as of Jul 21
TDG
DefensiveTRANSDIGM GROUP
TransDigm Group Incorporated designs, produces, and supplies aircraft components in the United States and internationally. The Power & Control segment offers mechanical/electro-mechanical actuators and controls, ignition systems and engine technology, specialized pumps and valves, power conditioning devices, specialized AC/DC electric motors and generators, batteries and chargers, databus and power controls, sensor products, switches and relay panels, hoists, winches and lifting devices, cargo loading and handling systems, delivery systems, and electronic components.
Close · 3M
-5.73%
Held by 1 AI ETF
Signal performance
Each tracked ETF's moves on this stock, grouped by fund. Returns are measured from the signal date to the latest close — hypothetical, no commissions or slippage.
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
TransDigm Group's P/E ratio of 36.02 and P/B ratio of 5.98, alongside a 13.29% revenue growth and 37.11% return on equity, present a nuanced fundamental picture for AIEQ's broad market, fundamentals and sentiment hybrid strategy. While the company's ROE indicates strong operational returns, these higher valuation multiples necessitate continued positive sentiment to justify inclusion within the EquBot-managed portfolio. The daily rebalancing fund ceased holding the stock on July 1, 2026, precisely after TDG recorded an 11.0% increase over the prior 30 days, yet remained down 7.4% over the past year. This timing suggests the IBM Watson NLP engine, ingesting news and social posts, likely detected a shift where the short-term price appreciation did not sufficiently enhance the stock's relative attractiveness to maintain its position among the 140-180 selected US equities.
weight 0.490% → 0 (exited)·stock up 5.7% in the 30 days before
Jul 1·entry $1309.18·now $1204.73
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
TDG's Revenue Growth of 13.29% and a Return on Equity of 37.11% align with the fundamental criteria sought by AIEQ's "fundamentals + sentiment hybrid" style. Amplify ETFs' daily rebalancing, guided by IBM Watson NLP digesting various data sources, registered a gradual weight increase for TDG, starting from 0.4600% on June 16, 2026, and reaching 0.5000% by June 26. This period of rising conviction coincided with TDG's current price of $1324.56 reflecting a 30-day return of +12.4%, indicating a recent positive momentum. The system appears to be acting on a perceived shift in market sentiment or a strengthening fundamental outlook for TDG as it recovers from its prior 1-year decline, prompting a larger allocation within its portfolio of 140-180 US stocks.
weight 0.480% → 0.500% (+0.020 pp)·stock up 6.7% in the 30 days before
Jun 26·entry $1324.56·now $1204.73Fresh
AIEQ · Weight increase · 2d
TransDigm Group’s 37.11% Return on Equity and 13.29% revenue growth align with the fundamentals-driven aspect of AIEQ’s broad market, fundamentals + sentiment hybrid style, even as its Price-to-Earnings ratio sits at 35.69 and Price-to-Book at 5.98. This fundamental backdrop, paired with the stock’s current $1328.31 price point representing 82% of its 52-week high after a 9.4% annual decline, suggests IBM Watson NLP processed a shift in sentiment or narrative. The subsequent daily ranking output, processed by EquBot's risk overlay, prompted AIEQ to increase its weight in TransDigm Group from 0.46% on June 16 to 0.49% by June 18, reflecting a positive signal for the Industrials sector stock. This consecutive daily weight increase indicates the AI system detected accumulating positive signals from its ingestion of news and social posts around the stock’s recent 7.0% 30-day return, leading to a position adjustment in this high-turnover fund.
weight 0.460% → 0.490% (+0.030 pp)·stock up 12.7% in the 30 days before
Jun 18·entry $1328.31·now $1204.73Fresh
AIEQ · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.460% → 0.440% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 3.1% in the 30 days before
Jun 4·entry $1228.09·now $1204.73
AIEQ · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.460% (new)·stock up 10.1% in the 30 days before
May 30·entry $1238.41·now $1204.73Fresh
AIEQ · Exit · 1d
The AI-managed ETF likely removed TDG due to its high valuation metrics, with a PER of 32.18 and PBR of 5.98, which likely outweighed its otherwise strong profitability and revenue growth in the AI's assessment. For retail investors, this highlights the importance of balancing solid company fundamentals with a disciplined approach to valuation, avoiding overpaying even for quality companies.
weight 0.130% → 0 (exited)·stock down 1.6% in the 30 days before
May 3·entry $1149.72·now $1204.73
AIVL · Exit · 1d
TDG's PER of 32.93 and PBR of 5.98, while accompanied by a 37.11% Return on Equity, present valuation metrics that contrast with AIVL's focus on a US value-factor pool and distinguishing genuine value. WisdomTree's AI, tasked with scrutinizing fundamentals like return on capital alongside valuation metrics like P/E and P/B to identify genuine value over value traps, likely flagged these higher ratios. With TDG trading at $1246.98, approximately 77% of its 52-week high and having posted a negative 12.1% return over 90 days, the AI system appears to have reassessed its position within the defined value universe. This re-evaluation led to a systematic reduction in its portfolio weight throughout May 2026, culminating in its complete removal by June 1st during a periodic rebalance, as its overall profile no longer aligned with the fund's valuation criteria.
weight 0.234% → 0 (exited)·stock up 6.8% in the 30 days before
Jun 1·entry $1238.41·now $1204.73
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
AIVL's measured, consecutive reduction in TDG weighting over this period, declining from 0.2473% to 0.2342%, reflects the AI's assessment that the stock's valuation metrics are not aligning with the fund's value-factor criteria. Despite a significant price pullback, with TDG trading at $1258.32 or 78% of its 52-week high and experiencing negative short-term returns, the company's PER of 33.66 and PBR of 5.98 remain at levels the AI deems inconsistent with genuine value. This suggests the AI, tasked with distinguishing genuine value from value traps within its US value universe, perceives TDG as still overvalued relative to its peers. The persistent adjustment signals a consistent downgrade in TDG's attractiveness according to AIVL’s specific blend of fundamental and valuation metrics, despite the company's 13.29% revenue growth and 37.11% ROE.
weight 0.241% → 0.234% (-0.007 pp)·stock down 6.5% in the 30 days before
May 15·entry $1148.97·now $1204.73
AIVL · Weight decrease · 3d
The AI ETF likely initiated the consecutive weight decrease for TDG due to its high valuation multiples (PER 32.07, PBR 5.98), suggesting it perceives the stock as increasingly overvalued despite strong revenue growth and ROE. This consistent reduction indicates the AI is actively taking profits or reallocating capital to manage risk or optimize returns. For a retail investor, this pattern signals a need to critically assess whether the stock's current price fully justifies its growth potential. It might be prudent to review personal holdings and consider profit-taking or rebalancing, acknowledging the AI's cautious stance.
weight 0.251% → 0.239% (-0.012 pp)·stock down 3.4% in the 30 days before
May 12·entry $1191.19·now $1204.73
AIVL · Weight decrease · 2d
The AI ETF likely implemented the consecutive weight decrease for TDG due to its elevated valuation metrics (PER 31.92, PBR 5.98) relative to other portfolio opportunities, despite strong fundamentals, possibly triggered by a short-term technical signal or a broader market rotation out of high-multiple assets. This systematic rebalancing suggests the AI prioritized managing concentration risk or optimizing returns based on current market dynamics rather than merely holding a fundamentally strong stock. For retail investors, this underscores that even robust companies can see weight reductions in systematic funds if their valuation becomes stretched, highlighting the importance of considering current pricing and not just past performance when making investment decisions.
weight 0.251% → 0.240% (-0.011 pp)·stock down 0.7% in the 30 days before
May 11·entry $1198.67·now $1204.73
AIVL · Weight increase · 3d
The AI ETF likely increased its weighting in TransDigm Group due to its exceptional profitability, evidenced by a 37.11% ROE, and solid 11.67% revenue growth, indicating robust underlying financial health despite high valuation multiples. This suggests the AI prioritizes high-quality companies with strong earnings power. For retail investors, this demonstrates that AI funds often identify and commit to businesses exhibiting superior fundamental strength, even when standard valuation metrics appear stretched, highlighting the importance of looking beyond just P/E and P/B ratios.
weight 0.234% → 0.251% (+0.017 pp)·stock up 1.8% in the 30 days before
May 7·entry $1241.98·now $1204.73Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
The AI ETF likely increased TDG's weight due to its outstanding ROE of 37.11% and solid 11.67% revenue growth, signaling strong fundamental performance and efficient capital allocation despite its high valuation multiples. Retail investors should note that AI algorithms prioritize companies with superior profitability and growth, emphasizing the importance of analyzing underlying financial health beyond simple valuation metrics for potential long-term outperformance.
weight 0.234% → 0.247% (+0.013 pp)·stock up 5.5% in the 30 days before
May 6·entry $1233.37·now $1204.73Fresh
AIVL · Weight increase · 2d
The AI ETF likely increased TDG's weight due to its exceptional 37.11% ROE and solid 11.67% revenue growth, indicating robust profitability and efficient capital management despite its higher valuation multiples. For retail investors, this highlights the AI's focus on superior profitability and consistent growth, suggesting these metrics are crucial indicators of a quality company worth considering for long-term holdings.
weight 0.234% → 0.237% (+0.003 pp)·stock up 1.2% in the 30 days before
Apr 28·entry $1154.06·now $1204.73Drifting
QRFT · Exit · 1d
The AI ETF likely divested TDG due to its high valuation multiples, specifically a PER of 33.21 and PBR of 5.98, despite strong revenue growth and ROE. This suggests the algorithm deemed the stock overvalued relative to its perceived future potential or risk. Retail investors should observe that even fundamentally strong companies can trigger a sell signal from AI when their valuation becomes extended.
weight 0.150% → 0 (exited)·stock down 1.5% in the 30 days before
May 4·entry $1149.72·now $1204.73
QRFT · Weight decrease · 2d
weight 0.170% → 0.150% (-0.020 pp)·stock up 3.0% in the 30 days before
Apr 22·entry $1187.75·now $1204.73
QRFT · New entry · 1d
weight 0 → 0.160% (new)·stock down 11.5% in the 30 days before
Mar 20·entry $1177.39·now $1204.73Drifting
Sell signals show what the stock did after the AI exited. A negative number means the AI's exit was well-timed.
Buffett-style framework
The AI ETFs AIEQ, PQUS, and AIVL are currently holding TransDigm Group, with AIEQ making a new entry, indicating an optimistic view on the company. This contrasts sharply with the framework's verdict of 'Fail,' which is based on concerns regarding the company's high leverage and premium valuation.
- Circle of CompetenceTransDigm Group's focus on proprietary aerospace components with long product lifecycles and significant aftermarket demand suggests stable and predictable unit economics, allowing for reasonable projection of ten-year cash flows.
- Economic MoatTransDigm benefits from strong economic moats through high switching costs and regulatory barriers in its specialized aerospace components, often holding sole-source positions for critical aircraft parts.
- ManagementInsufficient data is provided to assess management's candor, capital allocation discipline, or personal incentives, making it difficult to judge against the framework criteria.
- Financial HealthThe extremely high EV/EBITDA ratio of 53.24 strongly suggests significant leverage, raising concerns about manageable debt and potential fragility despite a very high reported ROE.
- Margin of SafetyThe high PER of 33.81, PBR of 5.98, and exceptionally high EV/EBITDA of 53.24 indicate a premium valuation, suggesting no discernible margin of safety at the current price.
TransDigm Group operates within a predictable circle of competence and possesses durable economic moats, making it a wonderful business in many respects. However, its significant leverage, as indicated by an exceptionally high EV/EBITDA, and its premium market valuation lead to a 'Fail' verdict. The current price does not offer a margin of safety, despite the company's strong business model.
Educational interpretation generated by AI applying frameworks Warren Buffett documented in his shareholder letters and other public writings. Not a statement by Mr. Buffett or Berkshire Hathaway, and not investment advice.