh

-2.96%

since Sep 16

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.452% → 2.408% (-0.044 pp)·stock down 11.4% in the 30 days before

Sep 14·entry $195.34·now $191.01

-2.22%

since Sep 14

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.425% → 2.452% (+0.027 pp)·stock down 11.5% in the 30 days before

Sep 10·entry $198.12·now $191.01Fresh

-3.59%

since Sep 10

AIVL · Weight decrease · 6d

weight 2.527% → 2.425% (-0.102 pp)·stock down 10.9% in the 30 days before

Sep 8·entry $198.81·now $191.01

-3.92%

since Sep 8

AIVL · Weight decrease · 5d

weight 2.527% → 2.429% (-0.098 pp)·stock down 10.1% in the 30 days before

Sep 4·entry $200.79·now $191.01

-4.87%

since Sep 4

AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 2.527% → 2.438% (-0.089 pp)·stock down 9.1% in the 30 days before

Sep 3·entry $202.13·now $191.01

-5.50%

since Sep 3

AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 2.527% → 2.442% (-0.085 pp)·stock down 7.9% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $200.78·now $191.01

-4.87%

since Sep 2

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 3.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 31·entry $207.73·now $191.01

-8.05%

since Aug 31

AIVL · Weight increase · 3d

stock down 1.5% in the 30 days before

Aug 27·entry $212.08·now $191.01Fresh

-9.93%

since Aug 27

AIVL · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 3.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $211.99·now $191.01Fresh

-9.90%

since Aug 26

AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d

stock down 1.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 24·entry $209.22·now $191.01

-8.70%

since Aug 24

AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d

stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $209.91·now $191.01

-9.00%

since Aug 21

AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d

stock up 8.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $212.29·now $191.01

-10.02%

since Aug 20

AIVL · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 16.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 18·entry $225.49·now $191.01Fresh

-15.29%

since Aug 18

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Fails the frameworkas of Aug 23

Recent AI ETF activity shows a predominant weight decrease trend from PQUS and AIVL, which aligns with the framework's 'Fail' verdict. The framework's concerns about financial health and the lack of a margin of safety suggest that the current price may not justify accumulation, as some AI ETFs have recently demonstrated by reducing their holdings.

Circle of CompetenceThe long-term nature of government and commercial aerospace contracts provides a predictable revenue base, supporting reasonable projections of future cash flows.
Economic MoatRTX benefits from high switching costs, scale advantages in manufacturing and R&D, and regulatory barriers to entry, creating a durable economic moat.
ManagementInsufficient data is provided to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or skin in the game.
Financial HealthThe reported ROE of 11.8% falls below the 15% average target and just above the 10% minimum for financial health, and other crucial financial metrics for owner earnings and debt are not provided.
Margin of SafetyThe high PER of 38.36 and EV/EBITDA of 29.67 suggest the current market price does not offer a defensible margin of safety relative to intrinsic value.

RTX demonstrates strong fundamental qualities, passing the circle of competence and economic moat stages due to its predictable cash flows and significant competitive advantages in aerospace and defense. However, it fails on financial health, with a reported ROE below the framework's ideal threshold, and crucially, fails to offer a margin of safety given its current valuation multiples. At its current price, the company does not meet all criteria for a Buffett-style investment.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.