AIVL0.466%
as of Oct 23
SHW
DefensiveSHERWIN-WILLIAMS CO
The Sherwin-Williams Company engages in the development, manufacture, distribution, and sale of paint, coatings, and related products to professional, industrial, commercial and retail customers. The company operates through three segments: Paint Stores Group, Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group. The Paint Stores Group segment offers architectural paint and coatings; protective and marine products; and OEM product finishes and related products for architectural and industrial paint contractors, and do-it-yourself homeowners under the Sherwin-Williams brand.
Close · 3M
+5.25%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
Buy signals16
Win rate50% (8/16)
Avg buy return-1.23%
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.470% → 0.464% (-0.006 pp)·stock up 3.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 19·entry $331.61·now $337.06
+1.64%
since Oct 19
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
weight 0.449% → 0.470% (+0.021 pp)·stock up 4.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 15·entry $336.92·now $337.06Fresh
+0.04%
since Oct 15
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.449% → 0.457% (+0.008 pp)·stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before
Oct 14·entry $324.54·now $337.06Drifting
+3.86%
since Oct 14
AIVL · Weight decrease · 4d
weight 0.473% → 0.454% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 3.5% in the 30 days before
Oct 2·entry $319.51·now $337.06
+5.49%
since Oct 2
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.473% → 0.458% (-0.015 pp)·stock down 2.8% in the 30 days before
Oct 1·entry $320.78·now $337.06
+5.08%
since Oct 1
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.473% → 0.463% (-0.011 pp)·stock down 4.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 30·entry $323.27·now $337.06
+4.27%
since Sep 30
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.453% → 0.473% (+0.020 pp)·stock down 3.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 28·entry $332.79·now $337.06Fresh
+1.28%
since Sep 28
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.460% → 0.453% (-0.007 pp)·stock down 8.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 24·entry $320.40·now $337.06
+5.20%
since Sep 24
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.444% → 0.452% (+0.008 pp)·stock down 10.2% in the 30 days before
Sep 14·entry $324.50·now $337.06Drifting
+3.87%
since Sep 14
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.456% → 0.444% (-0.012 pp)·stock down 12.9% in the 30 days before
Sep 10·entry $317.44·now $337.06
+6.18%
since Sep 10
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.456% → 0.446% (-0.010 pp)·stock down 11.6% in the 30 days before
Sep 9·entry $320.64·now $337.06
+5.12%
since Sep 9
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.233% → 0.229% (-0.004 pp)·stock up 0.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 27·entry $345.21·now $337.06
-2.36%
since Aug 27
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
weight 0.237% → 0.228% (-0.009 pp)·stock up 6.7% in the 30 days before
Aug 18·entry $345.27·now $337.06
-2.38%
since Aug 18
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.237% → 0.231% (-0.006 pp)·stock up 5.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 17·entry $349.97·now $337.06
-3.69%
since Aug 17
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.224% → 0.238% (+0.014 pp)·stock up 9.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 12·entry $360.20·now $337.06Fresh
-6.42%
since Aug 12
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.228% → 0.241% (+0.013 pp)·stock up 10.8% in the 30 days before
Aug 11·entry $364.42·now $337.06Fresh
-7.51%
since Aug 11
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.207% → 0.240% (+0.032 pp)·stock up 8.6% in the 30 days before
Aug 10·entry $362.71·now $337.06Fresh
-7.07%
since Aug 10
AIVL · Accumulation · 6d
weight 0.204% → 0.244% (+0.039 pp)·stock up 11.4% in the 30 days before
Aug 7·entry $369.73·now $337.06Fresh
-8.84%
since Aug 7
AIVL · Accumulation · 5d
weight 0.211% → 0.241% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 9.9% in the 30 days before
Aug 6·entry $363.42·now $337.06Fresh
-7.25%
since Aug 6
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
weight 0.224% → 0.236% (+0.012 pp)·stock up 0.5% in the 30 days before
Aug 3·entry $354.22·now $337.06Fresh
-4.84%
since Aug 3
-4.86%
since Jul 28
+5.84%
since Jul 21
+4.16%
since Jul 20
+1.96%
since Jul 8
-1.52%
since Jul 7
-4.37%
since Jul 2
+1.18%
since Jun 24
+4.53%
since Jun 16
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
stock up 1.7% in the 30 days before
Jun 11·entry $316.89·now $337.06Drifting
+6.36%
since Jun 11
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
stock down 5.7% in the 30 days before
Jun 5·entry $305.30·now $337.06Chased
+10.40%
since Jun 5
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
Fails the frameworkas of May 18
AI ETFs PQUS and QRFT have recently exited their positions in Sherwin-Williams, and AIVL shows a consistent weight decrease trend. This aligns with the 'Fail' verdict, suggesting that the AI strategies may also be reacting to the company's stretched valuation or other underlying concerns that prevent it from being a compelling investment.
- Circle of CompetenceSherwin-Williams operates in a mature industry with predictable unit economics related to paint and coatings manufacturing and distribution, allowing for reasonable projection of ten-year cash flows.
- Economic MoatThe company benefits from strong brand recognition, an extensive distribution network, and economies of scale, forming a durable competitive advantage protecting its returns on capital.
- ManagementAssessment of management's candor, capital allocation discipline, and skin in the game is not possible with the provided financial snapshots.
- Financial HealthWhile recent ROE is high, the data lacks a 10-year average ROE, operating margin trend, and specific debt figures to confirm manageable leverage and consistent owner earnings, with the high EV/EBITDA raising potential concerns.
- Margin of SafetyCurrent valuation multiples including PER (28.48), PBR (17.47), and EV/EBITDA (29.43) are exceptionally high, indicating no margin of safety against a conservative estimate of intrinsic value.
Sherwin-Williams demonstrates a strong circle of competence and possesses a durable economic moat; however, a comprehensive assessment of management and financial health is limited by available data. The company ultimately fails the framework due to an exceptionally high valuation, indicating no margin of safety at its current price.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.