as of Jul 17
SHW
DefensiveSHERWIN-WILLIAMS CO
The Sherwin-Williams Company engages in the development, manufacture, distribution, and sale of paint, coatings, and related products to professional, industrial, commercial and retail customers. The company operates through three segments: Paint Stores Group, Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group. The Paint Stores Group segment offers architectural paint and coatings; protective and marine products; and OEM product finishes and related products for architectural and industrial paint contractors, and do-it-yourself homeowners under the Sherwin-Williams brand.
Close · 3M
-2.94%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
SHW's PER of 31.93 and PBR of 17.47, while supported by a 58.23% ROE, represent elevated valuation metrics within AIVL's strategy of identifying genuine value. The fund's AI, specifically tasked with distinguishing value from traps in a US value-factor pool, began reducing its allocation to SHERWIN-WILLIAMS consecutively from July 6th. This timing coincides with the stock's recent +7.1% 30-day return, pushing its current price of $332.03 to 88% of its 52-week high. Consequently, the AI's re-evaluation likely determined that SHW's current valuation, relative to its fundamentals, no longer fit the desired value profile for inclusion in AIVL's portfolio of approximately 100 US value stocks.
weight 0.233% → 0.220% (-0.013 pp)·stock up 8.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 8·entry $330.57·now $323.60
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
WisdomTree's AIVL, which leverages AI to score stocks within a pre-filtered US value pool, initiated a consecutive weight decrease in Sherwin-Williams after a re-evaluation. The AI's method of distinguishing genuine value from value traps likely determined SHW's current valuation, such as its PBR of 17.47, no longer aligned with the fund's core criteria. Operating within a portfolio of approximately 100 US value stocks, AIVL's AI probably identified the stock as potentially drifting from its value characteristics. The observed multi-day reduction in SHW's allocation is consistent with the ETF's stated rebalancing approach, which occurs periodically rather than daily.
weight 0.232% → 0.225% (-0.008 pp)·stock up 14.1% in the 30 days before
Jul 7·entry $342.26·now $323.60
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
SHERWIN-WILLIAMS CO trades at $352.48, sitting at 94% of its 52-week high, following a 14.6% gain over the last 30 days after a prior 90-day dip. Despite its elevated price and valuation metrics like a PER of 33.18 and a PBR of 17.47, the WisdomTree AIVL fund has shown a pattern of gradual accumulation in SHW, increasing its weight from 0.2123% to 0.2325% across late June and early July. This behavior suggests the fund's AI, tasked with distinguishing genuine value within an already-value-tilted universe, identifies the company's substantial 58.23% Return on Equity as a compelling fundamental strength. The AI's model likely interprets these strong capital returns, alongside a 3.9% revenue growth, as indicators of underlying quality that justify a higher weighting within its portfolio of approximately 100 US value stocks, aligning with periodic rebalancing.
weight 0.212% → 0.233% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 20.3% in the 30 days before
Jul 2·entry $352.48·now $323.60Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
The WisdomTree AIVL ETF, utilizing AI to differentiate genuine value from value traps among its roughly 100 US value-factor holdings, registered a consecutive weight increase for Sherwin-Williams on June 23-24. This periodic adjustment suggests the AI's scoring methodology, which analyzes fundamentals like return on capital alongside valuation metrics, found compelling reason to increase exposure. Despite a price-to-book ratio of 17.47, the AI likely valued the company’s 58.23% return on equity, seeing potential for an undervaluation in a stock trading at $333.13 after a -9.7% 90-day return. The AI thus seems to be capitalizing on a dip for a fundamentally sound business.
weight 0.212% → 0.225% (+0.012 pp)·stock up 7.8% in the 30 days before
Jun 24·entry $333.13·now $323.60Fresh
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
Sherwin-Williams currently trades at $313.80, 84% of its 52-week high and after a 13.0% decline over the past 90 days, positioning it more attractively within AIVL's pre-filtered US value-factor universe. AIVL's AI, which scores names using fundamentals like return on capital and valuation metrics such as P/E and P/B to distinguish genuine value from traps, likely identified the stock as a compelling opportunity. Despite a P/E of 29.78 and P/B of 17.47, the 58.23% ROE, viewed in conjunction with the recent price depreciation, suggested an underlying value proposition. This assessment prompted the AI to initiate a gradual accumulation, increasing the fund's weight in SHW from 0.2043% to 0.2164% across early June, aligning with its periodic rebalancing methodology.
weight 0.204% → 0.216% (+0.012 pp)·stock up 7.4% in the 30 days before
Jun 16·entry $322.44·now $323.60Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
WisdomTree's AIVL, which employs AI to differentiate genuine value within its approximately 100 US value stock holdings, increased its allocation to Sherwin-Williams as the stock's price has moderated. The fund's methodology incorporates fundamental characteristics like return on capital, and Sherwin-Williams exhibits a high Return on Equity of 58.23%, likely signaling durable financial quality to the AI. Despite valuation metrics such as its PER of 29.78, the AI appears to be re-evaluating SHW at its current price of $316.89, particularly after a nearly 12% decline over the last 90 days, making it a potentially attractive name within the value-tilted universe. This move, reflected in the consecutive weight increase to 0.2166% by June 11, aligns with the AI's role in active positioning despite the fund's periodic rebalancing schedule.
weight 0.208% → 0.217% (+0.008 pp)·stock up 1.7% in the 30 days before
Jun 11·entry $316.89·now $323.60Drifting
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.204% → 0.213% (+0.009 pp)·stock down 5.7% in the 30 days before
Jun 5·entry $305.30·now $323.60Drifting
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
The AIVL's gradual reduction of SHERWIN-WILLIAMS CO (SHW) weight from 0.2260% to 0.2040% over approximately one month signals a continuous reassessment within the fund's value-tilted universe. This persistent, albeit small, decrease aligns with SHW’s ongoing price depreciation, which saw it drop over 12% in 30 days and 18% in one year, now trading near its 52-week low of $293.00. Despite these price declines, AIVL's AI, tasked with distinguishing genuine value from value traps using P/E and P/B among other metrics, likely finds SHW's current PER of 28.15 and PBR of 17.47 still elevated for its "value" criteria. The AI's repeated downward adjustments suggest that even with a high ROE at 58.23%, the stock’s valuation has not yet reached a score that warrants maintenance or increase, indicating it falls short of the fund's specific value parameters within its rebalancing cycle.
weight 0.217% → 0.204% (-0.013 pp)·stock down 8.3% in the 30 days before
Jun 1·entry $294.86·now $323.60
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
The AI likely initiated a consecutive weight decrease for SHW due to its very high valuation metrics, such as a PER of 29.72 and PBR of 17.47, which may not be fully justified by its modest 3.9% revenue growth, despite an impressive ROE. This suggests the AI is de-risking from a potentially overvalued asset. A practical takeaway for retail investors is to prioritize a balanced assessment of a company's growth prospects and profitability against its current valuation multiples to avoid overpaying and manage portfolio risk.
weight 0.226% → 0.219% (-0.007 pp)·stock down 7.0% in the 30 days before
May 11·entry $312.70·now $323.60
AIVL · Weight decrease · 6d
The AI likely initiated this consecutive weight decrease for SHW due to its high valuation multiples (PER 30.0, PBR 17.47) being out of sync with its very low revenue growth of 2.06%. Despite strong ROE, the AI's model likely flags the stock as overvalued given the stagnant top-line expansion. A practical takeaway for retail investors is to prioritize the alignment of a company's valuation with its growth trajectory, as high profitability alone may not sustain a premium price if revenue growth significantly decelerates. This suggests re-evaluating positions in richly valued stocks lacking robust sales expansion.
weight 0.241% → 0.221% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 2.4% in the 30 days before
May 4·entry $310.49·now $323.60
AIVL · Weight decrease · 5d
The AI ETF likely initiated the consecutive weight decrease due to SHW's extremely high PER and PBR, which appear unsustainable given its modest 2.06% revenue growth, indicating a de-risking from potential overvaluation despite strong ROE. For retail investors, this highlights the importance of scrutinizing high valuation multiples that are not proportionally justified by revenue growth, suggesting caution even for fundamentally strong businesses.
weight 0.241% → 0.225% (-0.015 pp)·stock down 2.4% in the 30 days before
May 1·entry $318.00·now $323.60
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
The AI likely initiated the consecutive weight decrease due to Sherwin-Williams' high valuation multiples (PER, PBR) being unsupported by its low revenue growth, suggesting the stock might be overvalued despite its excellent ROE. Retail investors should view this as a signal to scrutinize investments where high valuations are not matched by robust top-line growth, indicating potential overpricing or a shift in market sentiment.
weight 0.241% → 0.227% (-0.013 pp)·stock up 0.3% in the 30 days before
Apr 30·entry $321.61·now $323.60
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
The AI ETF likely reduced SHW's weight consecutively due to its high PER and PBR, which appear stretched given its modest 2.06% revenue growth, suggesting a focus on valuation and risk management. For retail investors, this signals that even fundamentally strong companies with excellent ROE can be deemed overvalued by systematic strategies when growth prospects don't justify current price multiples. It highlights the importance of scrutinizing valuation in context of growth, rather than just profitability, to avoid potential overexposure to highly priced assets.
weight 0.241% → 0.229% (-0.012 pp)·stock up 0.6% in the 30 days before
Apr 29·entry $317.85·now $323.60
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
The AI-managed ETF likely reduced SHW's weight due to its high PER and PBR, which appear stretched when considering the modest 2.06% revenue growth. This signals the AI is rebalancing away from perceived overvaluation, despite the company's strong ROE. For retail investors, this highlights the need to critically assess valuation multiples in relation to growth, even in highly profitable companies, to avoid potential capital trap if growth prospects decelerate or fail to justify current pricing.
weight 0.241% → 0.233% (-0.008 pp)·stock up 2.8% in the 30 days before
Apr 28·entry $324.27·now $323.60
PQUS · Exit · 1d
SHW exhibits a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.48 and a price-to-book ratio of 17.47, alongside 3.9% revenue growth and 58.23% return on equity. These metrics, while showing strong ROE, present a valuation that the AI ranking system within Pictet Asset Management's PQUS ETF likely reassessed against its US large-cap universe, considering its sector-balance and concentration rules. The timing of the complete removal on May 16 aligns with SHW's sustained price depreciation, showing a -15.9% 1-year return and currently trading at $300.10, which marks its 52-week low at 80% of its 52-week high. PQUS began reducing its allocation from 0.1400% on May 9, settling at 0.0900% for several days, before completely divesting on May 16, consistent with the AI system's periodic rebalancing and measured turnover strategy for its 165 US large-cap holdings.
weight 0.090% → 0 (exited)·stock down 10.0% in the 30 days before
May 16·entry $302.78·now $323.60
QRFT · Exit · 1d
The AI likely removed SHW due to its extremely high valuation, with a PER of 30.0 and PBR of 17.47, which appears unjustified by its modest 2.06% revenue growth despite a strong ROE. Retail investors should always scrutinize high valuation multiples against a company's growth prospects, as strong profitability alone may not justify an expensive stock price.
weight 0.180% → 0 (exited)·stock down 2.4% in the 30 days before
May 4·entry $310.49·now $323.60
QRFT · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.180% (new)·stock down 15.1% in the 30 days before
Mar 20·entry $303.53·now $323.60Drifting
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
AI ETFs PQUS and QRFT have recently exited their positions in Sherwin-Williams, and AIVL shows a consistent weight decrease trend. This aligns with the 'Fail' verdict, suggesting that the AI strategies may also be reacting to the company's stretched valuation or other underlying concerns that prevent it from being a compelling investment.
- Circle of CompetenceSherwin-Williams operates in a mature industry with predictable unit economics related to paint and coatings manufacturing and distribution, allowing for reasonable projection of ten-year cash flows.
- Economic MoatThe company benefits from strong brand recognition, an extensive distribution network, and economies of scale, forming a durable competitive advantage protecting its returns on capital.
- ManagementAssessment of management's candor, capital allocation discipline, and skin in the game is not possible with the provided financial snapshots.
- Financial HealthWhile recent ROE is high, the data lacks a 10-year average ROE, operating margin trend, and specific debt figures to confirm manageable leverage and consistent owner earnings, with the high EV/EBITDA raising potential concerns.
- Margin of SafetyCurrent valuation multiples including PER (28.48), PBR (17.47), and EV/EBITDA (29.43) are exceptionally high, indicating no margin of safety against a conservative estimate of intrinsic value.
Sherwin-Williams demonstrates a strong circle of competence and possesses a durable economic moat; however, a comprehensive assessment of management and financial health is limited by available data. The company ultimately fails the framework due to an exceptionally high valuation, indicating no margin of safety at its current price.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.