STX · SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY

Back to holdings

Seagate Technology Holdings plc engages in the provision of data storage technology and infrastructure solutions in Singapore, the United States, the Netherlands, and internationally. The company offers mass capacity storage products, including enterprise nearline hard disk drives (HDDs), enterprise nearline solid state drives (SSDs), enterprise nearline systems, video and image HDDs, and network-attached storage drives. It also offers legacy applications comprising Mission Critical HDDs and SSDs; external storage solutions under the Seagate Ultra Touch, One Touch, Expansion, and Basics product lines, as well as under the LaCie brand name; desktop drives for personal computers and workstation applications; notebook drives traditional notebooks, convertible systems, and external storage applications, DVR HDDs for video streaming applications, and gaming SSDs for gaming rigs.

Close · 3M

+36.22%

Held by 4 AI ETFs

AMOM2.420%

as of Sep 2

PQUS0.570%

as of Sep 1

LQAI0.280%

as of Sep 2

AIEQ0.200%

as of Sep 4

Signal performance

Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.

Buy signals21

Win rate5% (1/21)

Avg buy return-9.82%

AMOMnow 2.420% of fund12 signals

AMOM · Sudden change · 1d

weight 2.770% → 2.420% (-0.350 pp)·stock down 4.4% in the 30 days before

Sep 2·entry $808.54·now $798.61

-1.23%

since Sep 2

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

weight 2.700% → 2.820% (+0.120 pp)·stock up 13.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $846.37·now $798.61Fresh

-5.64%

since Aug 26

AMOM · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 2.840% → 2.700% (-0.140 pp)·stock down 6.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 24·entry $794.65·now $798.61

+0.50%

since Aug 24

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.730% → 2.840% (+0.110 pp)·stock down 6.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $850.24·now $798.61Fresh

-6.07%

since Aug 20

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.680% → 2.750% (+0.070 pp)·stock down 6.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 19·entry $832.56·now $798.61Fresh

-4.08%

since Aug 19

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.730% → 2.960% (+0.230 pp)·stock up 12.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 18·entry $903.68·now $798.61Fresh

-11.63%

since Aug 18

AMOM · Accumulation · 5d

weight 2.870% → 3.160% (+0.290 pp)·stock up 26.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 17·entry $994.79·now $798.61Fresh

-19.72%

since Aug 17

AMOM · Weight increase · 4d

stock up 30.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 14·entry $973.44·now $798.61Fresh

-17.96%

since Aug 14

AMOM · Weight increase · 3d

stock up 11.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 13·entry $921.37·now $798.61Fresh

-13.32%

since Aug 13

AMOM · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 0.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 12·entry $878.21·now $798.61Fresh

-9.06%

since Aug 12

AMOM · Weight decrease · 5d

stock down 12.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 10·entry $800.99·now $798.61

-0.30%

since Aug 10

AMOM · Weight decrease · 4d

stock down 8.7% in the 30 days before

Aug 7·entry $812.76·now $798.61

-1.74%

since Aug 7

PQUSnow 0.570% of fund3 signals

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.550% → 0.580% (+0.030 pp)·stock down 2.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 28·entry $829.76·now $798.61Fresh

-3.75%

since Aug 28

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.500% → 0.590% (+0.090 pp)·stock down 6.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 22·entry $794.65·now $798.61Fresh

+0.50%

since Aug 22

PQUS · Weight increase · 2d

stock up 30.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 16·entry $994.79·now $798.61Fresh

-19.72%

since Aug 16

LQAInow 0.280% of fund9 signals

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

weight 0.280% → 0.300% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 13.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $846.37·now $798.61Fresh

-5.64%

since Aug 26

LQAI · Accumulation · 5d

weight 0.290% → 0.300% (+0.010 pp)·stock down 6.4% in the 30 days before

Aug 20·entry $850.24·now $798.61Fresh

-6.07%

since Aug 20

LQAI · Accumulation · 5d

weight 0.280% → 0.290% (+0.010 pp)·stock down 6.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 19·entry $832.56·now $798.61Fresh

-4.08%

since Aug 19

LQAI · Accumulation · 5d

weight 0.290% → 0.310% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 12.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 18·entry $903.68·now $798.61Fresh

-11.63%

since Aug 18

LQAI · Accumulation · 5d

weight 0.300% → 0.340% (+0.040 pp)·stock up 26.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 17·entry $994.79·now $798.61Fresh

-19.72%

since Aug 17

LQAI · Accumulation · 5d

stock up 30.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 14·entry $973.44·now $798.61Fresh

-17.96%

since Aug 14

LQAI · Weight increase · 3d

stock up 11.2% in the 30 days before

Aug 13·entry $921.37·now $798.61Fresh

-13.32%

since Aug 13

LQAI · Weight increase · 2d

stock down 0.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 12·entry $878.21·now $798.61Fresh

-9.06%

since Aug 12

LQAI · Weight decrease · 2d

stock down 12.0% in the 30 days before

Aug 10·entry $800.99·now $798.61

-0.30%

since Aug 10

AIEQnow 0.200% of fund1 signal

AIEQ · New entry · 1d

weight 0 → 0.210% (new)·stock down 1.7% in the 30 days before

Sep 1·entry $816.64·now $798.61Fresh

-2.21%

since Sep 1

AIUPno longer held4 signals

AIUP · Exit · 1d

weight 4.710% → 0 (exited)·stock up 13.3% in the 30 days before

Aug 26·entry $846.37·now $798.61

-5.64%

since Aug 26

AIUP · Weight increase · 2d

weight 4.030% → 4.630% (+0.600 pp)·stock down 6.9% in the 30 days before

Aug 21·entry $850.00·now $798.61Fresh

-6.05%

since Aug 21

AIUP · Weight decrease · 3d

weight 5.230% → 4.030% (-1.200 pp)·stock down 6.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 19·entry $832.56·now $798.61

-4.08%

since Aug 19

AIUP · Weight decrease · 2d

weight 5.230% → 4.310% (-0.920 pp)·stock up 12.6% in the 30 days before

Aug 18·entry $903.68·now $798.61

-11.63%

since Aug 18

Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.

Buffett-style framework

Too hard to callas of Aug 23

AI ETFs show mixed activity in Seagate shares, with several funds exhibiting accumulation trends alongside some decreasing weights. This contrasts with a value-investing framework that finds the company's long-term business predictability too challenging, suggesting the AI models may be operating on different short-term or growth-oriented criteria.

Circle of CompetenceThe storage hardware industry is subject to rapid technological change and shifting demand dynamics, making long-term cash flow projections genuinely unpredictable beyond a few years.
Economic MoatAssessing a durable economic moat is impractical when the underlying business's long-term earning power cannot be reliably projected.
ManagementEvaluating management's capital allocation and integrity is not feasible when the business's foundational predictability falls outside the circle of competence.
Financial HealthWhile recent metrics like ROE are high, a comprehensive assessment of long-term financial health and owner earnings is impossible without predictable unit economics.
Margin of SafetyA reliable margin of safety cannot be determined as intrinsic value cannot be conservatively estimated for a business with unpredictable future cash flows.

Seagate Technology operates in an industry with dynamic technological shifts, making its unit economics too unpredictable for reliable ten-year cash flow projections within a value-investing circle of competence. Consequently, the business is deemed 'Too Hard' to analyze further using this framework. This means a durable moat, sound management, robust financials beyond recent metrics, and a margin of safety cannot be confidently established.

Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.