STX · SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY

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Seagate Technology Holdings plc engages in the provision of data storage technology and infrastructure solutions in Singapore, the United States, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company offers mass capacity storage products, including enterprise nearline hard disk drives (HDDs), enterprise nearline solid state drives (SSDs), enterprise nearline systems, video and image HDDs, and network-attached storage drives. It also offers legacy applications comprising Mission Critical HDDs and SSDs; external storage solutions under the Seagate Ultra Touch, One Touch, Expansion, and Basics product lines, as well as under the LaCie brand name; desktop drives for personal computers and workstation applications; notebook drives traditional notebooks, convertible systems, and external storage applications, DVR HDDs for video streaming applications, and gaming SSDs for gaming rigs.

Close · 3M

-38.11%

Held by 4 AI ETFs

AMOM1.790%

as of Oct 16

PQUS0.490%

as of Oct 23

LQAI0.170%

as of Oct 22

AIEQ0.030%

as of Oct 26

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals12

Win rate0% (0/12)

Avg buy return-28.63%

AMOMnow 1.790% of fund11 signals

AMOM · Weight decrease · 5d

weight 1.950% → 1.790% (-0.160 pp)·stock down 20.4% in the 30 days before

Oct 16·entry $639.01·now $630.49

-1.33%

since Oct 16

AMOM · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 1.950% → 1.860% (-0.090 pp)·stock down 11.8% in the 30 days before

Oct 15·entry $690.81·now $630.49

-8.73%

since Oct 15

AMOM · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 1.950% → 1.890% (-0.060 pp)·stock down 7.5% in the 30 days before

Oct 14·entry $713.54·now $630.49

-11.64%

since Oct 14

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 1.950% → 1.900% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 7.2% in the 30 days before

Oct 13·entry $747.20·now $630.49

-15.62%

since Oct 13

AMOM · Sudden change · 1d

weight 2.610% → 2.120% (-0.490 pp)·stock up 5.0% in the 30 days before

Oct 2·entry $848.99·now $630.49

-25.74%

since Oct 2

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 15.8% in the 30 days before

Oct 1·entry $945.57·now $630.49Fresh

-33.32%

since Oct 1

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 11.3% in the 30 days before

Sep 30·entry $922.34·now $630.49Fresh

-31.64%

since Sep 30

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 8.8% in the 30 days before

Sep 28·entry $921.51·now $630.49Fresh

-31.58%

since Sep 28

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 8.3% in the 30 days before

Sep 25·entry $916.83·now $630.49Fresh

-31.23%

since Sep 25

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 10.3% in the 30 days before

Sep 24·entry $905.92·now $630.49Fresh

-30.40%

since Sep 24

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 16.3% in the 30 days before

Sep 23·entry $923.86·now $630.49Fresh

-31.75%

since Sep 23

PQUSnow 0.490% of fund7 signals

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.530% → 0.490% (-0.040 pp)·stock down 30.4% in the 30 days before

Oct 23·entry $630.49·now $630.49

0.00%

since Oct 23

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.500% → 0.530% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 24.2% in the 30 days before

Oct 21·entry $696.89·now $630.49Fresh

-9.53%

since Oct 21

PQUS · Weight decrease · 5d

weight 0.600% → 0.500% (-0.100 pp)·stock down 20.4% in the 30 days before

Oct 16·entry $639.01·now $630.49

-1.33%

since Oct 16

PQUS · Weight decrease · 4d

weight 0.600% → 0.530% (-0.070 pp)·stock down 11.8% in the 30 days before

Oct 15·entry $690.81·now $630.49

-8.73%

since Oct 15

PQUS · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 0.600% → 0.550% (-0.050 pp)·stock down 7.5% in the 30 days before

Oct 14·entry $713.54·now $630.49

-11.64%

since Oct 14

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.600% → 0.570% (-0.030 pp)·stock down 7.2% in the 30 days before

Oct 13·entry $747.20·now $630.49

-15.62%

since Oct 13

PQUS · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.730% → 0.610% (-0.120 pp)·stock down 5.1% in the 30 days before

Oct 6·entry $805.63·now $630.49

-21.74%

since Oct 6

LQAInow 0.170% of fund2 signals

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 0.190% → 0.170% (-0.020 pp)·stock down 20.4% in the 30 days before

Oct 16·entry $639.01·now $630.49

-1.33%

since Oct 16

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 16.3% in the 30 days before

Sep 23·entry $923.86·now $630.49Fresh

-31.75%

since Sep 23

AIUPno longer held10 signals

AIUP · Exit · 1d

weight 4.360% → 0 (exited)·stock down 23.1% in the 30 days before

Oct 19·entry $660.81·now $630.49

-4.59%

since Oct 19

AIUP · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 4.620% → 4.360% (-0.260 pp)·stock down 20.4% in the 30 days before

Oct 16·entry $639.01·now $630.49

-1.33%

since Oct 16

AIUP · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 4.620% → 4.480% (-0.140 pp)·stock down 11.8% in the 30 days before

Oct 15·entry $690.81·now $630.49

-8.73%

since Oct 15

AIUP · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 4.620% (new)·stock down 7.2% in the 30 days before

Oct 13·entry $747.20·now $630.49Fresh

-15.62%

since Oct 13

AIUP · Exit · 1d

weight 3.970% → 0 (exited)·stock down 9.3% in the 30 days before

Oct 12·entry $753.25·now $630.49

-16.30%

since Oct 12

AIUP · Sudden change · 1d

weight 4.410% → 4.020% (-0.390 pp)·stock down 5.1% in the 30 days before

Oct 6·entry $805.63·now $630.49

-21.74%

since Oct 6

AIUP · Sudden change · 1d

weight 4.670% → 4.230% (-0.440 pp)·stock up 5.0% in the 30 days before

Oct 2·entry $848.99·now $630.49

-25.74%

since Oct 2

AIUP · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 15.8% in the 30 days before

Oct 1·entry $945.57·now $630.49Fresh

-33.32%

since Oct 1

AIUP · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 11.3% in the 30 days before

Sep 30·entry $922.34·now $630.49Fresh

-31.64%

since Sep 30

AIUP · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 16.3% in the 30 days before

Sep 23·entry $923.86·now $630.49Fresh

-31.75%

since Sep 23

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Too hard to callas of Oct 4

AI ETFs like AIUP, AMOM, and LQAI have shown recent accumulation or significant holdings in Seagate, suggesting a positive outlook or belief in its future performance. This contrasts sharply with the framework's 'Too Hard' verdict, which indicates the company's long-term earnings are too unpredictable to model reliably. The AI's actions imply a confidence in predicting outcomes that the value investing framework cannot reconcile due to the nature of the business.

Circle of CompetenceThe technology hardware industry, specifically data storage, is subject to rapid technological change and intense competition, making long-term unit economic predictability and cash flow projection beyond a few years genuinely challenging.
Economic MoatAssessment of an economic moat is not conducted when the business falls outside the circle of competence.
ManagementManagement quality cannot be evaluated within this framework for companies deemed too complex to understand.
Financial HealthFinancial health metrics are not assessed when the underlying business predictability is too low for long-term projection.
Margin of SafetyA margin of safety cannot be determined for a company whose future cash flows are genuinely unpredictable within the circle of competence.

Seagate Technology operates in an industry characterized by rapid technological evolution and intense competition, which makes its long-term unit economics genuinely unpredictable and thus fails the circle of competence test. This fundamental lack of predictability prevents the framework from reliably assessing its moat, management, financial health, or margin of safety. Consequently, the company is deemed 'Too Hard' for a Buffett-style analysis, regardless of its current market valuation.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.